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Trainer profile

W Himmel

66 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 31 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–66
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=66
10 (15%)
Placed
1.11
n=55 · 1.45 incl. margin
+10.20
£1 level stake
n=60 at SP · +17.0%
£106k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.4%−0.2
n=27 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −3.10
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
5.6%−2.0
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+17.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +27.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.59 · £1 +2.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−7.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 7.8% vs 7.6% · n=51 · A/E 1.29
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 51 4 7.8% +5.20
Hurdle 13 1 7.7% +7.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 26 1 3.8% −21.10
Good 15 2 13.3% +24.10
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −7.00
Soft 9 2 22.2% +20.20
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 20 0 0% −20.00
Chantilly (FR) 11 1 9.1% −4.10
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 5 1 20% +1.10
Saint-Cloud (FR) 5 1 20% +8.20
Strasbourg 4 1 25% +12.00
Auteuil (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Vittel 4 0 0% −1.00
Longchamp (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Compiegne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Nancy 2 0 0% −2.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Saint-Galmier 1 0 0% —
Wissembourg 1 1 100% +29.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 2.59 +2.90
2nd–3rd fav 9 2 22.2% 1.34 +13.10
4th–6th fav 7 1 14.3% 0.00 +23.00
7th+ in betting 42 1 2.4% 0.79 −28.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Adriel (GB) 9 0 2 25 Sep 19
Fabulous Valley (FR) 9 1 2 2 Oct 18
Sweet Master (FR) 7 1 1 12 Dec 24
Sweet Cesaria (FR)then Guillaume Fabre 5 0 0 16 Mar 22
Kissing Light (FR)then M Nigge 5 1 1 21 Sep 19
Craus (FR) 4 0 2 9 Nov 16
Parron (FR)from W Hefter · then P-J Fertillet 4 0 0 5 Oct 16
Blessed Bird (FR) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26
Dormello Mo (FR)then Paul Nicholls 3 1 1 23 Oct 13
Royal Country (FR) 2 0 0 11 Aug 26
Per Perdes (FR)from J Parize 2 1 1 6 Nov 18
Postgirl (FR) 2 0 0 8 Nov 17
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Nicholls (2); 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000·03317008148
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jean-Gilles Gueracague 7 1 14.3% +13.00
Valentin Seguy 6 0 0% −6.00
Eddy Hardouin 6 1 16.7% +7.20
Antoine Hamelin 5 0 0% −5.00
Bertrand Bourez 5 0 0% −5.00
Cyrille Stefan 4 0 0% −4.00
Fabien Lefebvre 4 1 25% +0.90
Mickael Barzalona 4 0 0% −4.00
Antoine Coutier 3 0 0% −3.00
Stephane Laurent 2 0 0% −2.00
Clement Lefebvre 1 0 0% −1.00
Hakim Tabet 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
5
Archived wins
£106k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 2 wins
Per Perdes (FR) — Prix des Haras (Handicap) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2018
£12,389
Fabulous Valley (FR) — Prix de la Ville du Pecq (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Jul 2015
£10,078
Dormello Mo (FR) — Prix de Cloture (Hurdle) Strasbourg · Oct 2013
£8,976

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,858 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
Vatori (FR) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 7.3% of 905 runs since 2010 (89 horses).
Masterstroke (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.9% of 841 runs since 2017 (138 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6% from 200.
Linngari (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 9.2% of 822 runs since 2012 (94 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 100. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.7% from 295. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 223.
Tiberius Caesar (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.3% of 156 runs since 2015 (17 horses).
Hold That Tiger (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.3% of 771 runs since 2008 (90 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.2% from 105.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 66 · newest first

The latest 50 of 66 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 May 2009 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Blessed Bird (FR)J: P Cheyer Prix Du DaboClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 12th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is W Himmel's strike rate?
W Himmel has won 5 of 66 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is W Himmel's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 55 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).