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Trainer profile

James Keane

32 runners in the lifetime window · 6 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–32
Wins / Runs
15.6%
Strike rate
n=32
13 (41%)
Placed
1.23
Fair A/E
n=32 · 1.03 incl. margin
+6.75
£1 level stake
n=32 at SP · +21.1%
£43,065
Prize money (window)

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−15.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−15.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−15.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−15.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −2.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
50%+34.4
n=4 · A/E 2.88 · £1 +5.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 12 2 16.7% +8.25
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Good 5 1 20% +2.00
Good to Soft 3 1 33.3% +3.50
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 1 100% +4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Newmarket 3 1 33.3% +4.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 1 33.3% +14.00
Yarmouth 3 0 0% −3.00
Windsor 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Nottingham 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield (AW) 2 1 50% +1.25
Beverley 1 0 0% −1.00
Bath 1 1 100% +4.00
Chelmsford (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00
Epsom 1 1 100% +5.50
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 15 1 6.7% −8.00
Class 6 10 4 40% +21.75
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.59 −3.75
2nd–3rd fav 8 2 25% 1.55 +3.50
4th–6th fav 11 2 18.2% 2.08 +13.00
7th+ in betting 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Time To Sparkle (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 11 3 6 29 Oct 26
Miletus (IRE)from Charles Hills 10 1 4 19 Sep 26
Barak Warrior (IRE) 5 1 1 9 Aug 26
Cranberry Breeze (IRE) 3 0 0 2 Nov 26
The Jackal (GB) 2 0 1 24 Apr 26
Ala Et Prece (IRE) 1 0 1 26 Oct 26
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·020005025502500·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Mitchell 14 1 7.1% +3.00
Harry Vigors 4 2 50% +5.75
Silvestre De Sousa 3 1 33.3% +2.00
Daniel Muscutt 3 0 0% −3.00
Jonny Peate 3 0 0% −3.00
Ray Dawson 2 0 0% −2.00
Rob Hornby 1 1 100% +6.00
Kaiya Fraser 1 0 0% −1.00
J F Egan 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
5
Archived wins
£43,065
Prize money
2026
Best season · 5 wins
Miletus (IRE) — Zyn Pole Position Handicap (Div 1) Newmarket · Jun 2026 · Class 4
£7,731
Time To Sparkle (GB) — Under Starters Orders For Fit Show 2027 Handicap Stakes Epsom · Sep 2026 · Class 6
£3,664
Barak Warrior (IRE) — Magnum Scaffolding Contracts Handicap Bath · Jul 2026 · Class 6
£3,454
Notable horses
Time To Sparkle (GB) Miletus (IRE) Barak Warrior (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Time Test (GB) 27.3% · 3–11
Progeny have won 11% of 3,143 runs since 2021 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 332. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.7% from 319.
Magna Grecia (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,487 runs since 2023 (170 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.4% from 170.
Teofilo (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,082 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.
Bayside Boy (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 17.1% of 146 runs since 2026 (44 horses).
Sergei Prokofiev (CAN) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.5% of 1,366 runs since 2024 (202 horses).
Sioux Nation (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,903 runs since 2022 (360 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.2% from 580. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 32 archived runs · newest first

Every one of James Keane's 32 archived runners, from 11 February 2026 to 2 November 2026, newest first — 5 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Cranberry Breeze (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 250/1
29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Time To Sparkle (GB)J: Harry Vigors Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 7/1
26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Ala Et Prece (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet More Extra Place Races Ebf Novice Stakes (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 3rd 9/2
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Time To Sparkle (GB)J: Harry Vigors Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 2nd 7/2
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Cranberry Breeze (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Britvic Biergarten Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 50/1
19 Sep 26 Newmarket Miletus (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Turners Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 11th 4/1J
10 Sep 26 Epsom Time To Sparkle (GB)J: Harry Vigors Under Starters Orders For Fit Show 2027 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 11/2
07 Sep 26 Windsor Cranberry Breeze (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Hamish Johnson Memorial EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 12th 12/1
05 Sep 26 Haydock Miletus (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Betfair.Betfair Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 20/1
25 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Time To Sparkle (GB)J: Harry Vigors Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 9/4F
09 Aug 26 Leicester Barak Warrior (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa TLC Teddies For Loving Care Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 6/4F
31 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Miletus (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Zyn Frontrunner Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 12/1
27 Jul 26 Windsor Time To Sparkle (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Join Fitzdares For A Personal Service Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 2/1F
18 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Miletus (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Lettergold Plastics Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 15/2
01 Jul 26 Bath Barak Warrior (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Magnum Scaffolding Contracts HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Firm · 7 ran 1st 4/1
19 Jun 26 Newmarket Miletus (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Zyn Pole Position Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/1
11 Jun 26 Nottingham Miletus (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Wildwest Beer Festival 4th July HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 5/1
29 May 26 Chepstow Time To Sparkle (GB)J: Jonny Peate Finli Live Your Best Financial Life HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 3/1
19 May 26 Nottingham Barak Warrior (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Family Fun Raceday Sunday 31st May Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 150/1
11 May 26 Windsor Barak Warrior (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Fitzdares Telephone & Text Betting Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 7th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Keane's strike rate?
James Keane has won 5 of 32 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is James Keane in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Keane's Fair A/E?
1.23, from 32 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).