5:35 Listowel
The John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase at Listowel brings together a competitive field of 14 for this 2m7f180y contest on good ground. With no obvious front-runner in a race that lacks a leader, the KTB numbers point to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy could prove decisive. The top five in the KTB Fit rankings are headed by Le Grand Vert on 66, followed closely by Justatan on 64, with the remainder of the field showing modest to useful ability according to the supplied assessments.
How the race shapes up
Given the pace shape that lacks a leader and carries medium confidence, the race is expected to unfold as a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy pays dividends. Most principals are held-up types who produce their effort late, though Sphagnum is noted as usually racing prominently on or close to the lead. The key question will be which horse can time its run best off what is likely to be a modest gallop, with positioning in the steadily-run contest potentially making all the difference at the business end.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Le Grand Vert KTB Selection66/100
Le Grand Vert is a useful performer who has won twice over today's trip from 18 attempts and has placed four times from 15 starts on good ground. The Noel C Kelly yard holds a 25% strike rate at Listowel from eight runs while jockey Mr O McGill posts a 20% record from five rides here. This represents a first run at the track and recent form of 12P684 is not standout, leaving him viewed more as an each-way than win proposition. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the steadily-run nature of the race. The combination of trainer and jockey stats at the venue offers some encouragement in what looks a competitive handicap.
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2Justatan64/100
Justatan is a smart performer who arrives in decent nick with placed efforts on his last two starts. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question of him while the Emmet Mullins yard has an 8% strike rate from 38 runs at Listowel. The jockey has only four rides at the track so far which is too small a sample to judge. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be well placed in a steadily-run affair. With recent form reading 09-332 he brings solid recent credibility though the distance increase remains the main unknown.
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3Tullybeg59/100
Tullybeg is a smart performer with a solid career record that includes three wins at today's trip. He has four wins from 22 runs on good ground and steps back up in distance having last run over 2m6½f. The trainer has a 7% strike rate from 29 runs at Listowel while the jockey is 0-12 here. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he should be suited by the tactical shape. Recent form of 1-457U shows mixed fortunes of late but the trip looks ideal on his career pattern.
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4Toor Khov58/100
Toor Khov is a smart performer with solid recent form and a win at this trip from six attempts. He has placed once from two runs at Listowel and is well handled by Gleeson who rides the track at a 20% strike rate. The trainer's modest 3% record here is the main negative while the single run on good ground leaves that side unproven. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he should be well positioned in a steadily-run race. Recent form of 51F24- suggests he remains a live contender at this level.
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5Sphagnum57/100
Sphagnum is a high-class performer who brings strong ratings and a solid race history to the table. He drops back to a trip he has won over before while showing two wins and six places from 13 starts on good ground. The trainer has a modest 6% strike-rate at Listowel from 18 runs and the jockey has had too few rides here to judge. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, he could be ideally placed in a race that lacks an obvious leader. Recent form of 80-274 keeps him competitive at this level.
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6Whateys Quest56/100
Whateys Quest is a smart performer who has been a consistent player at a decent level but has failed to land a win in recent seasons. He steps up markedly in trip today having shown little on good ground at shorter, while the first visit to Listowel adds another unknown. The trainer's modest strike rate here is offset by the jockey's strong small-sample record.
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7Harbour Highway55/100
Harbour Highway is a smart performer who has been competitive on good ground without winning. He steps up in trip today for a first run at Listowel, which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at the track from decent-sized samples.
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8Ira Hayes53/100
Ira Hayes is a smart performer who has run well enough in two starts at Listowel without placing. He has placed twice from three runs on good ground and is dropping back in trip today having been placed once at this distance. The yard holds a 10% strike rate here from a decent sample of runs.
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9Mister Pink52/100
Mister Pink is a smart performer on his best days with a solid record on good ground that includes two wins from five starts. He steps up markedly in trip today having never gone beyond 2m3½f so this will ask a fresh question of his stamina. The trainer has a modest 7% strike rate at Listowel while the jockey is still seeking his first winner here from six rides.
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10Born Bright50/100
Born Bright is a smart performer who has won four times and shown consistent form in stronger company. He drops back from 3m1f to a trip he has won over before and acts on good ground. The trainer is 0-5 at Listowel while the horse himself was well held on his only previous run here.
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11Illtakehimmyself49/100
Illtakehimmyself is a smart performer who has finished in the first three on four of his last five starts and showed his liking for this track when second here over shorter. He steps up in trip today which looks an open question given he has only placed once at this distance. The trainer's modest 5% strike-rate at Listowel is a negative.
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12Dorans Law48/100
Dorans Law is a smart performer who has shown his best at this track with a second and a third from four runs here. He is only 1-11 on good ground though and has been below form on his last two completed starts. The trip looks about right but the yard and jockey both have modest records at Listowel.
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13Hees Dynamite45/100
Hees Dynamite is a useful performer who has placed at this track without winning. He steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in four previous attempts at this distance. The trainer's modest 5% strike-rate here is well established over a big sample while the 7lb claimer has had too few rides at Listowel to judge.
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14King Ferdinand39/100
King Ferdinand is a useful performer on his day but has been out of form for some time with four pulled-up efforts in his last five starts. He has shown some ability on good ground and has won over today's trip though his record at Listowel is poor with no placed efforts from two runs. The trainer's modest strike-rate here adds to the negatives while the jockey has had too few rides at the track to form any clear view.
KTB verdict
Le Grand Vert is the KTB Selection. A useful performer with two wins over today's trip and four places from 15 starts on good ground, he is backed by a trainer with a 25% strike rate at Listowel from eight runs and a jockey with a 20% record from five rides at the venue. Usually held up, he should be well suited by the steadily-run, tactical shape where being handy pays. His main dangers are Justatan, who arrives in decent nick with recent placed efforts, and Tullybeg, who has three wins at the trip and a solid record on good ground.
KTB Selection Le Grand Vert
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 26 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Le Grand Vert | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Justatan | 12/5 | BetMGM |
| Tullybeg | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Toor Khov | 10/1 | Bet Victor |
| Sphagnum | 20/1 | BetMGM |
| Whateys Quest | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Harbour Highway | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Ira Hayes | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Mister Pink | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Born Bright | 11/1 | Bet Victor |
| Illtakehimmyself | 4/1 | BetTom |
| Dorans Law | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Hees Dynamite | 8/1 | Bet Victor |
| King Ferdinand | 40/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 5:35 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is the KTB Selection and what is its Fit Score?
Le Grand Vert is the KTB Selection with a Fit Score of 66/100.
How is the race likely to be run given the pace shape?
It lacks a leader with medium confidence so is likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which of the principals usually races prominently?
Sphagnum usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
What is the trainer strike rate at Listowel for the handler of the selection?
Noel C Kelly holds a 25% strike rate at Listowel from eight runs with an A/E of 2.29.
Which runner has the strongest small-sample jockey record at Listowel among the field?
Whateys Quest's jockey has a 20% strike rate at Listowel with an A/E of 5.91 from five rides.
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