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Trainer profile

John M Burke

667 runners in the lifetime window · 92 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
22–667
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=667
95 (14%)
Placed
0.77
Fair A/E
n=666 · 0.60 incl. margin
−235.75
£1 level stake
n=667 at SP · −35.3%
£323k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).

Deterministic profile computed from 667 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Martin Burke: 3.9% from 254
The read

The record is strongest at Wexford (7.3%, n=41), clear of the yard's 3.3% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 43 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=83, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.27 and −101.00 to a £1 stake over 116 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Martin Burke rides 38% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.88). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 44 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Boreen Belle Mares Novice Hurdle at Thurles (Dec 2017, £19,988). The stable star of the record: Like An Open Book (IRE) — 5 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.9%−2.4
n=116 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −101.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=83 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −83.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
When favourite
50%
n=6 · A/E 2.23 · £1 +3.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%−0.7
n=508 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −357.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.1%+3.8
n=14 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +187.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With E Walsh 8.7% vs 3.3% · n=46
At Wexford 7.3% vs 3.3% · n=41
With debutants 0% vs 3.3% · n=83
Off a 15-30-day break 5.7% vs 3.3% · n=228
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 3.3% · n=44
At Punchestown 0% vs 3.3% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 417 13 3.1% −118.00
Flat 136 5 3.7% −65.25
NH Flat 93 1 1.1% −59.00
Chase 21 3 14.3% +6.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 211 10 4.7% −92.50
Soft 204 7 3.4% −132.25
Heavy 94 3 3.2% +139.50
Good to Soft 91 2 2.2% −83.50
Good to Firm 33 0 0% −33.00
Standard (AW) 33 0 0% −33.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Thurles 74 3 4.1% +140.00
Cork 56 2 3.6% −20.00
Kilbeggan 46 3 6.5% −21.00
Punchestown 43 0 0% −43.00
Tipperary 41 1 2.4% −28.00
Wexford 41 3 7.3% −26.50
Limerick 38 0 0% −38.00
Clonmel 36 2 5.6% −4.00
Dundalk (AW) 32 0 0% −32.00
Tramore 31 1 3.2% −20.00
Naas 24 0 0% −24.00
Listowel 22 1 4.5% −10.00
Gowran Park 21 0 0% −21.00
Killarney 21 2 9.5% +18.50
Fairyhouse 21 1 4.8% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 14 1 7.1% +187.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 3 33.3% 1.73 +0.75
2nd–3rd fav 65 5 7.7% 0.62 −36.50
4th–6th fav 141 8 5.7% 0.91 +127.00
7th+ in betting 452 6 1.3% 0.60 −327.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.6% completed · 438 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 21 85.7% 0 1 2 0 0
Hurdle 417 82.5% 24 13 31 2 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Musical Ava (IRE)then Donal Commins 39 1 10 1 Jan 22
Like An Open Book (IRE) 39 5 10 26 Jan 20
Toms Courage (IRE) 34 2 8 23 May 23
Our Bobby (IRE) 29 4 13 30 Aug 24
Thousand Tears (IRE) 26 2 6 17 Dec 23
Faynita (IRE)from M Halford 25 1 7 22 Jan 12
Athloman Cottage (IRE)then Donncha Duggan 24 1 4 21 Jan 17
Fox Leicester (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 23 0 4 30 Aug 24
Killahara Castle (IRE) 21 1 4 27 Jan 18
Twotensandalift (IRE) 14 0 0 11 May 17
Charlie's Gift (IRE) 13 0 1 6 Oct 26
Backwithyourown (IRE) 13 0 1 7 Aug 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 92 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Daragh Bourke (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
046435742122
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMartin Burke
38% of all rides
3.9% SR · A/E 0.88
RiderRWSR£1
Martin Burke 254 10 3.9% +25.50
Niall Moore 59 1 1.7% −51.50
Julie Burke 52 2 3.8% −16.00
Mr J M Burke 50 1 2% −29.00
E Walsh 46 4 8.7% −19.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
22
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£330k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Killahara Castle (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Boreen Belle Mares Novice Hurdle (Listed) Thurles · Dec 2017 · Listed
£19,988
Aurora Bell (IRE) — Fred Kenny Lifetime Service To Racing Novice Handicap Chase Fairyhouse · Apr 2015
£13,000
Like An Open Book (IRE) — Assembly Techniques Handicap Tramore · Aug 2018
£12,320
Notable horses
Like An Open Book (IRE) Our Bobby (IRE) Toms Courage (IRE) Thousand Tears (IRE) Aurora Bell (IRE) Musical Ava (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Well Chosen (GB) 8.2% · 5–61
Progeny have won 12.6% of 1,923 runs since 2008 (156 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 2.1% · 1–47
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,956 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Dubai Destination (USA) 5.1% · 2–39
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Fairly Ransom (USA) 13.8% · 4–29
Progeny have won 9.8% of 542 runs since 2009 (48 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.8% from 104.
Recital (FR) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 8.5% of 188 runs since 2019 (14 horses).
Fayruz (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 7.4% of 620 runs since 2008 (43 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 151.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 724 · newest first

The latest 50 of 724 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Farney Bridge (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 11/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Tell Me See (IRE)J: E Walsh Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran F 7/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Charlie's Gift (IRE)J: E Walsh Ryans Cleaning Handicap Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Farney Bridge (IRE)J: E Walsh Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 18/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Tell Me See (IRE)J: Ms Aine Connolly MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 16/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Farney Bridge (IRE)J: E Walsh John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 4th 20/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Maximum Bonus (IRE)J: E Walsh Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 17 ran 16th 50/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Tell Me See (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh SIS Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 10/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Charlie's Gift (IRE)J: Niall Moore Racing Again October 25th & 26th Handicap Steeplechase25f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 10/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Chosen Princess (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 4/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Farney Bridge (IRE)J: Ms Aine Connolly Laurels Pub (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Marilyns Poet (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh ML Lynch Civil Engineering Ltd. Maiden Hurdle (Div II)16.5f · Good · 16 ran PU 300/1
08 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Marilyns Poet (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Bernard Kenny Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 13 ran 12th 200/1
08 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Walk Win (FR)J: Eoin Walsh Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 7/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Chosen Princess (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 12/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Charlie's Gift (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 14 ran 8th 8/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Backwithyourown (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 8th 20/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Tell Me See (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Think Print & Design Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 5th 125/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Tell Me See (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 8th 50/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Farney Bridge (IRE)J: Ms Aine Connolly Kate Kearney's Cottage (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 15 ran 1st 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John M Burke's strike rate?
John M Burke has won 22 of 667 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John M Burke do best at?
Wexford by strike rate: 3 wins from 41 runners (7.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John M Burke?
Martin Burke, with 254 runners since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (3.9%).
Is John M Burke in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John M Burke's Fair A/E?
0.77, from 666 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).