3:05 Ripon
The 3:05 at Ripon is the British Stallion Studs EBF Ripon Champion Two Year Old Trophy Stakes, a Class 1 Listed race over six furlongs on good ground. Eight juveniles line up with the KTB Fit ratings tightly bunched between 62 and 42, suggesting a competitive renewal where experience, course knowledge and the ability to handle an uncontested lead will be key. The KTB numbers highlight Clash Of Hearts as the selection while underlining the promise held by several lightly-raced types stepping up in class.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, pointing to one horse securing an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for closers to reel in late. Pure Mint and Not My Type both have front-running tendencies though the former’s evidence is limited, while Rogue Jewel is likely to track prominently from draw one. The key question is whether the clear leader can dictate terms throughout or if the held-up brigade, including the selection Clash Of Hearts, can produce their effort at the right time on a track that often favours those on the speed.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Clash Of Hearts KTB Selection62/100
Clash Of Hearts arrives as the KTB Selection with a Fit rating of 62. A useful performer, he has already won over this trip and shown clear ability on good ground, recording a placed effort from three starts on the surface. Dropping back from seven furlongs after a modest latest run, he now tries first-time headgear in a bid to spark improvement. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the race to fall right given the uncontested lead likely to be set up front. The Adrian Keatley yard posts a 16% strike rate at Ripon from 81 runs with an A/E of 1.04, though the jockey has a 0% strike rate from eight rides at the track. No course form on record but the overall profile fits well for a race of this nature.
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2Pure Mint59/100
Pure Mint is rated 59 on the KTB Fit scale and brings the benefit of a course-and-distance success. He won on debut over this trip here at Ripon and remains very lightly raced with only one run on the board. The Simon & Ed Crisford yard has a strong 41% strike rate at the track from 29 runs while Harry Davies, who has a 32% strike rate at Ripon from 19 rides, takes the mount. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he could be the lone leader in a race with that shape, although his lack of experience on good ground leaves that side unproven. Stepping up in class, he needs to be treated with caution but clearly has potential.
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3Harry Knows59/100
Harry Knows also sits on a KTB Fit of 59 and steps up in class. A fair two-year-old, he boasts solid recent form that includes a win and two placed efforts over today’s six-furlong trip. He has already shown enough at Ripon to suggest the track suits him, backed by the yard’s 20% strike rate at the venue from five runs. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in a race where the leader may get an easy time upfront. Placed once from two starts on good ground without winning, that side of his profile remains with a small sample. P J McDonald rides with the stable’s 25% trainer-jockey strike rate from eight combined runs.
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4Rogue Jewel58/100
Rogue Jewel is next on the KTB Fit at 58 and has won both starts at this trip. Successful over course and distance on good ground last time, he has already shown he handles the surface with one win from one run. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he is well placed to track any pace from a low draw in a contest with a lone-leader shape. The Edward Bethell yard holds a 25% strike rate at Ripon from 68 runs while Daniel Tudhope, who has a 21% strike rate at the track from 479 rides, is in the saddle. Lightly raced and stepping up in class, his class read is only fair so far but the form is hard to dismiss.
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5Silent Beauty55/100
Silent Beauty is rated 55 on KTB Fit. A useful performer who showed promise when winning on debut over this trip before finishing down the field in a stronger race last time, he has an 11% yard strike rate at Ripon from nine runs. The trip looks suitable but with only two starts the going remains an unknown.
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6Napa52/100
Napa has a KTB Fit of 52. A useful colt who has already shown his ability at this level with a win and a placed effort from three starts, he steps up to 6f for the first time today which asks a fresh question. The yard has an 11% strike rate at Ripon from nine runs and he has two runs on good without placing.
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7Not My Type50/100
Not My Type is rated 50. Having won both starts at maiden level he steps up to a Class 1 at Ripon with a fair level of ability shown so far that leaves him with something to prove against stronger opposition. The move up from 5f to 6f is an unknown while the yard has a 29% strike rate at the track from 274 runs and he remains unproven on good ground.
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8Bear Lee42/100
Bear Lee has a KTB Fit of 42. A fair performer who has shown a mix of promise and disappointment in four runs, he has already won on good ground. The trainer’s 11% strike rate at Ripon from 95 runs is modest and he steps up in class having yet to place in three starts at the trip.
KTB verdict
Clash Of Hearts is the KTB Selection. A useful performer with a win over this trip and proven ability on good ground, he drops back from seven furlongs and tries first-time headgear while supported by the trainer’s solid record at Ripon. The held-up run style means he will need the race to unfold favourably given the likely lone leader, yet his overall profile stands up well. Pure Mint, Rogue Jewel and Harry Knows are the main dangers, each bringing course form, progressive records or strong trainer stats at the venue that could see them in the mix if the leader is caught.
KTB Selection Clash Of Hearts
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 31 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Clash Of Hearts | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Pure Mint | 9/4 | LiveScore Bet |
| Harry Knows | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Rogue Jewel | 10/3 | Bet365 |
| Silent Beauty | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Napa | 14/1 | Bet Victor |
| Not My Type | 4/1 | William Hill |
| Bear Lee | 35/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 3:05 Ripon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ripon racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ripon results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to secure the uncontested lead?
Pure Mint tends to make the running or race on the pace though the evidence is limited, while Not My Type also has front-running tendencies with medium confidence.
How many of the principals have already won over course and distance?
Two: Pure Mint won here over this trip on debut and Rogue Jewel won here over course and distance on good ground last time.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Ripon among those represented?
Simon & Ed Crisford with a 41% strike rate at Ripon from 29 runs.
Which horses are stepping up in class for this Listed race?
Pure Mint, Harry Knows, Rogue Jewel and Not My Type are all stepping up in class, along with Bear Lee.
Who is the only runner in the field with first-time headgear?
Clash Of Hearts.
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