What is Andrew Thornton's strike rate?

Andrew Thornton has won 211 of 2,903 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andrew Thornton do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 12 wins from 83 rides (14.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Andrew Thornton ride most for?

Seamus Mullins, with 622 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 68 (10.9%).

What is Andrew Thornton's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 2,899 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Andrew Thornton

2,903 rides in the lifetime window · 1,037 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2019 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

211–2,903

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=2,903

674 (23%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=2,899 · 0.75 incl. margin

−1,264.08

£1 level stake

n=2,903 at SP · −43.5%

£1.79m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 240 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (224 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,903 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Jan 33.6% when favourite Seamus Mullins: 10.9% from 622 LTO winners: 17.9% Rode the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (14.5%, n=83), clear of the rider's 7.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.9% (n=224, Fair A/E 1.11), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.54 and −639.63 to a £1 stake over 952 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Seamus Mullins supplied 21% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.9% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well beyond 3m (14.5%, n=255). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Red Square Vodka Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Haydock (Feb 2008, £71,275). The standout partner of the record was Goring One (IRE) — 7 wins from 32 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3%−4.3

n=952 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −639.63

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.9%+10.6

n=224 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −21.63

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.9%−2.4

n=649 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −319.11

When favourite

33.6%

n=149 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −5.57

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.8%−4.5

n=527 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −349.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.3

n=48 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −48.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.9% vs 7.3% · n=224

Beyond 3m 14.5% vs 7.3% · n=255

At Lingfield 14.5% vs 7.3% · n=83

With Simon Earle 14.7% vs 7.3% · n=68

On first rides for the horse 3% vs 7.3% · n=952

With C&D winners 12.6% vs 7.3% · n=231

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,388 63 4.5% −829.15

Chase 1,262 137 10.9% −349.43

NH Flat 247 11 4.5% −79.50

Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,024 70 6.8% −524.67

Soft 609 48 7.9% −217.89

Good to Soft 595 32 5.4% −365.66

Heavy 364 42 11.5% +24.34

Good to Firm 279 16 5.7% −191.20

Standard (AW) 26 2 7.7% +8.00

Firm 6 1 16.7% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 214 22 10.3% −44.50

Plumpton 196 16 8.2% −50.72

Towcester 196 8 4.1% −133.50

Southwell 177 21 11.9% −19.30

Uttoxeter 148 12 8.1% −66.12

Huntingdon 147 10 6.8% −54.50

Worcester 136 13 9.6% −45.33

Wincanton 132 15 11.4% −18.79

Newton Abbot 107 4 3.7% −92.25

Exeter 105 7 6.7% −57.32

Warwick 98 9 9.2% −44.49

Leicester 94 12 12.8% −23.00

Chepstow 92 6 6.5% −19.67

Folkestone 84 2 2.4% −67.09

Lingfield 83 12 14.5% +34.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,426 115 8.1% −664.56

Class 5 724 53 7.3% −270.65

Class 3 411 28 6.8% −181.37

Class 6 184 10 5.4% −42.50

Class 2 80 4 5% −36.50

Class 1 78 1 1.3% −68.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 189 54 28.6% 0.99 −29.57

2nd–3rd fav 539 78 14.5% 0.89 −123.51

4th–6th fav 1,029 56 5.4% 0.75 −413.00

7th+ in betting 1,146 23 2% 0.71 −698.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.8% completed · 2,650 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,262 77.8% 53 21 197 3 6

Hurdle 1,388 85.4% 23 12 160 4 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prince des Marais (FR) 33 4 13 15 Feb 15

