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Trainer profile

Mrs N Sheppard

30 runners in the lifetime window · 10 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 201 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–30
Wins / Runs
16.7%
Strike rate
n=30
10 (33%)
Placed
1.20
n=30 · 1.04 incl. margin
−9.00
£1 level stake
n=30 at SP · −30.0%
£26,387
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.3%−8.4
n=12 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −6.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%−8.4
n=12 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −6.50
Debutants · first career start
100%+83.3
n=2 · A/E 6.13 · £1 +9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
100%+83.3
n=2 · A/E 6.13 · £1 +9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−16.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
19.2%+2.5
n=26 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 11 0 0% −11.00
Soft 8 3 37.5% +5.50
Good to Soft 7 1 14.3% −5.00
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Exeter 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Leicester 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 1 1 100% +1.50
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Worcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00
Hereford 1 0 0% −1.00
Kelso 1 1 100% +1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 16 4 25% +3.00
Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 2 1 50% +0.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 2 66.7% 1.72 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 12 3 25% 1.31 +4.50
4th–6th fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
7th+ in betting 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.7% completed · 30 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 30 76.7% 0 2 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Yippee Ki Yay (IRE) 6 2 6 24 Apr 26
A Jet Of Our Own (IRE) 6 1 1 9 Apr 26
Strong Weld (GB)from Matt Sheppard 5 0 1 27 May 10
Risk And Roll (FR)from Paul Nicholls · then James Evans 4 2 2 30 Apr 21
Ballyallia Man (IRE)from Tom George 3 0 0 24 Mar 16
Up There (IRE)from A L T Moore · then Matt Sheppard 2 0 0 4 May 11
Espoir De Guye (FR)from S Loxton 1 0 0 3 May 24
Ballycahane (IRE)from A L T Moore · then Matt Sheppard 1 0 0 3 May 19
Oedipe (FR)from Nicky Henderson · then A J S Phillips-Hill 1 0 0 1 May 13
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A L T Moore (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Matt Sheppard (2); 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
010025018·······
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Milo Herbert 10 4 40% +5.50
Mr L R Payter 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr Ed Bailey 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr R Jenkins 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Ivor Herbert 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr James Ridley 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Zac Baker 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss Natalie Parker 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£26,387
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Yippee Ki Yay (IRE) — Borders Growers & Distillers Corinthian Spirit 'Grassroots' Hunters' Chase Series Final Kelso · May 2024 · Class 3
£5,820
Risk And Roll (FR) — Dick Saunders Novices' Hunters' Chase Leicester · Feb 2020 · Class 5
£3,120
Risk And Roll (FR) — Low6 Sports Betting Reborn Novices' Hunters' Chase Stratford · Mar 2020 · Class 5
£3,120

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jet Away (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,563 runs since 2018 (277 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,202 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Weld (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.1% of 281 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,295 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
No Risk At All (FR) 50% · 2–4
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,170 runs since 2016 (440 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 955.
Supreme Leader (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 31 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Mrs N Sheppard's 31 archived runners, from 27 April 2005 to 24 April 2026, newest first — 5 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs N Sheppard's strike rate?
Mrs N Sheppard has won 5 of 30 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.7% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs N Sheppard's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 30 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).