Henk Grewe
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 19% off breaks of two months or more (43 runs).
The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (16.1%, n=31), clear of the yard's 10.8% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 18.6% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.41), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (15.7%, n=51) and off a 15-30-day break (16.1%, n=31). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 31 runners, 10.8pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Shadwell Prix Daphnis at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2020, £26,695).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 480 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 480 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 August 2014 to 21 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Henk Grewe's strike rate?
- Henk Grewe has won 16 of 148 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Henk Grewe do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Henk Grewe in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Henk Grewe's Fair A/E?
- 0.81, from 147 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.