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Trainer profile

John S O'Donoghue

392 runners in the last 5 seasons · 84 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
34–392
Wins / Runs
8.7%
Strike rate
n=392
85 (22%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=392 · 0.94 incl. margin
−60.68
£1 level stake
n=392 at SP · −15.5%
£543k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (73 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 392 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.3% R. P. Whelan: 10.3% from 136 Claiming riders: 11%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.3% (n=73, Fair A/E 1.92), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). R. P. Whelan rides 35% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 1.40) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (12.6%, n=87) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (12%, n=92). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 41 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12.3%+3.6
n=73 · A/E 1.92 · £1 +61.95
New recruits · first run for the yard
15.4%+6.7
n=13 · A/E 5.04 · £1 +47.00
Debutants · first career start
5.6%−3.1
n=72 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +22.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.7
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.7
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
25%
n=24 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −7.21
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11%+2.3
n=91 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +45.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.7
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Rory Mulligan 18.2% vs 8.7% · n=33
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 8.7% · n=41
With first-time headgear 0% vs 8.7% · n=34
With Nathan Crosse 2.3% vs 8.7% · n=43
Off a 31-60-day break 12.6% vs 8.7% · n=87
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 12% vs 8.7% · n=92
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 387 34 8.8% −55.68
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 122 11 9% −27.55
Soft 95 10 10.5% +74.88
Standard (AW) 82 5 6.1% −56.89
Heavy 43 3 7% −25.00
Good to Soft 37 4 10.8% −16.87
Good to Firm 13 1 7.7% −9.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 75 4 5.3% −54.22
Curragh 56 4 7.1% +24.00
Cork 31 3 9.7% −13.00
Naas 30 2 6.7% −20.50
Leopardstown 22 0 0% −22.00
Roscommon 16 0 0% −16.00
Fairyhouse 15 3 20% +1.00
Gowran Park 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 14 3 21.4% +32.88
Galway 12 2 16.7% +61.00
Tipperary 11 1 9.1% −2.50
Listowel 10 0 0% −10.00
Killarney 10 4 40% +9.88
Down Royal 9 0 0% −9.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 25 0 0% −25.00
Class 5 16 2 12.5% −8.75
Class 4 7 1 14.3% −2.67
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 28 9 32.1% 1.25 +2.12
2nd–3rd fav 61 10 16.4% 1.07 −11.30
4th–6th fav 122 11 9% 1.24 −31.50
7th+ in betting 181 4 2.2% 0.92 −20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Miss Black Jack (GB) 11 1 3 1 Nov 24
Goal Exceeded (GB)then Adrian McGuinness 11 1 2 11 Oct 24
Felix Somary (IRE) 10 1 4 16 Oct 26
Final Check (IRE) 10 3 4 22 Dec 23
Reinforce (IRE)then Daniel James Murphy 10 0 4 25 Jun 23
L L Koulsty (IRE) 9 3 5 12 Sep 26
Nomenclature (FR) 9 0 0 2 Oct 24
Sayidah New Bay (GB)from James Tate 8 0 1 18 May 26
Yquem (IRE)then Richard Brabazon 8 0 1 15 Feb 26
Sheen Falls Time (IRE) 8 1 3 30 Aug 24
Cailin Cliste (IRE)from K J Condon 8 2 3 8 Jul 23
Sapristi (IRE)then Tom Clover 8 1 1 8 Jul 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 84 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for C W J Farrell (2); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
600168714781266
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderR. P. Whelan
35% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.40
RiderRWSR£1
R. P. Whelan 136 14 10.3% −19.29
Nathan Crosse 43 1 2.3% −34.50
Rory Mulligan 33 6 18.2% +84.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
34
Archived wins
£543k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 10 wins
L L Koulsty (IRE) — Irish EBF Auction Series Race Cork · Sep 2025
£15,930
It's A Heartbeat (IRE) — Neville O'Byrne Memorial Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Handicap Curragh · Aug 2025
£15,340
Mary Doll (IRE) — Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden Galway (IRE) · Sep 2026
£15,000
Notable horses
Final Check (IRE) L L Koulsty (IRE) Cailin Cliste (IRE) Song For Whoever (IRE) Abbey Actress (IRE) It's A Heartbeat (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,987 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,196 runs since 2008 (663 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,195.
Profitable (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,436 runs since 2008 (358 horses).
Acclamation (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10% of 19,702 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Expert Eye (GB) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,204 runs since 2008 (197 horses).
Le Havre (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,873 runs since 2008 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 392 · newest first

The latest 50 of 392 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2022 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Nonsense (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Win A Trip To Lapland At Punchestown On Sun 22 November Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 15/8F
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Alosilla (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 125/1
19 Oct 26 Pontefract Mary Doll (IRE)J: David Egan British Stallion Studs Ebf Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 22/1
19 Oct 26 Pontefract Harmonising (IRE)J: David Egan Happy 80th Birthday William 'bill' Carr Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 12/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Felix Somary (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 11/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ippy (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 10/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Eagles Voice (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 10th 400/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Coastal Wonder (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 1st 3/1J
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Nonsense (GB)J: Rowan Scott Bermingham Cameras Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 33/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Stellar Moment (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Coors Fillies Handicap13f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 100/30F
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Eagles Voice (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 14 ran 12th 150/1
12 Sep 26 Leopardstown (IRE) L L Koulsty (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path Handicap7f · Good · 17 ran 10th 20/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Mary Doll (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 66/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Felix Somary (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan James P. Cunningham Electrical Handicap8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 13/2
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Ippy (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden7f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 100/1
31 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Stellar Moment (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Oran Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 2nd 7/1
30 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Ippy (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden8f · Yielding · 15 ran 15th 11/1
23 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Coastal Wonder (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 16 ran 8th 40/1
14 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) L L Koulsty (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan NFP Irish EBF Platinum Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 14/1
14 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Dhikola (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good · 16 ran 16th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is John S O'Donoghue's strike rate?
John S O'Donoghue has won 34 of 392 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John S O'Donoghue do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John S O'Donoghue?
R. P. Whelan, with 136 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (10.3%).
Is John S O'Donoghue in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John S O'Donoghue's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 392 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).