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Trainer profile

David Geraghty

25 runners in the lifetime window · 4 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 39 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–25
Wins / Runs
16%
Strike rate
n=25
7 (28%)
Placed
2.65
n=25 · 2.00 incl. margin
+12.33
£1 level stake
n=25 at SP · +49.3%
£21,343
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−16.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−16.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−16.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.75 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.8%−4.2
n=17 · A/E 1.86 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 20 4 20% +17.33
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Good 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 20 4 20% +17.33
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 2.75 +2.00
2nd–3rd fav 3 1 33.3% 2.68 +1.33
4th–6th fav 5 1 20% 2.39 +3.00
7th+ in betting 15 1 6.7% 2.81 +6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Clare Harrier (IRE)from Alan Berry 17 3 6 7 Apr 17
Goodbye Earl (IRE)from Alan Berry 5 1 1 4 Nov 11
Never Mind Me (GB)from Andrew Balding 2 0 0 25 Sep 26
Sally Gap (IRE)from T G McCourt 1 0 0 4 Oct 19
All 4 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 4 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Berry (2).

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Seamie Heffernan 7 2 28.6% +18.33
Colin Keane 6 2 33.3% +6.00
Andrew Breslin 3 0 0% −3.00
Ben Curtis 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane Gray 2 0 0% −2.00
Gary Phillips 1 0 0% −1.00
M M Murphy 1 0 0% −1.00
Megan Carberry 1 0 0% −1.00
Aaron Mackay 1 0 0% −1.00
Willie Supple 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
4
Archived wins
£21,343
Prize money
2012
Best season · 2 wins
Clare Harrier (IRE) — Ladbrokes Home Of Football Handicap (47-65) (Div 2) Dundalk (AW) · Feb 2014
£4,830
Clare Harrier (IRE) — www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2012
£4,830
Goodbye Earl (IRE) — www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2010
£4,830

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Medecis (GB) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,595 runs since 2008 (112 horses).
Bertolini (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
No Nay Never (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,358 runs since 2018 (708 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.
Vale Of York (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,910 runs since 2014 (139 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 25 archived runs · newest first

Every one of David Geraghty's 25 archived runners, from 7 July 2010 to 25 September 2026, newest first — 4 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Geraghty's strike rate?
David Geraghty has won 4 of 25 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).