6:30 Dundalk (AW)
This Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div II) over 7f at Dundalk on standard ground brings together a field of 14 modest performers in a competitive division. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Send Harry heading the numbers on 62, followed closely by Mehman on 58, Glitter And Glory on 57, Eschweiler on 56 and Thaloria on 52. With no obvious leader in a race that lacks pace, the shape is expected to place a premium on tactical positioning and a well-timed effort.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a lack of any natural front-runner, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. Most of the field are held-up types who produce their effort late, though a couple settle in mid-division and one prominent runner may be able to take advantage of the uncontested lead. The key question is whether the race will turn into a sprint for the line off a slow early gallop, rewarding those with a strong finishing kick from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Send Harry KTB Selection62/100
Send Harry is a modest performer who has won once over this trip and once at this track from five runs here. His recent form is patchy, with a best of second in a similar race six starts back, and he has failed to build on that. The trainer has a modest 4% strike rate at Dundalk from 23 runs with an A/E of 0.69, which is a negative, while the 7lb claiming jockey has a solid 11% strike rate at the track from 44 rides with an A/E of 1.24. He acts on standard ground with one win from five starts and three places. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in what is likely to be a steadily-run affair.
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2Mehman58/100
Mehman is a modest performer with a solid record at this track, winning four of his 23 starts here and placing another eight times on standard ground. He steps up from 6f today having been placed three times from 11 runs at this trip without winning, and his recent form of 300573 suggests he is competitive at this level when on song. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Dundalk from 307 runs with an A/E of 0.95, while the jockey operates at 9% from 626 rides with an A/E of 0.79. He has four wins from 23 starts on standard with a further 12 places. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the steadily-run race to unfold in his favour.
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3Glitter And Glory57/100
Glitter And Glory is a modest performer who has won once over this trip and once at Dundalk from four starts here. Recent form has been ordinary with three modest efforts since a placed run at this track in October, and the yard's modest 9% strike rate at the venue from 868 runs with an A/E of 0.68 adds little confidence. He drops back from a mile today which should suit on the balance of his career figures. He has one win from four starts on standard with four places. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence in that run-style, he will be looking to strike in a tactical contest.
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4Eschweiler56/100
Eschweiler is a modest performer who has shown some ability on this surface, finishing second over 7f here on his penultimate start. He failed to build on that when well held on return last time though and remains winless after four runs. The trainer has a solid 17% strike rate at Dundalk from 42 runs with an A/E of 1.72, while the jockey's 7% record from 747 rides with an A/E of 0.76 is more modest. He is unproven on standard ground having had no previous runs on it and has no course form beyond that second. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to bounce back in a steadily-run race.
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5Thaloria52/100
Thaloria is a modest performer who has won once over this trip and once at Dundalk from five runs here. Recent form has been poor with a string of unplaced efforts but the course record and standard-ground stats offer some encouragement, with one win from five starts and two places on the surface. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at this track from 233 runs with an A/E of 0.92, while the claiming jockey has had too few rides to judge with a 0% strike rate from one ride. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he will be aiming to improve on recent efforts in a tactical affair.
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6Una Matata48/100
Una Matata is a limited performer who has won four times at this track from 16 starts and also landed four wins at today's trip. Consistent on standard going with four wins and nine places from 17 starts. The trainer operates at a 10% strike rate here from a huge sample of 1989 runs with an A/E of 0.85, while the jockey's 12% rate from 500 rides with an A/E of 1.01 is solid. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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7Coasting47/100
Coasting is a modest performer who has shown just fair form at best in four starts. He ran respectably when fourth on his only visit to this track yet has since weakened right out over a mile last time. Both trainer and jockey hold a solid 10% strike-rate here though the wide draw in stall 14 adds another negative. Typically settles in midfield.
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8Albion Power45/100
Albion Power is a modest performer who has won twice at this track from 14 starts and also has a win over today's 7f trip. He drops back from 1m after a string of ordinary efforts and the yard's modest 6% record here from 402 runs with an A/E of 0.78 adds no confidence. The jockey remains winless from 25 rides at Dundalk. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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9Boston Max43/100
Boston Max is a modest performer who has won once from two runs at this track on standard ground. He showed useful early-season form over shorter but has looked limited since, including when stepped up to this trip last time. The trainer's modest 9% strike rate here from 292 runs with an A/E of 0.75 is backed by a big sample while the claiming jockey has had too few rides to judge. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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10Profit Surge42/100
Profit Surge is a modest performer who has been placed a few times at this track without winning and steps up from 6f to 7f today where he has won once from 11 starts. Consistent on standard going without landing a race and recent form has been patchy. The trainer remains winless from 43 runs at Dundalk while the jockey operates at a 7% strike rate here from a large sample of 645 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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11Battleforsupremacy41/100
Battleforsupremacy is a limited horse who has won once over this trip and once at Dundalk from four runs at each. Recent form has been poor and the first-time headgear needs to spark major improvement from stall 12. The trainer's modest 5% record here from 41 runs with an A/E of 0.39 adds little confidence while the jockey's strike-rate is respectable but not strong at 9% from 35 rides with an A/E of 0.95. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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12Hallelujah Rose37/100
Hallelujah Rose is a modest performer who has shown little in four runs at this track, finishing no better than sixth. She steps up to 7f for the first time today which asks a fresh question of her. The trainer is 0-33 at Dundalk and the 7lb claimer is also 0-7 here. Typically settles in midfield.
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13Tharaka35/100
Tharaka is a limited performer who has struggled since a couple of placed efforts over this trip last year. Recent form has been poor and the yard's modest 4% record here from 57 runs with an A/E of 0.39 offers little encouragement. The jockey has a solid strike-rate at the track but that is the main positive on offer. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
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14Prince Andorra35/100
Prince Andorra is a limited horse who has shown very little in six starts and looks up against it again from stall 6. Three runs at this track have produced no better than fifth and the trainer's poor 2% strike rate here from 50 runs with an A/E of 0.62 adds little encouragement. He steps up to 7f for the first time today which at least asks a fresh question. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
KTB verdict
Send Harry is the KTB Selection at the head of the Fit Scores. A modest performer with a win at the track and over the trip, he can capitalise on a steadily-run race from his handy draw if he reproduces the form of his second in a similar event six starts back. The patchy recent form is the main concern, along with the trainer's modest record at Dundalk. Mehman looks the chief danger with his strong course record of four wins and eight places from 23 starts here, while Glitter And Glory, Eschweiler and Thaloria are all capable of playing a part if the race shape falls their way.
KTB Selection Send Harry
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 9 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Coasting | 11/1 | Betfred |
This is the narrative read of the 6:30 Dundalk (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Dundalk (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Dundalk (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Dundalk (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why does the lack of a leader matter in this 7f handicap?
The pace shape shows the race lacks a leader with medium confidence, making it likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which horse has the strongest course record at Dundalk?
Mehman has won four of his 23 starts here and placed another eight times on standard ground.
How many of the principals are usually held up?
All five principals — Send Harry, Mehman, Glitter And Glory, Eschweiler and Thaloria — are usually held up and produce their effort late.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Dundalk among the principals?
Barry J Fitzgerald has a 17% strike rate at Dundalk from 42 runs with an A/E of 1.72.
What is the main negative for the selection Send Harry?
The trainer's modest record at Dundalk is a negative with a 4% strike rate from 23 runs and an A/E of 0.69.
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