1:53 Pontefract

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Green Star KTB Selection61/100

   Form 24 · George Boughey · Cieren Fallon

   Green Star has shown fair form in two starts, finishing second then fourth, and remains open to improvement as a lightly raced 2yo. The drop back to 6f is a fresh question while the good-to-soft ground is unknown with only a small sample available. Both trainer and jockey bring strong records at Pontefract, the yard operating at a 31% strike rate and the rider at 29%. His prominent run-style from draw 1 is well suited to the expected pace shape of a lone leader, allowing him to track the front-runner closely. Dropping in class is another positive for this George Boughey colt who is taken to break his maiden.

2. 2War Gaming54/100

   Form 2333 · George Scott · Rossa Ryan

   War Gaming has been consistent in four starts this year, finishing no worse than third and showing fair ability for a 2-year-old. He is well drawn in stall 2 and has already placed at today's trip, though he is yet to win. Trainer George Scott has a solid 21% strike rate at Pontefract while Rossa Ryan rides at a 25% clip here. Like most of the field he is unproven on good-to-soft ground, yet his placed efforts give him a solid benchmark. From a prominent or handy position he should be on the premises if the leader sets a sensible gallop.

3. 3High Tower53/100

   Form 3 · George Boughey · David Probert

   High Tower showed some promise when third on debut over this trip. The small sample makes it hard to be certain about his level, though the yard's strong 31% strike rate at Pontefract is a positive. Both going suitability and overall ability remain open questions with so little racing behind him. His held-up run-style means he will be towards the rear early, relying on the pace to collapse or a strong finish to reel in those up front. The booking of David Probert for George Boughey is noteworthy despite the jockey's modest 10% strike rate at the track.

4. 4Longshanks Luke47/100

   Form 844 · Patrick Neville · Paul Mulrennan

   Longshanks Luke is a modest performer who has shown ordinary form in three starts, finishing fourth on both his last two outings including over this trip. He ran respectably on his only visit to Pontefract but is still lightly raced and has questions to answer at this level. The jockey has a solid 9% strike rate here from a big sample of rides. His held-up style aligns with a race where the leader may get an easy time, meaning he will need to produce his effort late. Unproven on good-to-soft ground adds another layer of uncertainty.

5. 5Harmonising42/100

   John S O'Donoghue · David Egan

   Harmonising is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The pedigree and sales background offer the only clues here but with low data confidence the picture remains tentative. The trainer has no previous runners at Pontefract while Egan's modest 6% strike-rate from 54 rides at the track is a further negative.

6. 6Paphos39/100

   Form 533 · Declan Carroll · Zak Wheatley

   Paphos has shown steady but unspectacular form in three runs at 5f, finishing no better than third. The step up to 6f is an unknown and the yard's modest record at Pontefract offers little encouragement. Overall this looks a fair reflection of a modest 2yo who still has questions to answer. His front-running style makes him the likely lone leader in a race where that could be a significant advantage.