What is Tom Buckley's strike rate?

Tom Buckley has won 33 of 316 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Tom Buckley ride most for?

Nigel Hawke, with 183 rides since 2022 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (11.5%).

What is Tom Buckley's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 315 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tom Buckley

316 rides in the last 5 seasons · 131 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 21 days ago 91% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

33–316

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=316

94 (30%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=315 · 0.86 incl. margin

−149.07

£1 level stake

n=316 at SP · −47.2%

£314k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 39% (39 rides). Rides mostly for Nigel Hawke — 58% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 316 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 43.6% when favourite Nigel Hawke: 11.5% from 183 LTO winners: 38.5% Claiming: 11.6% Rides the favourite in 12% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 38.5% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.58), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 5.2% (n=115, Fair A/E 0.67). Nigel Hawke supplies 58% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.5%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (19.4%, n=36). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.4% over 41 rides, 8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.28 across 53 rides (3.8% strike, −47.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: The Imposter (FR) — 9 wins from 13 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.2%−5.2

n=115 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −64.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

38.5%+28.1

n=39 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +9.80

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.9%−4.5

n=68 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −40.70

When favourite

43.6%

n=39 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +9.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.6%+1.2

n=249 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −95.07

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.4%−5.0

n=56 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −43.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.4

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 38.5% vs 10.4% · n=39

With horses switching code 2% vs 10.4% · n=49

Off a 8-14-day break 19.4% vs 10.4% · n=36

Off a 61-180-day break 2.4% vs 10.4% · n=41

With Paul Nicholls 18.8% vs 10.4% · n=32

In Chase races 3.8% vs 10.4% · n=53

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 220 31 14.1% −58.57

Chase 53 2 3.8% −47.50

Flat 28 0 0% −28.00

NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 109 11 10.1% −64.10

Good to Soft 93 7 7.5% −66.00

Soft 69 11 15.9% +9.78

Heavy 26 4 15.4% −9.75

Standard (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00

Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newton Abbot 23 5 21.7% −1.95

Taunton 23 0 0% −23.00

Huntingdon 20 5 25% +22.23

Chepstow 18 2 11.1% −4.75

Exeter 18 0 0% −18.00

Ffos Las 15 2 13.3% −4.50

Market Rasen 13 0 0% −13.00

Plumpton 13 3 23.1% +5.12

Uttoxeter 13 1 7.7% −10.90

Wincanton 12 1 8.3% −8.25

Hereford 10 1 10% −6.50

Worcester 9 1 11.1% −5.00

Fontwell 9 2 22.2% −5.40

Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00

Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 150 15 10% −71.15

Class 4 92 10 10.9% −31.85

Class 3 25 8 32% +2.93

Class 6 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 42 17 40.5% 1.33 +6.25

2nd–3rd fav 65 11 16.9% 1.03 −10.82

4th–6th fav 87 5 5.7% 0.74 −22.50

7th+ in betting 122 0 0% 0.00 −122.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.9% completed · 273 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 53 81.1% 1 6 3 0 0

Hurdle 220 84.5% 5 10 18 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Inferno Sacree (FR) 14 4 5 11 Mar 25

The Imposter (FR) 13 9 11 21 Dec 24

Poker Master (IRE) 13 5 7 12 Nov 24

Bert Wilson (IRE) 9 2 2 11 Mar 24

Sindabella (FR) 9 0 3 6 Apr 23

Instant De Bonheur (FR) 9 0 2 5 Jan 23

Yaazaain (GB) 9 1 4 8 Dec 22

Bring The Action (IRE) 7 0 2 30 Jan 24

Ranco (IRE) 7 2 5 17 Oct 23

Watchoutitscookie (IRE) 7 1 3 28 Apr 23

Ballymagroarty Boy (IRE) 7 0 5 11 Apr 23

Professor Calculus (GB) 7 0 0 2 Mar 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 131 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1141811130140601410

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNigel Hawke

58% of all rides
11.5% SR · A/E 1.11

TrainerRWSR£1

Nigel Hawke 183 21 11.5% −71.95

Paul Nicholls 32 6 18.8% −20.35

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£581k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 18 wins

Always Resolute (GB) — BetVictor Seniors' Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Mar 2021 · Class 3

£9,747

Storm Goddess (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Kempton · Nov 2020 · Class 2

£9,509

Loose Chips (GB) — Sky Sports Racing Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Plumpton · Jan 2020 · Class 3

£8,058

Notable horses

The Imposter (FR) Poker Master (IRE) The Boola Bee (IRE) Inferno Sacree (FR) Breffniboy (FR) Point N Shoot (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saint Des Saints (FR) 23.5% · 4–17

Progeny have won 15% of 5,359 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Jet Away (GB) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,541 runs since 2018 (273 horses).

Milan (GB) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,871 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Authorized (IRE) 69.2% · 9–13

Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,032 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.

Sepoy (AUS) 38.5% · 5–13

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,373 runs since 2016 (279 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,376 runs since 2009 (605 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 648 · newest first

The latest 50 of 648 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2018 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Medadthebookie (GB)T: Edward Buckley Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 16th 80/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Medadthebookie (GB)T: Edward Buckley Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap14f · Yielding · 15 ran 6th 125/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Kalico Leader (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran F 40/1

26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Alfinthesea (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 300/1

26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Malbas (GB)T: Edward Buckley Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Claiming Hurdle20.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 40/1

14 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Medadthebookie (GB)T: Edward Buckley Hotel Killarney Maiden8f · Good · 7 ran 6th 125/1

12 Jul 26 Sligo Tellmemamema (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Kilcawley Construction Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20f · Good · 15 ran 7th 14/1

12 Jul 26 Sligo (IRE) Las Brisas Boy (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Kilcawley Construction Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 10/1

30 Jun 26 Wexford Malbas (GB)T: Edward Buckley Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 125/1

20 Jun 26 Down Royal Medadthebookie (GB)T: Edward Buckley Event Co Marquees Maiden13f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 80/1

14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Allroadsleadtorome (GB)T: John C McConnell Randox Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 14 ran 9th 80/1

30 May 26 Tramore Las Brisas Boy (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Get A Free Month Trial Of Racing TV Now racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good · 15 ran 9th 8/1

24 May 26 Curragh Banner Beauty (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Velo Coffee Handicap8f · Good · 19 ran 10th 66/1

04 May 26 Down Royal Tellmemamema (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Club Lemon Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17.5f · Good · 20 ran 4th 80/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Mudslide Molly (GB)T: Edward Buckley Big Boss Group Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 11th 50/1

06 Apr 26 Cork Ranting And Raven (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Finbarr Quaid Electrical Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Yielding · 20 ran 10th 33/1

05 Apr 26 Cork Thepoetslodge (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Dermot Casey Tree Care Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 12th 125/1

20 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Artsman (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 100/1

17 Mar 26 Down Royal Fool Me Once (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Bluegrass Respire Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 14th 12/1

10 Feb 26 Limerick Mudslide Molly (GB)T: Edward Buckley Cheltenham Raceday Limerick On 12th March Handicap Hurdle (0-100)15.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Buckley's strike rate?: Tom Buckley has won 33 of 316 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Tom Buckley ride most for?: Nigel Hawke, with 183 rides since 2022 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (11.5%).
What is Tom Buckley's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 315 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.