Gary Phillips
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 8% (39 rides).
It is weakest at Curragh (0% over 46 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=84, Fair A/E 0.52). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −133.00 to a £1 stake over 285 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Garvan Donnelly supplied 20% of the rides and beats the rider's average (11.2% vs 5.7%, A/E 1.47) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (9.5%, n=84). The record read poorly on Soft going — 1.8% over 111 rides, 3.9pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 538 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 538 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 August 2007 to 25 April 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gary Phillips's strike rate?
- Gary Phillips has won 30 of 529 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Gary Phillips do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 184 rides (6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Gary Phillips ride most for?
- Garvan Donnelly, with 107 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (11.2%).
- What is Gary Phillips's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 527 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.