Horse profile
Aurora Nova (IRE)
by Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) out of Novat (IRE) (Tagula)
42 runs · 15 courses · from Sep 2021
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · Bellewstown, Down Royal & Fairyhouse
Ran 37 days ago · 8th of 10
Last raced off OR 54
KTB Profile
Typically ridden with patience — held up in 9 of 13 analysed runs — Aurora Nova (IRE) is 4 from 42. Hasn't won since Jul 2025. All 4 wins have come on turf — 0 from 5 on the all-weather, and every win has come on good or faster ground (0 from 13 on softer). Last raced off 54, 22lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 42 archived runs · run-style from 13 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
All wins on turf
Wins on good or faster
OR ↓ 22lb off peak
- 4–42Wins / Runs
- 9.5%Strike rate
- 11 (26.2%)Placed
- −17.05£1 level staken=42 at SP
- 1.30Fair A/E n=42 · 1.06 incl. margin
- 76Highest OR
- 45dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating54↓ 22lb off peak
54
48–76
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 113
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 21 | 118A | 90 | 4 · 82 / 63.5 |
| Soft | 10 | 118A | 79.5 | 1 · — |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 95B | 85 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 78C | 73 | 1 · — |
| Heavy | 2 | 75C | 70.5 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 20 | 118A | 90 | 2 · 113 / 81 |
| 6f – 7f | 20 | 98A | 77.5 | 5 · 82 / 66 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 42 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 41 figures from 42 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs
- Held up 9 (69%) · 1 win
- Midfield 2 (15%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (8%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (8%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since Jan 2008 (949 horses).
Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 57 | 11 | 19.3% | +9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,621 | 179 | 11% | +0.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 2,605 | 267 | 10.2% | −0.1 | 4 from 21 |
| Good to Soft | 1,172 | 108 | 9.2% | −1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 1,721 | 183 | 10.6% | +0.3 | 0 from 10 |
| Heavy | 607 | 51 | 8.4% | −1.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 4,083 | 424 | 10.4% | +0.1 | 0 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 879 | 104 | 11.8% | +1.5 | 3 from 20 |
| 6f – 7f | 4,773 | 499 | 10.5% | +0.2 | 1 from 21 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3,045 | 338 | 11.1% | +0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,089 | 195 | 9.3% | −1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 697 | 59 | 8.5% | −1.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 305 | 18 | 5.9% | −4.4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 76 | 11 | 14.5% | +4.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Novat (IRE) (Tagula)
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Delicacy (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Delicacy (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delicacy (IRE) | 19 | 3 | 7f–1m | Class 4 |
| Victors Lady (IRE) | 5 | 1 | 5f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 21 | 4 | 19% | +3.95 |
| Soft | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curragh | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Navan | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Bellewstown | 5 | 2 | 40% | +10.12 |
| Down Royal | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.33 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| Naas | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sligo | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Laytown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 21 | 1 | 5% | −15.50 |
| Under 6f | 20 | 3 | 15% | −0.55 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Joyce | 14 | 1 | 7% | −2.00 |
| Jack Kearney | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Nicola Burns | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.88 |
| Robbie Colgan | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Colin Keane | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jamie Powell | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.33 |
| Conor Stone-Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Coen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paddy Harnett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke McAteer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gary Carroll | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Hugh Horgan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rory Cleary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2025 | 13 | 3 | 23% | +6.45 |
