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Trainer profile

Manfred Hofer

81 runners in the lifetime window · 21 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2015 100% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
8–81
Wins / Runs
9.9%
Strike rate
n=81
25 (31%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=78 · 0.87 incl. margin
−0.80
£1 level stake
n=80 at SP · −1.0%
£184k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5%−4.9
n=20 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −7.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.9
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
100%+90.1
n=1 · A/E 7.64 · £1 +5.50
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −3.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.5%+2.6
n=8 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −2.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going 5.4% vs 9.9% · n=37
At Deauville (FR) 7.9% vs 9.9% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 37 2 5.4% +4.50
Soft 15 1 6.7% −10.80
Good 14 4 28.6% +17.80
Good to Soft 12 1 8.3% −9.30
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 38 3 7.9% +7.70
Longchamp (FR) 11 2 18.2% +6.20
Saint-Cloud (FR) 11 2 18.2% −2.90
Chantilly (FR) 9 1 11.1% −0.80
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00
Clairefontaine 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Croise-Laroche 1 0 0% —

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 2 20% 0.81 −3.10
2nd–3rd fav 20 4 20% 1.47 +4.30
4th–6th fav 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
7th+ in betting 33 2 6.1% 1.73 +15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Le Temujin (IRE)then J-Y Artu 12 1 4 21 Aug 12
Kiss Royal (IRE)then F Doumen 12 2 4 5 Aug 12
Mocca Mare (GB)then Mme M Bollack-Badel 8 1 2 21 Aug 12
Bolero (GER) 7 1 1 7 Jul 12
Titurel (GER)from J Hirschberger 6 2 4 15 Jun 11
Diamond Rock (GER) 5 0 2 11 Jun 12
Grande Amore (IRE)then Mario Hofer 4 0 1 7 Dec 11
Julie's Love (GB) 4 1 3 2 Oct 11
Perdona (GER) 3 0 0 6 Jul 12
Diamond Max (GER) 3 0 0 29 Sep 10
Wanda's Girl (GB)then Waldemar Hickst 2 0 1 8 Dec 11
Imasci (GB)from Mme Christiane Head · then C Boutin 2 0 1 7 Aug 11
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mario Hofer (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Mario Hofer (2); 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·0050022140000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Maxime Guyon 21 4 19% +5.40
Gerald Mosse 12 1 8.3% −3.80
Andreas Suborics 8 0 0% −7.00
Johan Victoire 5 0 0% −5.00
Gaetan Masure 5 0 0% −5.00
Theo Bachelot 5 0 0% −5.00
Eduardo Pedroza 4 0 0% −4.00
Elliot Canal 4 0 0% −4.00
Umberto Rispoli 4 1 25% +31.00
Mickael Barzalona 3 0 0% −3.00
Soufyane Moulin 2 1 50% +3.40
Dominique Boeuf 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
8
Archived wins
£184k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 6 wins
Titurel (GER) — Prix Marsyas (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2011
£14,224
Bolero (GER) — Prix De La Bienfaisance (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2011
£10,776
Julie's Love (GB) — Prix Casterari (Condiitons) (3yo) (Apprentices) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2011
£10,345

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exceed And Excel (AUS) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Hawk Wing (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).
Toylsome (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.9% of 91 runs since 2008 (21 horses).
Motivator (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,572 runs since 2008 (510 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.9% from 1,079. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 1,277. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.1% from 589. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 572.
Tertullian (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,007 runs since 2008 (113 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.8% from 251.
Dr Fong (USA) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 81 · newest first

The latest 50 of 81 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 June 2010 to 15 March 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Manfred Hofer's strike rate?
Manfred Hofer has won 8 of 81 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Manfred Hofer do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 runners (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Manfred Hofer's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 78 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).