Goring One (IRE) 32 7 15 22 Apr 18

Global Flyer (GB) 31 4 6 10 Jun 13

Noble Legend (GB) 30 7 11 18 Dec 16

Head Spin (IRE) 27 2 11 29 Apr 16

Brunette'sonly (IRE) 27 4 9 10 May 15

Somchine (GB) 26 6 16 12 May 18

Galway Jack (IRE) 26 5 13 3 Mar 16

Adrenalin Flight (IRE) 26 5 10 20 Oct 15

Romeo Americo (IRE) 25 3 6 12 Dec 16

Sportsreport (IRE) 25 3 8 7 Jun 16

Boss In Boots (IRE) 23 2 8 4 Dec 15

The 60 most-raced of 1,037 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

96116783856510

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSeamus Mullins

21% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

Seamus Mullins 622 68 10.9% −59.83

Caroline Bailey 589 57 9.7% −272.42

Anna Newton-Smith 89 7 7.9% −26.25

Henrietta C Knight 77 3 3.9% −63.37

Linda Jewell 72 5 6.9% −31.00

Karen George 69 1 1.4% −64.67

Simon Earle 68 10 14.7% +21.00

Richard Rowe 63 3 4.8% −19.00

Tony Newcombe 55 3 5.5% −33.50

R H & Mrs S Alner 44 4 9.1% −12.00

Lawney Hill 44 5 11.4% +1.75

John O'Neill 40 3 7.5% +0.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

363

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.31m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 66 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Miko de Beauchene (FR) — Red Square Vodka Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Haydock · Feb 2008 · Class 1

£71,275

Simon (GB) — Racing Post Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Kempton · Feb 2007 · Class 1

£57,020

Miko de Beauchene (FR) — Coral Welsh National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Chepstow · Dec 2007 · Class 1

£57,020

Notable horses

Goring One (IRE) Noble Legend (GB) Red Not Blue (IRE) Somchine (GB) Galway Jack (IRE) Adrenalin Flight (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 21.3% · 20–94

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,308 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Alflora (IRE) 9.8% · 6–61

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 8.3% · 5–60

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Presenting (GB) 3.6% · 2–55

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Lord Americo (IRE) 8.3% · 4–48

Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 6.5% · 3–46

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,392 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,392 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 11 September 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Sep 19 Doncaster Valley of Fire (GB)T: Les Eyre Mondialiste Leger Legends Classified StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 10th 20/1

12 Sep 18 Doncaster Detachment (GB)T: Les Eyre Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 2nd 15/2

06 Jun 18 Uttoxeter Manhattan Spring (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Mercia Power Response Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 2/1

06 Jun 18 Uttoxeter Westerberry (IRE)T: Seamus Mullins Michael Plant Memorial Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 33/1

06 Jun 18 Uttoxeter Amirr (IRE)T: Seamus Mullins Abacus Decorators 'National Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st EvensF

06 Jun 18 Uttoxeter Edward Elgar (GB)T: Caroline Bailey Andrew Thornton Congratulations On Your Retirement Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 6th 10/1

15 May 18 Wincanton Diablerets (FR)T: Kayley Woollacott Smarkets 2% Commission Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 40/1

12 May 18 Haydock Somchine (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Pertemps Network Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19f · Good · 9 ran 6th 6/1

10 May 18 Wincanton Amirr (IRE)T: Seamus Mullins Wiser Betting At racinguk.com Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 20/1

10 May 18 Wincanton Manhattan Spring (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Frys Electrical Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 12/1

10 May 18 Worcester Blackdown Hills (GB)T: Seamus Mullins 7bets4free.com Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Mares' Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 7/4F

08 May 18 Fakenham Cap Horner (FR)T: Seamus Mullins Snellings Norfolk National Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29f · Good · 13 ran 7th 12/1

26 Apr 18 Warwick Moor Freedom (GB)T: Polly Gundry Europa League Betting At 188Bet Standard Open NH Flat Race (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 2nd 50/1

26 Apr 18 Warwick Ticket To Ride (FR)T: Polly Gundry Download The App At 188Bet Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 12/1

25 Apr 18 Taunton Diablerets (FR)T: Kayley Woollacott Bet At racinguk.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 16 ran 14th 25/1

25 Apr 18 Taunton Blackdown Hills (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Half Year Membership Available Today Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 14/1

22 Apr 18 Stratford Goring One (IRE)T: Anna Newton-Smith Bet In Play At Totesport.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 27.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/1

31 Mar 18 Haydock Head To The Stars (GB)T: Henry Daly Smarkets Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 23f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 10/1

28 Mar 18 Wincanton Goring One (IRE)T: Anna Newton-Smith Smarkets Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 16/1

28 Mar 18 Wincanton Somchine (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Smarkets Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrew Thornton's strike rate?: Andrew Thornton has won 211 of 2,903 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Thornton do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 12 wins from 83 rides (14.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Andrew Thornton ride most for?: Seamus Mullins, with 622 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 68 (10.9%).
What is Andrew Thornton's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 2,899 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.