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Trainer profile

P Nicot

375 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–375
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=375
83 (22%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=359 · 0.50 incl. margin
−183.50
£1 level stake
n=360 at SP · −51.0%
£399k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (46 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 375 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct Fresh horses: 7.5% Julien Auge: 6.5% from 62 Claiming riders: 8.7%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 8.7% (n=46, Fair A/E 1.26). Julien Auge rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.5%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (12.1%, n=33) and off a break of 180+ days (10%, n=50). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.75 across 57 runners (8.8% strike, −17.40 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.5%+2.4
n=173 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −47.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
14.3%+9.2
n=28 · A/E 1.81 · £1 +1.40
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
5.9%
n=17 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −12.40
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.7%+3.6
n=46 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −0.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 12.1% vs 5.1% · n=33
Off a break of 180+ days 10% vs 5.1% · n=50
With Fabrice Veron 0% vs 5.1% · n=35
With a new jockey booking 8.4% vs 5.1% · n=155
On Soft going 8.8% vs 5.1% · n=57
With claiming riders up 8.7% vs 5.1% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 203 7 3.4% −116.70
Soft 57 5 8.8% −17.40
Good to Soft 49 4 8.2% +0.50
Good 43 2 4.7% −34.40
Heavy 21 1 4.8% −13.50
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 158 4 2.5% −98.20
Chantilly (FR) 73 4 5.5% −18.50
Saint-Cloud (FR) 53 4 7.5% −18.00
Longchamp (FR) 51 2 3.9% −32.40
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 23 2 8.7% −17.40
La Teste De Buch (FR) 7 1 14.3% +2.50
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 2 1 50% +4.50
Pau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Evreux 1 0 0% —
Pornichet-La Baule 1 0 0% −1.00
Royan La Palmyre (FR) 1 1 100% —
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 11 2 18.2% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 18 1 5.6% 0.32 −13.40
2nd–3rd fav 57 3 5.3% 0.45 −35.90
4th–6th fav 67 6 9% 1.12 −8.40
7th+ in betting 218 4 1.8% 0.49 −125.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Black Jewel (FR)from Mlle S-V Tarrou 39 1 9 6 Mar 18
Al Rassoul (FR)from P Monfort 34 1 5 21 Oct 26
Anadun (FR)from C Ferland 26 1 8 6 Oct 20
Golden Criss (IRE)from J-L Guillochon 24 1 8 19 Sep 18
Molino (FR)from M Boutin 23 3 6 21 Oct 26
Thousand Miles (IRE)from L A Urbano-Grajales 23 0 4 26 Sep 16
Commando Cat (FR)from L A Urbano-Grajales 23 2 4 31 Jul 16
Satwa Ruby (FR)from Jean De Roualle 23 1 5 26 Nov 13
Great Gorge (USA)from Rod Collet 21 1 5 29 Dec 13
Jordan Baker (FR)from M Boutin 18 1 8 2 Nov 26
Last Mansonnien (FR)from A Chaille-Chaille 18 0 4 1 Dec 15
Kasrawad (IRE)from A De Royer-Dupre · then E Bergougnoux 14 2 3 24 Jul 13
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Chaille-Chaille (2) and C Ferland (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
014031111809805
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJulien Auge
17% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.84
RiderRWSR£1
Julien Auge 62 4 6.5% +2.60
Arnaud Bourgeais 39 1 2.6% −14.00
Fabrice Veron 35 0 0% −35.00
Delphine Santiago 30 2 6.7% −10.20
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
30
Archived wins
£553k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Giorgiolito (GB) — Prix Terre d'Hermes (Prix du Grand Canal) (Handicap) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2006
£15,559
Giorgiolito (GB) — Prix Canot (All-Weather) Deauville (FR) · Mar 2007
£10,473
Black Jewel (FR) — Prix de l'Aigle (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2014
£10,000
Notable horses
Molino (FR) Giorgiolito (GB) Half Crazy (USA) Commando Cat (FR) Kasrawad (IRE) King Crimson (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Layman (USA) 2.6% · 1–39
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,327 runs since 2010 (122 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 279. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 161.
Elusive City (USA) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,429 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Dunkerque (FR) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 6.6% of 574 runs since 2013 (57 horses).
Medecis (GB) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,595 runs since 2008 (112 horses).
Danehill Dancer (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Makfi (GB) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,830 runs since 2014 (358 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 419 · newest first

The latest 50 of 419 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 April 2005 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Jordan Baker (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Madame Claude RougetClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 16 ran 7th 11/2
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Molino (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De Saint-faust8f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 10/1
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Al Rassoul (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De Lons8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 14/1
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Jordan Baker (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Pierre ValentinClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 7/2
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Molino (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Du Hong Kong Jockey ClubClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 11/2
24 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Jordan Baker (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Haras Des Petits ChampsClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 9/2
24 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Al Rassoul (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De L'ordre International Des AnysetiersClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 66/1
24 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Molino (FR)J: Alejandro Gutierrez Val Prix De L'ordre International Des AnysetiersClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 17/2
05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Molino (FR)J: C Brechon Prix Aktem - Prix Marquise D'andigne - Challenge France SireClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 12/1
26 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Molino (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Mc Donald's Bassin D'arcachonClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 22/1
26 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Jordan Baker (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Mc Donald's Bassin D'arcachonClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 7/1
10 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Jordan Baker (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Coupe de la CobasClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 14/1
10 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Molino (FR)J: Alejandro Gutierrez Val Prix DuralockClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 25/1
23 Apr 26 Longchamp (FR) Jordan Baker (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix de la Comedie Francaise (Handicap) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 41/1
23 Apr 26 Longchamp (FR) Al Rassoul (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix des Bouffes Parisiens (Handicap) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 83/1
17 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Jordan Baker (FR)J: Hugo Boutin The Aga Khan Studs Prix de Norolles (Handicap) (4yo+) (Round Course) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 11/1
20 Jun 25 Chantilly (FR) Jordan Baker (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix de l'Allee des Merisiers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)8f · Good · 13 ran 9th 28/1
20 Jun 25 Chantilly (FR) Al Rassoul (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix de l'Allee de la Plaine (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)8f · Good · 16 ran 11th 23/1
24 Apr 25 Longchamp (FR) Molino (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix des Gemeaux Parisiens (Handicap) (4yo+) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)8f · Very Soft · 16 ran 9th 37/1
24 Apr 25 Longchamp (FR) Al Rassoul (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix des Gemeaux Parisiens (Handicap) (4yo+) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)8f · Very Soft · 16 ran 3rd 70/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Nicot's strike rate?
P Nicot has won 19 of 375 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Nicot do best at?
Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 53 runners (7.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P Nicot?
Julien Auge, with 62 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.5%).
Is P Nicot in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P Nicot's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 359 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).