Believitanducan (IRE)
Believitanducan is a gelding who has won seven of 20 starts. Five of those wins came over 1m5f – 2m, with three on soft ground and two on good. He won the Class 2 JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap at Newcastle on AW in Jun 2026 off an official rating of 77 and the Louise Keegan Handicap at Chester the previous month. He finished second of 10 in the Colwick Cup Handicap at Nottingham in Oct 2026.
- 7–20Wins / Runs
- 35%Strike rate
- 14 (70%)Placed
- +5.04£1 level staken=20 at SP
- 1.90Fair A/E n=19 · 1.59 incl. margin
- 125Highest OR
- 42dBetween runs (median)longest 199 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 128
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 122B | 101 | 2 runs · 122 / 115 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 128A | 111 | 1 run · — |
| Good | 2 | 95A | 94.5 | 2 runs · 95 / 94.5 |
| Soft | 2 | 55A | 54 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 10 | 128A | 97.5 | 5 runs · 128 / 108 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 64A | 55 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 118A | 90 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 118B | 117 | 1 run · — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 118A | 116 | 1 run · — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 118B | 104 | 1 run · — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
Of 20 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 19 figures from 20 runs · as at 22 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 14 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Dec 2024
- Prominent 10 (77%) · 6 wins
- Mid-division 3 (23%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 3,620 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 342 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 873 | 99 | 11.3% | +0.3 | 2 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 438 | 56 | 12.8% | +1.8 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 702 | 72 | 10.3% | −0.7 | 3 from 5 |
| Heavy | 276 | 25 | 9.1% | −1.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 984 | 104 | 10.6% | −0.4 | 1 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 848 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,053 | 108 | 10.3% | −0.7 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 792 | 94 | 11.9% | +0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 541 | 71 | 13.1% | +2.1 | 5 from 12 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 232 | 22 | 9.5% | −1.5 | 2 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2019 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.67 |
| Soft | 5 | 3 | 60% | +9.50 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.00 |
| Good | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.21 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 7 | 4 | 57% | +9.50 |
| Class 4 | 5 | 2 | 40% | −0.79 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.33 |
| Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Chester | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.83 |
| Ascot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.38 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Stratford | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 12 | 5 | 42% | +5.54 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Edmunds | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| William Buick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.33 |
| Luke Catton | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.38 |
| Tom Bellamy | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Philip Armson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tom Cannon | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.83 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonathan Burke | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Duran Fentiman | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +2.54 |
| 2025 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +1.50 |
| 2024 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +4.00 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 13 | 4 | 31% | −1.96 |
| Hurdle | 7 | 3 | 43% | +7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Oct 26+65d | Nottingham | Colwick Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) stumbled leaving stalls then up with the pace - shaken up 3f out - urged along over 2f out - stayed on strongly inside final furlong - second and never got to winner | 2/10 | 2¾ | 10-4 | 87 | 128A | 101A | William Buick | 5/2J |
| 10 Aug 26+44d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race) Handy early - urged into effort 3f out then made ground 2f out - kept on at one speed from the final furlong to finish third | 3/12 | nk | 10-1 | 87 | 122B | 88A | Luke Catton | 3/1 |
| 27 Jun 26+28d | Newcastle (AW) | JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race For Northumberland Plate) (GBBPlus Race) Handy early - pushed to the front 2f out - stayed on strongly to score | 1/20 | 9-6 | 77 | 108B | 90A | William Buick | 10/3 | |
