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Trainer profile

T F Shaw

94 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 195 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–94
Wins / Runs
2.1%
Strike rate
n=94
10 (11%)
Placed
0.52
Fair A/E
n=94 · 0.41 incl. margin
−28.00
£1 level stake
n=94 at SP · −29.8%
£34,208
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 2.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.1
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.5%+0.4
n=40 · A/E 0.50 · £1 +11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 0% vs 2.1% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 40 1 2.5% −25.00
Chase 27 0 0% −27.00
Flat 24 1 4.2% +27.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 30 0 0% −30.00
Heavy 22 1 4.5% −7.00
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 4 1 25% +47.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 11 0 0% −11.00
Navan 11 0 0% −11.00
Cork 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Dundalk (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Curragh 3 1 33.3% +48.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Tramore 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 23 0 0% 0.00 −23.00
7th+ in betting 64 2 3.1% 1.32 +2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.6% completed · 67 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 27 74.1% 2 0 5 0 0
Hurdle 40 85% 0 0 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Chapter Two (IRE) 24 1 4 6 May 22
Keenaghan Lass (IRE) 16 0 1 1 May 26
Appletime (IRE) 16 0 2 11 Apr 14
Boost Buddy (IRE) 9 0 1 8 Apr 16
Eunoia (GB) 6 0 0 1 Sep 19
Capitalist Queen (IRE) 5 0 0 31 May 18
Shadow Board (IRE) 4 0 0 7 Apr 19
Frame Rate (GB)then Iain Jardine 3 0 0 15 Apr 18
Tailor's Gold (IRE) 3 0 0 16 Jul 15
Brookeville Lady (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Sep 11
Telepathy (FR)from F-H Graffard 2 1 1 26 May 19
Indoctrination (IRE) 1 0 1 12 May 17
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000110000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ian McCarthy 28 1 3.6% −13.00
Tom Harney 9 0 0% −9.00
Chris Hayes 8 0 0% −8.00
Rory Cleary 6 0 0% −6.00
Roger Loughran 4 0 0% −4.00
Niall P Madden 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr J J King 3 0 0% −3.00
P W Flood 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr L P Shanahan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr L P Gilligan 2 0 0% −2.00
Derek McCormack 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane O'Callaghan 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
2
Archived wins
£34,208
Prize money
2019
Best season · 1 win
Telepathy (FR) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden Curragh · May 2019
£12,320
Chapter Two (IRE) — Buy Online At corkracecourse.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Cork · May 2018
£7,700
Notable horses
Chapter Two (IRE) Telepathy (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Presenting (GB) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,969 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Gold Well (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).
Amadeus Wolf (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,589 runs since 2011 (199 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.1% from 157.
Poet's Voice (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10% of 6,046 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.
Most Improved (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 6.7% of 1,101 runs since 2017 (71 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 94 · newest first

The latest 50 of 94 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2011 to 1 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 May 26 Punchestown Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Stanley Asphalt Hunters Chase For The Bishopscourt Cup20f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 150/1
02 May 25 Punchestown Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Stanley Asphalt Hunters Chase For The Bishopscourt Cup20f · Yielding · 11 ran PU 125/1
03 May 24 Punchestown Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Stanley Asphalt Hunters Chase For The Bishopscourt Cup20f · Yielding · 10 ran F 22/1
19 May 23 Downpatrick Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Tom Harney Down Royal Corporation Of Horse Breeders Maiden Hunters Chase23.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 6th 18/1
28 Apr 23 Punchestown Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Tom Harney Stanley Asphalt Hunters Chase For The Bishopscourt Cup21f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 8/1
13 Mar 23 Thurles Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Tom Harney Racing Again March 18th Maiden Hunters Chase25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 16/1
06 May 22 Downpatrick Chapter Two (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Thoroughbred Assisted Down Royal Corporation Of Horse Breeders Pilot Programme Handicap Chase (0-102)23.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 4th 9/1
06 May 22 Downpatrick Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Tom Harney Racing TV Handicap Chase (0-95)19f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 6th 17/2
11 Apr 22 Tramore Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Tom Harney West Waterford Handicap Chase (0-95)22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 22/1
01 Apr 22 Wexford Chapter Two (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Ire Wel Pallets Ltd Handicap Chase (0-102) (Div 1)25.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 6/1
24 Feb 22 Thurles Chapter Two (IRE)J: Tom Harney Thurles Racecourse (Q.R.) Handicap Chase (0-109)25f · Soft · 17 ran 6th 100/1
10 Feb 22 Thurles Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Tom Harney Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23f · Yielding · 18 ran 7th 50/1
22 Jan 22 Navan Chapter Two (IRE)J: Conor Orr Gormanlough Handicap Chase (0-102)24f · Yielding · 22 ran PU 66/1
17 Jan 22 Punchestown Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Tom Harney John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 15 ran 11th 125/1
06 Jun 21 Kilbeggan (IRE) Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Follow Kilbeggan On Twitter Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good · 16 ran PU 40/1
19 Apr 21 Tramore Chapter Two (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy West Waterford Handicap Chase (0-95)22f · Good · 12 ran 7th 11/1
15 Apr 21 Limerick Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Newcastlewest Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)21f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 40/1
09 Apr 21 Wexford Chapter Two (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Traynor's Of Wexford For Paint Handicap Chase (0-102)25.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 28/1
01 Mar 21 Punchestown Keenaghan Lass (IRE)J: Tom Harney Punchestown Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 40/1
15 Feb 21 Thurles Chapter Two (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is T F Shaw's strike rate?
T F Shaw has won 2 of 94 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is T F Shaw's Fair A/E?
0.52, from 94 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).