P Schiergen
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.77). Debutants are a strength: 11% on first career starts (57 runs).
It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (2.6% over 38 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.2% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.39). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.7% over 37 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 1: Fair A/E 0.39 across 63 runners (3.2% strike, −43.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 15 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2011, £1,970,345).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 675 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 675 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 May 2005 to 18 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is P Schiergen's strike rate?
- P Schiergen has won 13 of 154 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does P Schiergen do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 36 runners (8.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is P Schiergen in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is P Schiergen's Fair A/E?
- 0.77, from 153 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.