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Trainer profile

Karoly Kerekes

41 runners in the last 5 seasons · 20 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–41
Wins / Runs
9.8%
Strike rate
n=41
6 (15%)
Placed
2.20
Fair A/E
n=40 · 1.79 incl. margin
+12.30
£1 level stake
n=40 at SP · +30.8%
£51,737
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.3%−1.5
n=12 · A/E 1.56 · £1 −4.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.5%+2.7
n=8 · A/E 2.91 · £1 −0.20
Debutants · first career start
10%+0.2
n=10 · A/E 2.89 · £1 +7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−9.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 5.9% vs 9.8% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 16 2 12.5% +14.80
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Soft 7 1 14.3% −2.50
Good 6 1 16.7% +11.00
Soft 4 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 13 1 7.7% −5.20
Strasbourg (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Vittel (FR) 7 2 28.6% +14.50
Nancy (FR) 2 0 0% −1.00
Deauville (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 1 1 100% +22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 2 50% 3.95 +8.30
4th–6th fav 7 1 14.3% 2.12 +10.00
7th+ in betting 29 1 3.4% 1.20 −6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lionessa (GER) 5 0 0 4 Oct 26
Liverpool (GER) 4 2 2 26 Oct 26
Pegasus D'azur (FR) 4 1 2 23 Oct 26
Fille De Louise (IRE) 4 0 0 4 Oct 26
Joli Prince (FR)from Mme Conny Whitfield 4 1 1 2 May 24
Seventh Wonder (FR) 2 0 0 4 Oct 26
Mr Riem (FR) 2 0 0 10 Dec 24
Pante Rhei (GER) 2 0 0 7 Dec 24
Roi De L'Air (GER)then Adrien Fouassier 2 0 0 1 Mar 24
Mythos (GER) 2 0 0 1 Mar 24
Morsan (IRE)from C Boutin 1 0 0 11 Oct 26
Starry Sky (GER)from P Schiergen 1 0 0 24 Sep 26
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0500·00253301300
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Enzo Corallo 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Mme Frida Valle Skar 3 0 0% −3.00
Benjamin Marie 3 1 33.3% +14.00
Aurelien Lemaitre 3 0 0% −3.00
P Cheyer 2 0 0% −2.00
Costantino Carboni 2 0 0% −2.00
Hugo Besnier 2 0 0% −2.00
Bertrand Flandrin 2 1 50% +22.00
Maxime Guyon 2 1 50% +5.80
Cristian Demuro 2 0 0% −2.00
Fabien Lefebvre 1 0 0% −1.00
Ioritz Mendizabal 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
6
Archived wins
£83,372
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
Joli Prince (FR) — Prix de la Route Neuve des Sablons (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2024
£13,043
Orgarcon (FR) — Finale du Galop Tour Inter-regional (GTI) (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2018
£11,062
Liverpool (GER) — Prix Jeanne D'arc Vittel (FR) · Jul 2026
£8,151
Notable horses
Liverpool (GER) Scarlett Of Tara (GER) Joli Prince (FR) Pegasus D'azur (FR) Orgarcon (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fearless King (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 0% of 5 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.
The Grey Gatsby (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.9% of 1,040 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 18.4% from 141.
American Devil (FR) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.7% of 545 runs since 2008 (78 horses).
Amaron (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9% of 356 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,880 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Martinborough (JPN) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 12% of 658 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.4% from 159.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 52 · newest first

The latest 50 of 52 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 October 2018 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Liverpool (GER)J: Enzo Corallo Prix De La Route BellevalClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 16/1
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Pegasus D'azur (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix Droit Divin12f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 22/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Pegasus D'azur (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix Du Technopole De Brabois12.5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd —
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Morsan (IRE)J: Lukas Deleau Prix "Eperon De Nancy"Class 3 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 66/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Seventh Wonder (FR)J: Mme Sophie Tison Prix Du DaboClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 13th 12/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Pegasus D'azur (FR)J: Costantino Carboni Prix Coupe De L'est10.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 12th 33/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Lionessa (GER)J: Enzo Corallo Prix Coupe De L'est10.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 22/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Fille De Louise (IRE)J: P Cheyer Prix Coupe De L'est10.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 5th 50/1
24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Liverpool (GER)J: Enzo Corallo Prix De Choisy Au Bac8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 50/1
24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Starry Sky (GER)J: Benjamin Marie Prix De Vignemont8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 20/1
20 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Seventh Wonder (FR)J: P Cheyer Prix De La Collectivite Europeenne D'alsace7.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 20/1
20 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Pegasus D'azur (FR)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix Recco Expertise Comptable (Prix Du Maire Chretien Glass)10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 150/1
18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Centrical (IRE)J: Benjamin Marie Prix A TempoClass 2 · 12f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 33/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Lionessa (GER)J: Costantino Carboni Prix Credit Mutuel (Prix Des Vosges)10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 66/1
24 Aug 26 Vittel (FR) Liverpool (GER)J: Enzo Corallo Prix Maria Lezynska8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 7/2
24 Aug 26 Vittel (FR) Fille De Louise (IRE)J: Enzo Corallo Prix De La Place Stanislas12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 50/1
11 Aug 26 Vittel (FR) Fille De Louise (IRE)J: Enzo Corallo Prix Norroy Sur Vair10.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 10/1
27 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Lionessa (GER)J: Emilien Puillet-Roda Prix Minnie De Beauvau Craon10.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 50/1
27 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Fille De Louise (IRE)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix Minnie De Beauvau Craon10.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 28/1
27 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Liverpool (GER)J: Benjamin Marie Prix Jeanne D'arc8f · Good · 8 ran 1st 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Karoly Kerekes's strike rate?
Karoly Kerekes has won 4 of 41 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Karoly Kerekes in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Karoly Kerekes's Fair A/E?
2.20, from 40 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).