Skip to content
Trainer profile

Ian Patrick Donoghue

692 runners in the last 5 seasons · 133 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 11.1% of 333 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
58–692
Wins / Runs
8.4%
Strike rate
n=692
157 (23%)
Placed
1.09
Fair A/E
n=692 · 0.87 incl. margin
−207.11
£1 level stake
n=692 at SP · −29.9%
£801k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (120 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 692 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 10% 25% when favourite Keith Donoghue: 7.4% from 95 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 45 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.49 and +58.57 to a £1 stake over 120 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Keith Donoghue rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.4%, A/E 0.67). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 51 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: St Denis's Well (IRE) — 6 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10%+1.6
n=120 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +58.57
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.9%−1.5
n=87 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.4
n=46 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −46.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
2.4%−6.0
n=41 · A/E 0.62 · £1 +0.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.5%+1.1
n=42 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −18.00
When favourite
25%
n=44 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −12.61
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%−0.4
n=286 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −43.22
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.4
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 23% vs 8.4% · n=61
With C&D winners 20.5% vs 8.4% · n=39
With Conor Stone-Walsh 16.4% vs 8.4% · n=67
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 8.4% · n=51
With debutants 0% vs 8.4% · n=46
At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 8.4% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 348 29 8.3% −82.80
Flat 168 7 4.2% −104.62
Chase 149 20 13.4% −3.02
NH Flat 27 2 7.4% −16.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 229 17 7.4% −105.75
Soft 194 22 11.3% −52.11
Good to Soft 124 10 8.1% −61.75
Heavy 89 9 10.1% +68.50
Standard (AW) 51 0 0% −51.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 81 10 12.3% −25.43
Fairyhouse 78 8 10.3% −31.80
Down Royal 50 8 16% +4.41
Dundalk (AW) 45 0 0% −45.00
Navan 44 4 9.1% +75.50
Punchestown 38 1 2.6% −28.00
Bellewstown 37 4 10.8% −13.75
Leopardstown 33 0 0% −33.00
Kilbeggan 29 1 3.4% −19.00
Wexford 28 3 10.7% −11.75
Roscommon 22 3 13.6% +16.00
Galway 22 0 0% −22.00
Gowran Park 21 2 9.5% −7.00
Limerick 20 1 5% −14.00
Sligo 20 1 5% −15.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 24 0 0% −24.00
Class 5 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 5 1 20% +16.00
Class 4 5 2 40% +5.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 64 17 26.6% 1.20 −5.11
2nd–3rd fav 110 19 17.3% 1.27 +4.00
4th–6th fav 202 16 7.9% 1.03 −70.00
7th+ in betting 316 6 1.9% 0.69 −136.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.9% completed · 497 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 149 79.9% 7 5 17 1 0
Hurdle 348 88.5% 6 2 31 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
St Denis's Well (IRE)from Andrew Lynch 31 6 10 1 Oct 26
Tankardstown Diva (IRE)then T Ellis 21 1 5 23 May 25
Sea Of Doubt (IRE)from Barry J Fitzgerald 20 2 8 5 Oct 26
Colugo (IRE)from James M Barrett 17 0 4 9 Oct 26
Parkgarve (IRE) 17 1 4 21 Aug 26
Lisnamult Lad (IRE)from John C McConnell 17 1 4 10 Jul 26
Portarlington (IRE)from David Kenneth Budds 17 4 4 5 Jun 26
Attitash (IRE)from Jennifer Monaghan 17 0 2 24 Jul 24
Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE)from Jack W Davison 16 1 6 18 Aug 26
Vikki Wall (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 15 1 1 13 Jul 24
Vaureal (FR)from Colin Bowe 14 2 5 1 Oct 26
Hitthehayson (IRE)from P J Rothwell 13 4 7 4 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 133 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (3) and Gavin Cromwell (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
90121555613471411
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKeith Donoghue
14% of all rides
7.4% SR · A/E 0.67
RiderRWSR£1
Keith Donoghue 95 7 7.4% −44.50
Caragh Monaghan 75 3 4% −25.50
Conor Stone-Walsh 67 11 16.4% −12.93
James Smith 49 6 12.2% +50.50
Mr J Dunne 37 3 8.1% −18.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
58
Archived wins
£802k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 22 wins
Dunboyne (IRE) — Randox Ulster National Handicap Chase Downpatrick · Mar 2025
£29,500
True Testimony (IRE) — Race And Stay Irish EBF Mares Handicap Chase Fairyhouse · Nov 2025
£17,700
Tellthemi'mhere (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Sligo · Apr 2023
£15,340
Notable horses
St Denis's Well (IRE) Small Town Hero (IRE) Portarlington (IRE) Hitthehayson (IRE) Midleton Rare (IRE) Sea Of Doubt (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jukebox Jury (IRE) 13.9% · 5–36
Progeny have won 13.4% of 2,228 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 2.9% · 1–35
Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (691 horses).
Famous Name (GB) 19.4% · 6–31
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,511 runs since 2008 (102 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,933 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Affinisea (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,262 runs since 2008 (198 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,843 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 694 · newest first

The latest 50 of 694 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 March 2021 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Beggars Rock (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Chapel Down Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 33/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Misterous Flechois (FR)J: Keith Donoghue Follow Us On Instagram Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 16 ran 14th 150/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Thats It Ruby (IRE)J: James Smith Follow Us On Instagram Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 125/1
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Wee Fallon (IRE)J: James Smith Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 15 ran 12th 28/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Colugo (IRE)J: Sadhbh Tormey View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 12/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Profit Surge (IRE)J: James Ryan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Mobile Mamma (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 13/2
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Thats It Ruby (IRE)J: James Smith Randox Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 100/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Thats It Ruby (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Everyday Life (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 5th 6/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Sea Of Doubt (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 12th 4/1F
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Thelittleballerina (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 5/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Land Of Punt (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 8th 100/30F
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Vaureal (FR)J: Keith Donoghue Clonmel Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 11th 11/2
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) St Denis's Well (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Clonmel Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 10th 22/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) John Storey (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran PU 11/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Mobile Mamma (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 6th 14/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Everyday Life (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran UR 28/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Colugo (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Profit Surge (IRE)J: Sadhbh Tormey View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap6f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ian Patrick Donoghue's strike rate?
Ian Patrick Donoghue has won 58 of 692 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ian Patrick Donoghue do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 8 wins from 50 runners (16%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ian Patrick Donoghue?
Keith Donoghue, with 95 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.4%).
Is Ian Patrick Donoghue in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ian Patrick Donoghue's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 692 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).