Skip to content
Jockey profile

Megan Carberry

362 rides in the lifetime window · 240 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2017 90% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
39–362
Wins / Runs
10.8%
Strike rate
n=362
96 (27%)
Placed
1.06
Fair A/E
n=359 · 0.88 incl. margin
−55.55
£1 level stake
n=362 at SP · −15.3%
£228k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
30.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 29% (42 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 362 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 28.6% when favourite Brian Ellison: 21.9% from 96 LTO winners: 28.6% Rode the favourite in 10% of races
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (4.3% over 70 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 28.6% (n=42, Fair A/E 1.56), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=122, Fair A/E 0.55). Brian Ellison supplied 27% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21.9% vs 10.8%, A/E 1.40) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Hurdle races (36.7%, n=30) and in Class 6 (20.3%, n=64). The record read poorly at trips under 6f — 0% over 36 rides, 10.8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%−0.8
n=240 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −88.29
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
28.6%+17.8
n=42 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +23.57
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.7%−1.1
n=62 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −19.50
When favourite
28.6%
n=35 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −4.13
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.4%−0.4
n=328 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −43.43
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.3%−7.5
n=122 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −84.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 36.7% vs 10.8% · n=30
On last-time-out winners 28.6% vs 10.8% · n=42
With Brian Ellison 21.9% vs 10.8% · n=96
In Class 6 20.3% vs 10.8% · n=64
At trips under 6f 0% vs 10.8% · n=36
At Dundalk (AW) 4.3% vs 10.8% · n=70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 324 26 8% −65.37
Hurdle 30 11 36.7% +13.70
NH Flat 8 2 25% −3.88

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 87 10 11.5% −26.17
Standard (AW) 80 5 6.3% −35.75
Good to Firm 66 8 12.1% −15.54
Soft 60 7 11.7% +44.04
Good to Soft 48 4 8.3% −29.88
Heavy 21 5 23.8% +7.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 70 3 4.3% −38.50
Ayr 24 6 25% +100.88
Musselburgh 17 1 5.9% −12.50
Carlisle 16 5 31.3% +11.58
Doncaster 14 1 7.1% −10.00
Hamilton 14 1 7.1% −10.00
Leopardstown 13 0 0% −13.00
Naas 12 0 0% −12.00
Catterick 12 3 25% −6.09
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Curragh 11 1 9.1% −7.75
York 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Thirsk 10 0 0% −10.00
Newcastle 9 0 0% −9.00
Haydock 9 2 22.2% +4.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 73 9 12.3% −30.33
Class 6 64 13 20.3% +15.50
Class 4 54 9 16.7% +65.91
Class 3 14 3 21.4% +2.62
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 45 14 31.1% 1.16 +1.37
2nd–3rd fav 75 14 18.7% 1.20 −6.42
4th–6th fav 93 9 9.7% 1.22 +4.50
7th+ in betting 149 2 1.3% 0.35 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Remember Rocky (GB) 10 4 8 3 Aug 15
Solent Ridge (IRE) 7 0 2 21 Apr 12
Dominada (IRE) 6 3 5 13 Apr 17
Shake The Bucket (IRE) 6 2 4 9 Nov 12
Fair Loch (GB) 5 1 2 18 Mar 16
Dark Crystal (GB) 5 1 3 6 Jul 15
Memory Cloth (GB) 5 3 4 22 Aug 14
Samollie (IRE) 5 0 1 15 May 13
Dr Irv (GB) 4 0 2 11 Oct 14
Enigma Code (UAE) 4 0 1 4 Jul 14
Captains Dilemma (IRE) 4 0 1 11 Dec 13
Bubblesforbarbara (IRE) 4 0 0 22 Sep 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 240 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
242429131338771306
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardBrian Ellison
27% of all rides
21.9% SR · A/E 1.40
TrainerRWSR£1
Brian Ellison 96 21 21.9% +0.95
Tracey Collins 33 1 3% −22.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
39
Archived wins
£228k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 20 wins
Memory Cloth (GB) — Bet On Your Mobile At corbettsports.com Handicap Haydock · Apr 2014 · Class 4
£8,086
Totalize (GB) — Garbutt & Elliott Handicap York · Jun 2014 · Class 3
£7,439
Pencil Hill (IRE) — www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Feb 2013
£6,900
Notable horses
Remember Rocky (GB) Dominada (IRE) Memory Cloth (GB) Shake The Bucket (IRE) Nietzsche (GB) Our Kylie (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Acclamation (GB) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Haafhd (GB) 40% · 4–10
Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,752 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Namid (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.
Verglas (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).
Captain Rio (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 42.9% · 3–7
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,639 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 327.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 362 · newest first

The latest 50 of 362 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2011 to 13 April 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Apr 17 Wetherby Dominada (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Proudly British Original Harrogate Water Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 7/2
09 Apr 17 Market Rasen Tickerty Boo (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Play Saturday Night Takeaway At 32Red.com Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 14/1
09 Apr 17 Market Rasen Newstart (IRE)T: Brian Ellison 32Red.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 7/2F
21 Mar 17 Wetherby Newstart (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Follow At racing_uk On Twitter Selling HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 9/2
07 Mar 17 Newcastle Silverton (GB)T: Lucy Normile Broad Chare Partners Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 8/1
23 Feb 17 Sedgefield Crackdeloust (FR)T: Brian Ellison Betfred Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 5/1
13 Feb 17 Catterick Rownak (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Racing Again 28th February Maiden NH Flat Race (Conditionals' And Amateurs)Class 6 · 15.5f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 10/1
04 Feb 17 Musselburgh Dominada (IRE)T: Brian Ellison bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (Listed Handicap)Class 1 · 15.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/1
28 Jan 17 Doncaster Bank Bonus (GB)T: Brian Ellison Grandnational2017.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 16/1
25 Jan 17 Catterick Nietzsche (GB)T: Brian Ellison Bagpipers Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 13/8F
18 Jan 17 Market Rasen Nietzsche (GB)T: Brian Ellison starspreads.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 9/4J
03 Jan 17 Musselburgh Rownak (IRE)T: Brian Ellison racinguk.com Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 17/2
01 Jan 17 Musselburgh Dominada (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Collect Totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 7/2
29 Nov 16 Southwell Persian Steel (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Southwell Golf Club Winter Offer Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 6/1
27 Nov 16 Leicester Dominada (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Waltham-on-the-wolds Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 3/1
19 Nov 16 Huntingdon Ascendant (GB)T: Alan Jones Cambridge Magazine Ladies Riders' Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 15/2
09 Nov 16 Ayr Silverton (GB)T: Lucy Normile Watch Racinguk With Free Trial Now Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 8/1
27 Oct 16 Sedgefield Down Time (USA)T: Brian Ellison Wanted Metal Recycling Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 6th 9/2
26 Oct 16 Fakenham Instant Replay (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Oxwick Standard NH Flat Race (Conditional Jockeys' And Amateur Riders')Class 6 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 3/1
25 Oct 16 Bangor-on-Dee Dalmo (GB)T: Clare Ellam Visit timeform.com/freebets Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 9th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Megan Carberry's strike rate?
Megan Carberry has won 39 of 362 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Megan Carberry do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 70 rides (4.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Megan Carberry ride most for?
Brian Ellison, with 96 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (21.9%).
What is Megan Carberry's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 359 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).