Mme E Allaire
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.22). In Group and Graded company the record reads 30% (44 runs).
It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (17.6% over 74 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 29.5% (n=44, Fair A/E 1.42), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 15.2% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.82). Theo Chevillard rides 55% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (21.1%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 1 (30.4%, n=46). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 16.2% over 37 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Haras d'Etreham - Prix Magalen Bryant at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2023, £72,876). The stable star of the record: Kamaro D'huez (FR) — 7 wins from 16 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 22.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 22.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 163 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 163 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 July 2022 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mme E Allaire's strike rate?
- Mme E Allaire has won 36 of 163 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 22.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mme E Allaire do best at?
- Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 48 runners (25%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mme E Allaire?
- Theo Chevillard, with 90 runners since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (21.1%).
- Is Mme E Allaire in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mme E Allaire's Fair A/E?
- 1.22, from 163 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.