4:35 Stratford
This Class 4 National Hunt Flat race at Stratford over 2m0f70y on good to firm ground features a field of eight, most of whom arrive with limited racecourse evidence. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with four principals separated by only five points, underlining how open the contest appears on the numbers. With the pace shape rated unclear due to insufficient run-style data across the field, the race lacks a clear blueprint and will test the latent ability and trainer form of these lightly raced or debutant types.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence, as there is not enough run-style evidence to establish how the race will unfold. Secret Jet Away is the only horse with a defined pattern, typically settling in midfield, while the remainder are debutants or hold limited data. This leaves the key question as whether the race develops into a steadily run affair or if one of the newcomers can impose from the front, making positioning and the ability to quicken off a slow gallop potentially decisive.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Secret Jet Away52/100
Secret Jet Away is a lightly raced four-year-old with just a single run on the board, having finished fourth, so the form offers little to go on. The trip looks no better than fair on what is known. Martin Keighley has a solid 10% strike rate at Stratford from 189 runs, though the yard steps this one up in class. Freddie Keighley rides with a 33% strike rate at the track from a small sample of three rides. Both going and jockey track data are too limited to read anything into, and the horse has no course form on record.
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2Mon Missel KTB Selection52/100
Mon Missel is a half-brother to the useful hurdler Monmiral and is related to several other winners, arriving as a debutant with very little else to go on. Jamie Snowden brings a solid 19% strike-rate at Stratford from 152 runs and pairs with Gavin Sheehan, who himself holds an 18% record at the track from 243 rides. The pairing's combined record stands at 23% from 1450 runners with an A/E of 0.99. By Goliath Du Berlais, who has a 17% overall win rate, the horse has no course win on record. This looks the right place to start given the yard's local record.
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3Turbogeist51/100
Turbogeist has shown fair form in two starts, finishing second on debut before a fourth last time, and has already placed at today's trip. The yard of Mickey Bowen has a solid 23% strike rate at Stratford from 22 runs, while Sean Bowen is even stronger with a 22% record from 237 rides at the track. Their combined record stands at 23% from 133 runners. This represents a step up in class, and the horse has no runs on good to firm so remains unproven on the ground. With no course form on record, the form must be treated with caution given the small sample.
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4Gypsy Sky47/100
Gypsy Sky is a newcomer with no racecourse experience, so the assessment rests on pedigree and sales background. The yard of David Killahena and Graeme McPherson holds a solid 12% strike-rate at Stratford from 33 runs, with Kielan Woods operating at 16% from 186 rides here. Their combined record stands at 21% from 117 runners with an A/E of 1.30. By Jack Hobbs, who has a 10% overall win rate, the horse has no course win on record. Data confidence remains low given the complete lack of form.
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5Lizziemouth46/100
Lizziemouth is a newcomer with no racecourse experience, so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. Sarah-Jayne Davies has a modest 3% strike rate at Stratford from 89 runs, though James Best holds a solid 9% record from 192 rides here.
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6Three Of Spades45/100
Three Of Spades is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. Tom Gretton has a modest 7% strike-rate at Stratford from 89 runs while Conor O'Farrell is operating below expectations with a 6% strike-rate from 72 rides here.
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7Persian Art43/100
Persian Art is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. Henrietta C Knight has a solid 12% strike rate at Stratford from 150 runs, though Brendan Powell is operating at a more modest 8% from 152 rides here.
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8Christine's Star39/100
Christine's Star has very little to go on after just one run in the last year. The trip has already been tried without success, this is a step up in class, and both going and course remain unknown quantities with no runs on good to firm. Michael Mullineaux has too few runners at Stratford to judge while Kevin Brogan's 9% strike rate from 54 rides here offers limited encouragement.
KTB verdict
The KTB Selection is Mon Missel. A debutant half-brother to useful hurdler Monmiral, he benefits from the strong local combination of Jamie Snowden and Gavin Sheehan, who between them boast excellent recent strike rates at Stratford. With so many in the field either debutants or very lightly raced, his pedigree and the yard's 19% course record give him the strongest profile. The main dangers are Turbogeist, who has shown fair form and benefits from the Bowen axis, and Secret Jet Away, who brings some racecourse experience even if it is modest.
KTB Selection Mon Missel
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 5 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Jet Away | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Mon Missel | 7/4 | Bet365 |
| Turbogeist | 7/4 | Bet365 |
| Gypsy Sky | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Lizziemouth | 66/1 | Bet365 |
| Three Of Spades | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Persian Art | 9/1 | 7Bet |
| Christine's Star | 100/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:35 Stratford. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Stratford racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Stratford results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest trainer-jockey combination at Stratford?
Mon Missel, with Jamie Snowden at 19% and Gavin Sheehan at 18%.
How many runners in the field have previous racecourse experience?
Three: Secret Jet Away (one run), Mon Missel (two runs) and Turbogeist (two runs).
Which horse is stepping up in class?
Secret Jet Away, Turbogeist and Christine's Star are all stepping up in class.
What is the only defined run-style in the field?
Secret Jet Away typically settles in midfield.
Which sires are represented among the debutants?
Goliath Du Berlais for Mon Missel, Jack Hobbs for Gypsy Sky, Dartmouth for Lizziemouth, Postponed for Three Of Spades and Old Persian for Persian Art.
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