Horse profile
Espona Bay (IRE)
16 runs · 10 courses · from Apr 2025
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Chepstow & Wolverhampton (AW)
Last run 11 Sep 2026 · 13th of 13
Last raced off OR 69
KTB Profile
Espona Bay (IRE) is 2 from 16, both wins coming at Class 5 level.
Based on 16 archived runs · run-style from 16 commented runs since Apr 2025 · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
All wins at Class 5
- 2–16Wins / Runs
- 12.5%Strike rate
- 8 (50%)Placed
- +1.00£1 level staken=16 at SP
- 0.81Fair A/E n=16 · 0.69 incl. margin
- 70Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating69↓ 1lb off peak
69
63–70
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 123
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 97B | 88 | 5 runs · 97 / 90 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 123B | 87 | 4 runs · 123 / 93.5 |
| Good | 2 | 62A | 44 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 85B | 80.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 12 | 123B | 88 | 8 runs · 123 / 93 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 71A | 48.5 | 2 runs · 71 / 48.5 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 65C | 63.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 16 figures from 16 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 16 analysed runs since Apr 2025
- Held up 7 (44%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 5 (31%) · 2 wins
- Led 2 (13%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (13%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,987 runs since Jun 2020 (425 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 587 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | 1 from 5 |
| Good | 995 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 471 | 70 | 14.9% | +0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 625 | 81 | 13% | −1.3 | — |
| Heavy | 183 | 27 | 14.8% | +0.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,118 | 161 | 14.4% | +0.1 | 1 from 7 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,184 | 183 | 15.5% | +1.2 | 2 from 12 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,278 | 165 | 12.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,093 | 165 | 15.1% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 272 | 40 | 14.7% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | −1.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Blue Point (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Red Blue Point (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 1 | 14% | +4.00 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +7.00 |
| Class 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +8.00 |
| Chepstow | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Lingfield | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 12 | 2 | 17% | +5.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran O'Neill | 5 | 1 | 20% | +6.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jimmy Quinn | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Christian Howarth | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke Morris | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Saffie Osborne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonny Peate | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +7.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Sep 26+24d | Doncaster | Betfred Leger Legends Classified Stakes Sent to front early - lost command and pressed for effort over 2f out - dropped away quickly - well held at finish | 13/13 | ¾ | 11-2 | 69 | 26C | 49C | Jimmy Quinn | 28/1 |
| 18 Aug 26+12d | Chepstow | Trade Centre Uk Handicap Stakes Made the running - pressed for effort a furlong out then lost command close home - lost more ground to finish third | 3/7 | 2 | 9-5 | 70 | 100B | 79A | Kieran O'Neill | 7/2 |
| 06 Aug 26+12d | Chepstow | Lsl Racing Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes Settled by the rail early - up with the pace - went to the front with 3f left - drew away inside the final furlong to hold on and win | 1/7 | 9-1 | 65 | 123B | 80A | Christian Howarth | 5/1 | |
| 25 Jul 26+8d | Lingfield | Elmstone Fire Handicap Stakes raced up with the pace before losing ground 4f out and settling towards the back by halfway - driven for effort with 1f to race - found nothing in reply | 5/5 | 1¾ | 8-10 | 66 | 87C | 56B | Kieran O'Neill | 2/1F |
| 17 Jul 26+32d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Stakes up with the pace and sent to the front 2f out - battled on through the final furlong - overtaken close home to finish a length and a quarter back in third | 3/9 | 1 | 8-5 | 67 | 97B | 78A | