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Trainer profile

M Drean

167 runners in the lifetime window · 30 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–167
Wins / Runs
8.4%
Strike rate
n=167
31 (19%)
Placed
1.37
Fair A/E
n=155 · 1.12 incl. margin
−4.30
£1 level stake
n=155 at SP · −2.8%
£205k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.37).

Deterministic profile computed from 167 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Chantilly (13.1%, n=61), clear of the yard's 8.4% baseline. The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (12.7%, n=79). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3.1% over 32 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.3%−0.1
n=60 · A/E 1.90 · £1 +4.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%−0.1
n=24 · A/E 2.86 · £1 +17.70
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+11.6
n=5 · A/E 4.44 · £1 +21.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +2.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.3%+4.9
n=15 · A/E 3.28 · £1 +28.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 20% vs 8.4% · n=35
At Chantilly 13.1% vs 8.4% · n=61
Over 1m – 1m1f 12.7% vs 8.4% · n=79
Off a 61-180-day break 3.1% vs 8.4% · n=32
With a new jockey booking 5.1% vs 8.4% · n=79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 161 14 8.7% +1.70
Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 91 8 8.8% +21.90
Good to Soft 30 2 6.7% −12.00
Good 24 3 12.5% −8.00
Soft 16 1 6.3% −1.20
Heavy 6 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly 61 8 13.1% +26.40
Deauville (FR) 46 3 6.5% +14.70
Saint-Cloud (FR) 18 0 0% −16.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 15 3 20% −4.40
Clairefontaine (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Auteuil (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Craon (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Longchamp (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Enghien (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Blain-Bouvron-Le-Gavre (FR) 1 0 0% —
Le Mans (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 3 33.3% 1.71 +2.10
2nd–3rd fav 14 1 7.1% 0.58 −8.60
4th–6th fav 24 1 4.2% 0.53 −17.40
7th+ in betting 108 7 6.5% 2.06 +19.60
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Baileys Eclair (FR)from R Chotard 19 1 4 30 Oct 26
Alcotan (FR)from C Laffon-Parias 16 2 2 14 Sep 26
Black Hawk (FR)from P & J Brandt · then Mme L Pontoir 15 0 6 10 Apr 24
The First Lady (FR)from Mme Sophie Geffriaud 13 4 7 14 Apr 25
Papi Fernand (FR)from T Clout · then Stal't Neerhof 12 2 2 18 Mar 11
Proci Road (FR)from J Van Handenhove · then Remy Nerbonne 10 2 2 20 Oct 10
Fergand (FR)from W Walton · then F Sergeant 8 0 0 3 Oct 14
Don Papa (FR)from B Legros 7 0 0 19 Oct 22
Ferking Autrechene (FR) 7 0 0 13 Nov 20
Clean Bowled (FR)from M Boutin 5 1 3 16 Oct 26
Gordini Road (FR) 5 0 0 2 Feb 24
Barlovento (FR)from Mme Christiane Head 5 1 1 1 Oct 14
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Boutin (2); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Remy Nerbonne (2); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
3300290668111200
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Thomas Trullier 16 2 12.5% +26.20
Mathias Sautjeau 14 2 14.3% −6.00
Eddy Hardouin 13 2 15.4% −4.90
Malone Favriaux 10 2 20% +20.80
A Baron 7 0 0% −7.00
Hugo Boutin 7 0 0% −7.00
Thomas Messina 7 0 0% −7.00
Dorian Provost 6 0 0% −6.00
Theo Bachelot 5 0 0% −5.00
Brice Raballand 5 1 20% +8.90
Jefferson Smith 4 0 0% −4.00
Christopher Grosbois 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
14
Archived wins
£207k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Papi Fernand (FR) — Prix du Rond Adam (Handicap) (Straight) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Apr 2009
£9,223
Lovely Angel (FR) — Prix du Centre Calamel (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2026
£9,174
Alcotan (FR) — Prix de l'Etang de Toutevoie (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Sep 2025
£8,719
Notable horses
The First Lady (FR) Alcotan (FR) Papi Fernand (FR) Proci Road (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR) Clean Bowled (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lightning Spear (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 11.4% of 612 runs since 2022 (53 horses).
Recoletos (FR) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 9.5% of 822 runs since 2022 (115 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.4% from 202.
Scissor Kick (AUS) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.1% of 396 runs since 2020 (39 horses).
American Devil (FR) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 7.9% of 546 runs since 2018 (78 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.9% from 144.
Nombre Premier (GB) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 10.8% of 490 runs since 2008 (68 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.9% from 118.
Grape Tree Road (GB) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,125 runs since 2008 (142 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 109. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.1% from 264. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.7% from 322.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 168 · newest first

The latest 50 of 168 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 November 2007 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Johnny Drive (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Bray Normand9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 16/1
30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Du Chateau De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 8/1
20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Johnny Drive (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Px Merc. 21.10.2026-dern. Journ. Des Anim. Equidays(px D.l'et. D.vtes)12f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 18/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Clean Bowled (FR)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix Du Soutien A La Foret De FontainebleauClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 5/2F
07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix De Saint-imier9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 3/1F
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Wil'dream (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix De Champagne8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 22/1
28 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Johnny Drive (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Lesieur (Prix Du Chene)12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 5th 40/1
27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Clean Bowled (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Equidia (Prix De Parislongchamp)Class 4 · 6.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran — 16/1
24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Mme Marie Rollando Prix Des Dauphines - Handicap ChallengeClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 18/1
14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Alcotan (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Canal Des Druides8f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 20/1
14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Canal Saint Jean8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 13/2
11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wil'dream (FR)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix Du Lieu Dieu7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 80/1
01 Sep 26 Deauville (FR) Alcotan (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix De L'etang De ToutevoieClass 3 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 6th 6/1
01 Sep 26 Deauville (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Camp De CesarClass 3 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 5th 22/1
14 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Les Ammos Benerville (Prix De Saint-Jouin)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 7/1
08 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Alcotan (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix De CreponClass 3 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 12/1
30 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) Wil'dream (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Bon Mot12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 125/1
28 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) Alcotan (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Devouement Pour Les Courses By L'aedg - Prix De La Vallee De L'automneClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 14/1
22 Jul 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Claude RougetClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 7/2
22 Jul 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Claude RougetClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Drean's strike rate?
M Drean has won 14 of 167 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Drean do best at?
Chantilly by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 runners (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is M Drean in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Drean's Fair A/E?
1.37, from 155 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).