| 2024 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −3.50 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep 26+18d | Laytown (IRE) | Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Claiming Race Sluggish start - settled towards the back of the pack - hampered around 2 1/2f out - pressed for effort in 7th but unable to close and well held at the finish | 8/10 | 2 | 10-0 | 54 | — | 61A | Conor Stone-Walsh | 16/1 |
| 23 Aug 26+14d | Naas (IRE) | Big Evs At Tally-Ho Handicap Held up towards the nearside in the main pack - needed urging 2f out - dropped away over 1f out and finished well held in 10th | 10/19 | nk | 9-11 | 60 | 49C | 69A | Sam Coen | 16/1 |
| 09 Aug 26+29d | Curragh (IRE) | Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Sat close to the pace early - 6th at halfway - pushed along and unable to quicken inside final furlong - eventually finished 14th | 14/14 | 3¾ | 8-7 | 62 | 57C | 41A | Wesley Joyce | 33/1 |
| 11 Jul 26+34d | Navan | Newgrange Hotel Handicap Settled early - asked for effort 2f out without threatening | 13/15 | hd | 9-5 | 64 | 70C | 64A | Wesley Joyce | 20/1 |
| 07 Jun 26+7d | Navan | Navan Handicap Slow to break - held in mid-pack running through - pushed along with 2f left - unable to close - well held at the finish | 9/9 | 5½ | 8-12 | 66 | 57C | 38C | Wesley Joyce | 12/1 |
| 31 May 26+50d | Listowel | Croom House Stud Handicap Held up towards the back - 10th at halfway - closed late to finish 5th | 5/13 | ¾ | 8-11 | 66 | 82C | 79A | Wesley Joyce | 14/1 |
| 11 Apr 26+8d | Bellewstown | His Majesty's Cup Handicap Held up towards back of pack - moved up wide to reach 4th inside final 2f then pushed along - stayed on to grab 3rd near the line | 3/10 | ½ | 9-2 | 68 | 113A | 85A | Jamie Powell | 11/1 |
| 03 Apr 26+169d | Curragh | 1xBet.ie Supports Safe Gambling Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Sprint Handicap Settled in the pack early - nudged for effort with two furlongs left - asked for more soon after but couldn't find extra pace inside the final furlong - well held at the finish | 12/16 | ½ | 8-6 | 69 | 66C | 46A | Wesley Joyce | 33/1 |
| 16 Oct 25+15d | Curragh | Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Apprentice Handicap Settled in the pack early - dropped back and pushed along with a furlong and a half left - unable to close in the final stages - finished ninth beaten 5 lengths | 9/16 | nk | 10-1 | 71 | 80C | 85A | Paddy Harnett | 18/1 |
| 01 Oct 25+1d | Bellewstown | WTW Willis Handicap Hesitant start and left trailing - urged into contention two out then 8th with a furlong left - stayed on steadily to the line finishing sixth | 6/10 | ½ | 9-0 | 73 | 90A | 68A | Nicola Burns | 9/2 |
| 30 Sep 25+8d | Cork | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Slow to break - held up towards the back - made no impression - finished well beaten in 10th | 10/12 | ¾ | 9-1 | 73 | 79A | 59A | Nicola Burns | 8/1 |
| 22 Sep 25+27d | Fairyhouse | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Held up towards back - 9th at halfway - moved through inside final furlong - stayed on but held late | 5/12 | shd | 9-3 | 73 | 97A | 76A | Wesley Joyce | 14/1 |
| 26 Aug 25+17d | Bellewstown | Dolly's Bar & Pantry Handicap Settled midfield - boxed in around 4th with 2f left - pushed along a furlong out - squeezed through to move up into 3rd inside the final furlong - closed hard on the front pair without quite getting there | 3/9 | shd | 9-6 | 75 | 117A | 93A | Wesley Joyce | 10/1 |
| 09 Aug 25+15d | Curragh | Kwiff: Proud Sponsors Of The Supercharge Series Handicap Held up towards the back - pushed along with 2f left - unable to close - eventually well held | 9/13 | ¾ | 9-7 | 76 | 74C | 71A | Wesley Joyce | 28/1 |
| 25 Jul 25+20d | Cork | Doneraile Handicap Held up at the back - made no impression - finished 11th | 11/12 | hd | 8-4 | 76 | 73A | 51A | Wesley Joyce | 18/1 |
| 05 Jul 25+2d | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Race up in the front rank and hit the front at halfway - urged on and lost the advantage inside the final furlong - unable to threaten the leaders in the last 150 yards - stayed on at one speed to finish 3rd | 3/8 | shd | 9-5 | 69 | 94A | 83A | Nicola Burns | 7/4F |
| 03 Jul 25+13d | Bellewstown | Indaver Ireland Handicap Handy early - hit the front after a furlong then edged ahead approaching the last furlong - driven out to hold on gamely and score | 1/8 | 8-13 | 69 | 118A | 90A | Nicola Burns | 85/40F | |
| 20 Jun 25+16d | Down Royal | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Held up towards the back early - moved into contention wide out at halfway before hitting the front approaching 2f out - driven approaching the final furlong and finished strongly to score | 1/5 | 8-9 | 64 | 108C | 88B | Jamie Powell | 10/3 | |
| 04 Jun 25+39d | Curragh | Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap Hesitant start - held towards the back of the pack - urged into contention in 12th two out - stayed on late but never a threat - finished sixth | 6/23 | nk | 9-5 | 64 | 90C | 87A | Wesley Joyce | 40/1 |
