Mrs C. Williams
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76). New recruits from other yards win at 11% first time out (64 runs). The yard is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.
It is weakest at Newton Abbot (3.2% over 31 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 10.9% (n=64, Fair A/E 1.13). Right now the yard is firing: 3 winners from 26 runners in the last 14 days (11.5%, 3.6pts above the 7.9% baseline). Conor Ring rides 35% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (13.7%, n=51) and off a 15-30-day break (12.2%, n=41). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.5% over 40 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.34 across 58 runners (3.4% strike, −47.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 192 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 192 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 April 2006 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 7 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 10 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 3 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Mrs C. Williams's strike rate?
- Mrs C. Williams has won 15 of 191 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mrs C. Williams do best at?
- Newton Abbot by strike rate: 1 wins from 31 runners (3.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mrs C. Williams?
- Conor Ring, with 67 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.5%).
- Is Mrs C. Williams in form?
- In the last 14 days: 26 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 11.5%. That is above the baseline of 7.9% since 2008.
- What is Mrs C. Williams's Fair A/E?
- 0.76, from 191 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.