| 30 May 26+22d | Chester | Louise Keegan Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Tracked the pace nicely - urged forward before the 2f mark and hit the front - kept driven approaching the final furlong - powered clear in the closing stages to win | 1/9 | 9-9 | 77 | 95A | 84A | Billy Loughnane | 5/6F | |
| 08 May 26+90d | Ascot | Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled close up in second early - moved to front with 2f left - driven on approaching final furlong - dug in well under pressure to hold on | 1/12 | 9-7 | 73 | 94A | 86A | Luke Catton | 11/8F | |
| 07 Feb 26+43d | Warwick | Best Cheltenham Odds With Oddschecker Handicap Hurdle Settled in the pack early - pushed along three out - dropped away approaching final two furlongs - finished third | 3/8 | 24 | 11-0 | 125 | — | 114B | Tom Bellamy | 5/1 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 25+25d | Kempton | Ladbrokes 'Best Odds Guaranteed In Racing' Handicap Hurdle Settled midpack early - shared third spot after the 6th before being driven up and slipping back with a blunder two out - soon well beaten in 6th | 6/10 | 6 | 11-0 | 125 | 91B | 113A | Philip Armson | 6/1 |
| 01 Dec 25+25d | Plumpton | Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Handicap Hurdle Sat close up early - moved to front before 2 out but hit that fence untidily - pushed along soon after - held on under pressure up the run-in to score | 1/6 | 11-10 | 121 | 118A | 142B | Tom Bellamy | 9/2 | |
| 06 Nov 25+199d | Newbury | OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Settled off the front group early - made progress into second 3 out - stayed on at the same tempo from the final flight to finish runner-up | 2/13 | 5 | 11-5 | 118 | 118B | 146A | Philip Armson | 9/2 |
| 21 Apr 25+42d | Kempton (AW) | Virgin Bet Handicap Sat close to leader - pressed forward with two out - edged out inside final furlong but battled to the line | 2/10 | ½ | 9-8 | 71 | 101A | 83A | Rossa Ryan | 11/8F |
| 10 Mar 25+44d | Stratford | DragonBet Oncourse And Online Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Up with the pace - driven forward after 2 out and moved up on the home bend - struck the front before the last - asserted on the run-in to win with authority | 1/8 | 11-6 | — | 116C | 136B | Tom Cannon | EvensF | |
| 25 Jan 25+38d | Cheltenham | JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Finesse) (GBB Race) Settled midpack early - lost touch and dropped to the back before halfway - beaten a long way out and finished well adrift in 6th | 6/10 | 25 | 11-0 | — | 77C | 117C | Tom Cannon | 14/1 |
| 2024 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Dec 24+155d | Newbury | Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Sat just off the front group out wide - lost momentum at the third-last - fought back into second nearing the final fence - drew level at the last - pushed clear on the run-in to score | 1/9 | 11-0 | — | 90A | 132A | Jonathan Burke | 11/2 | |
| 16 Jul 24+13d | Beverley | 138th Year Of The Watt Memorial Handicap | 1/5 | 8-2 | 68 | 53C | 67B | Duran Fentiman | 6/4F | |
| 03 Jul 24+44d | Thirsk | BresBet Rewards Loyalty Handicap | 2/6 | nk | 9-8 | 64 | 94A | 70B | Lewis Edmunds | 11/2 |
| 20 May 24+22d | Redcar | Watch Racing TV On Sky 424 Handicap | 2/7 | 1 | 9-10 | 61 | 100A | 76A | Daniel Muscutt | 7/2 |
| 28 Apr 24+163d | Wetherby | Wetherbyracing.co.uk Handicap | 3/7 | 4 | 9-5 | 61 | 55A | 71A | Paul Mulrennan | 20/1 |
| 2023 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 17 Nov 23+30d | Newcastle (AW) | BetMGM Take Time Out During SGWeek23! EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 6/7 | 6 | 9-7 | — | 57C | 56C | Lewis Edmunds | 125/1 |
| 18 Oct 23+37d | Nottingham | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/6 | hd | 9-7 | — | 64A | 71B | Lewis Edmunds | 80/1 |
| 11 Sep 23 | Newcastle (AW) | AGMA EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 7/8 | 9 | 9-5 | — | 46C | 38C | Lewis Edmunds | 100/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Believitanducan won?
- Believitanducan (IRE) won 7 of 20 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 35%. Placed 14 times in total (70% of starts).
- Who trains Believitanducan?
- Believitanducan (IRE) is trained by Alan King, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 October 2026.
- Who is Believitanducan's sire?
- Believitanducan (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Shirin Of Persia (IRE), whose sire is Dylan Thomas.
- What going does Believitanducan prefer?
- Believitanducan (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Believitanducan's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 87, from the run on 14 October 2026. The highest on record is 125.
- What is Believitanducan's sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 3,620 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Believitanducan's siblings?
- Out of Shirin Of Persia (IRE), Believitanducan (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.