| 26 Apr 25+21d | Navan | Kilberry Apprentice Handicap Sat close to the front group early - 7th at halfway - asked for effort soon after - unable to find more one furlong out and held to the line | 18/20 | hd | 9-11 | 67 | 65C | 62A | Wesley Joyce | 14/1 |
| 05 Apr 25+223d | Bellewstown | Awardsandgifts.ie Handicap (0-60) Sluggish start and settled towards the back - progress made to 6th with 2f left - moved into second and pushed along 1½f out - hit front inside final furlong - kept going strongly to the line | 1/9 | 9-11 | 60 | 90A | 89A | Wesley Joyce | 11/1 | |
| 25 Aug 24+8d | Naas | Persian Force At Tally-Ho Handicap (47-65) Held around midpack early - pushed along to reach 6th with 2f left - dropped away in the closing stages to finish 18th | 18/22 | ¾ | 9-9 | 62 | 44C | 59A | Jack Kearney | 14/1 |
| 17 Aug 24+42d | Curragh | Tote, Never Beaten By SP Handicap (47-75) Slow into stride - held up towards the back - pushed along and shaping better in 11th two out but unable to threaten leaders | 8/21 | 1½ | 9-5 | 64 | 78C | 79A | Luke McAteer | 22/1 |
| 06 Jul 24+15d | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap | 6/9 | shd | 8-2 | 67 | 98A | 62A | Wesley Joyce | 15/2 |
| 21 Jun 24+7d | Down Royal | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap | 4/8 | 1¾ | 8-2 | 67 | 101A | 66A | Wesley Joyce | 9/2 |
| 14 Jun 24+15d | Fairyhouse | Fairyhouse Handicap (47-65) | 1/17 | 9-7 | 55 | 80C | 102A | Gary Carroll | 9/2 | |
| 30 May 24+12d | Fairyhouse | See You Next Friday Handicap (47-65) | 2/18 | ½ | 9-2 | 51 | 93C | 93A | Colin Keane | 11/1 |
| 18 May 24+3d | Navan | Flower Hill Apprentice Handicap (47-65) | 11/16 | 1 | 8-11 | 48 | 61C | 50A | Hugh Horgan | 13/2 |
| 15 May 24+21d | Sligo | Yeats Country Claiming Race | 3/13 | ½ | 9-6 | 48 | 93C | 90A | Chris Hayes | 18/1 |
| 24 Apr 24+330d | Gowran Park | Thomastown Handicap (47-65) | 8/16 | 1 | 9-0 | 49 | 62C | 65A | Seamie Heffernan | 18/1 |
| 30 May 23+7d | Tipperary | Tipperary Races Claiming Race | 10/12 | shd | 9-13 | 58 | 56C | 56C | Colin Keane | 20/1 |
| 23 May 23+23d | Gowran Park | Membership At Gowran Park Golf Club Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) | 9/13 | ¾ | 9-13 | 60 | 74C | 69A | Colin Keane | 18/1 |
| 30 Apr 23+16d | Sligo | Tote Never Beaten By SP Handicap (47-65) | 8/13 | nk | 9-6 | 60 | 75C | 68A | Jack Kearney | 8/1 |
| 14 Apr 23+42d | Dundalk (AW) | 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 2) | 4/12 | ¾ | 9-5 | 61 | 77A | 69A | Jack Kearney | 18/1 |
| 03 Mar 23+14d | Dundalk (AW) | Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden | 14/14 | ½ | 9-9 | 61 | 39C | 40C | Jack Kearney | 20/1 |
| 17 Feb 23+105d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap | 8/14 | ¾ | 8-13 | 62 | 95B | 62A | Jack Kearney | 18/1 |
| 04 Nov 22+22d | Dundalk (AW) | William Hill Lengthen Your Odds Maiden | 4/11 | 2¼ | 8-10 | 66 | 93A | 69A | Jack Kearney | 16/1 |
| 13 Oct 22+17d | Curragh | Hollywoodbets First Past The Post Promotion Handicap (47-75) | 16/18 | 1½ | 9-8 | 67 | 51C | 50A | Robbie Colgan | 28/1 |
| 26 Sep 22+24d | Down Royal | Madri Excepcional Maiden | 2/8 | ½ | 9-3 | — | 118A | 78A | Robbie Colgan | 7/1 |
| 02 Sep 22+323d | Down Royal | Irish European Breeders Fund Supporting Irish Champions Weekend Maiden | 3/8 | 1¼ | 9-3 | — | 100A | 68A | Robbie Colgan | 33/1 |
| 14 Oct 21+40d | Curragh | Hollywoodbets Money Back If 2nd To SP Fav Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden | 7/9 | ¾ | 9-2 | — | 72A | 58A | Robbie Colgan | 50/1 |
| 04 Sep 21 | Navan | Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden | 6/8 | ½ | 8-10 | — | 69A | 57A | Rory Cleary | 11/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Aurora Nova (IRE) won?
- Aurora Nova (IRE) won 4 of 42 archived starts between 2021 and 2026, a strike rate of 9.5%. Placed 11 times in total (26.2% of starts).
- Who trains Aurora Nova (IRE)?
- Aurora Nova (IRE) is trained by Andrew McNamara, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 September 2026.
- Who is Aurora Nova (IRE)'s sire?
- Aurora Nova (IRE) is by Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) out of Novat (IRE), whose sire is Tagula.
- What going does Aurora Nova (IRE) prefer?
- Aurora Nova (IRE) has the best record on good going: 4 wins from 21 starts (19%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Aurora Nova (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 54, from the run on 10 September 2026. The highest on record is 76.
- What is Aurora Nova (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Holy Roman Emperor (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since Jan 2008 (949 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
- Who are Aurora Nova (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Novat (IRE), Aurora Nova (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Delicacy (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Delicacy (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Oct 2026.