What is M Le Forestier's strike rate?

M Le Forestier has won 26 of 255 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Le Forestier do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 32 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M Le Forestier?

Fabien Lefebvre, with 74 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (12.2%).

What is M Le Forestier's Fair A/E?

1.33, from 236 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Le Forestier

255 runners in the lifetime window · 77 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2019 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

26–255

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=255

68 (27%)

Placed

1.33

Fair A/E

n=236 · 1.12 incl. margin

+173.20

£1 level stake

n=246 at SP · +70.4%

£502k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.33). Debutants are a strength: 13% on first career starts (48 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 255 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fabien Lefebvre: 12.2% from 74

The read

The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (15.6%, n=32), clear of the yard's 10.2% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 7% (n=86, Fair A/E 1.13). Fabien Lefebvre rode 29% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.2% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well on Good going (14.8%, n=54). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 5.1% over 39 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.2%−1.0

n=76 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +103.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.7%−0.5

n=31 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +33.00

Debutants · first career start

12.5%+2.3

n=48 · A/E 2.12 · £1 +28.60

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−3.9

n=16 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +0.60

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−10.2

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

18.2%

n=11 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −4.40

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−3.2

n=86 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +5.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.2

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Saint-Cloud (FR) 15.6% vs 10.2% · n=32

Off a 31-60-day break 5.1% vs 10.2% · n=39

On Good going 14.8% vs 10.2% · n=54

With claiming riders up 7% vs 10.2% · n=86

On Soft going 6.9% vs 10.2% · n=58

With debutants 12.5% vs 10.2% · n=48

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 110 12 10.9% +40.60

Soft 58 4 6.9% +18.10

Good 54 8 14.8% +126.40

Good to Soft 20 0 0% −18.00

Heavy 13 2 15.4% +6.10

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 75 9 12% +70.80

Deauville (FR) 73 6 8.2% −7.80

Saint-Cloud (FR) 32 5 15.6% +58.90

Longchamp (FR) 26 1 3.8% +32.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 22 2 9.1% +25.70

Nantes 4 2 50% +9.60

Strasbourg 3 0 0% −3.00

Dieppe 2 0 0% −1.00

Toulouse (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux 2 1 50% −1.00

Les Sables-d'Olonne 2 0 0% −1.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Moulins 1 0 0% —

Vichy 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 12 2 16.7% 0.60 −5.40

2nd–3rd fav 40 5 12.5% 1.03 −13.40

4th–6th fav 63 4 6.3% 0.61 −24.80

7th+ in betting 131 12 9.2% 2.70 +216.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Yangon (USA) 13 1 6 8 Sep 11

Achillea (FR)from S Wattel · then Jane Soubagne 12 1 4 30 Apr 19

Non Stop (GB)from W Baltromei 12 3 5 13 Jul 12

Kant Excell (FR)then N Caullery 10 1 2 6 May 16

Farzad (FR)from A De Royer-Dupre 10 1 4 14 Jul 15

Omicupi Has (FR) 10 1 4 7 Apr 13

Americanism (FR) 9 1 2 8 Feb 18

Sudfaa (FR)then F Hayeres 7 2 3 27 Sep 19

Ison (GER) 7 0 1 26 Mar 19

Grey Caviar (FR)then D Henderson 7 0 1 24 Jul 17

Gerboise Verte (FR)then David Morisson 6 1 2 28 Nov 18

American Slick (FR) 6 0 2 15 Aug 13

The 60 most-raced of 77 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A De Royer-Dupre (2) and N Clement (2); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

31 have since run for another yard, most often for F Hayeres (3) and J-P Gallorini (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

200666151141515255

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderFabien Lefebvre

29% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

Fabien Lefebvre 74 9 12.2% +58.10

Mlle Zoe Pfeil 43 5 11.6% +19.90

Jimmy Tastayre 33 3 9.1% +11.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

£502k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 5 wins

Mer Et Jardin (GB) — Prix des Grandes Ecuries (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jul 2017

£22,094

Mr Lucas (FR) — Prix Tanerko (Conditions) (2yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2013

£13,821

Best Fouad (FR) — Prix De La Chezine (Conditions) (Turf) Nantes · Jun 2014

£12,917

Notable horses

Non Stop (GB) Sudfaa (FR) Time To Beat (GER) Yangon (USA) Achillea (FR) Kant Excell (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Solon (GER) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 11.7% of 367 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.1% from 111. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.7% from 106.

Storm Cat (USA) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 11.9% of 511 runs since 2008 (72 horses).

Beat Hollow (GB) 25% · 3–12

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,028 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Dansili (GB) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,486 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Wiener Walzer (GER) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 10.5% of 124 runs since 2008 (22 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 255 · newest first

The latest 50 of 255 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 July 2009 to 27 September 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Sep 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Miro (GER)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de Gargenville (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 10 ran 9th 32/1

27 Sep 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sudfaa (FR)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix de Gargenville (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 10 ran 6th 18/1

20 Sep 19 Chantilly (FR) Solliane (IRE)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix du Bois Mousseron (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)12f · Good · 10 ran 6th 9/1

20 Sep 19 Chantilly (FR) Puff Dakota (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de la Route Ronde (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)12f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 11/2

25 Aug 19 Deauville (FR) Sudfaa (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix Hotel Barriere le Royal Deauville (Handicap) (3yo+) (Round Course) (Turf)16f · Good · 12 ran 4th 12/1

10 Aug 19 Deauville (FR) Puff Dakota (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de l'Association des Jockeys (Maiden) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

25 Jul 19 Deauville (FR) Sudfaa (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix des Fonds Verts (Handicap) (4yo) (Round Course) (Turf)15f · Good · 10 ran 1st 54/10

13 Jul 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Spring Show (IRE)J: Jente Marien Prix de la Croix de Noailles (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)12f · Good · 12 ran 6th 43/1

13 Jul 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Sudfaa (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de la Croix de Noailles (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)12f · Good · 12 ran 1st 31/1

03 Jun 19 Longchamp (FR) Carambole (GER)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de Picpus (Handicap) (3yo) (Grande Course) (Turf)8f · Good · 18 ran 17th 32/1

11 May 19 Chantilly (FR) Sudfaa (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix d'Aumont-en-Halatte (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 16 ran 7th 11/1

11 May 19 Chantilly (FR) Solliane (IRE)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de la Mare Landry (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 15 ran 13th 28/1

07 May 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Speed Lady (FR)J: Jeremie Monteiro Prix de Chaville (Claimer) (3yo) (Young Jockeys & Apprentices) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 48/1

04 May 19 Longchamp (FR) Okarina Dream (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de la Seine () (3yo Fillies) (Turf)11f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 31/1

04 May 19 Longchamp (FR) Carambole (GER)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de Passy (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)7f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 10/1

30 Apr 19 Chantilly (FR) Bigmouth (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de Mongresin (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)10f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 17/2

30 Apr 19 Chantilly (FR) Achillea (FR)J: Quentin Perrette Prix Alex Carter (Claimer) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 9/1

10 Apr 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Sudfaa (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix de Saint-Germain de la Grange (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 9/1

01 Apr 19 Chantilly (FR) Achillea (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix Des Commercants (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 9/1

30 Mar 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Bigmouth (FR)J: Jimmy Tastayre Prix Monade (Maiden) (Unraced 3yo Fillies) (Turf)10f · Good · 14 ran 5th 87/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Le Forestier's strike rate?: M Le Forestier has won 26 of 255 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Le Forestier do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 32 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Le Forestier?: Fabien Lefebvre, with 74 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (12.2%).
What is M Le Forestier's Fair A/E?: 1.33, from 236 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.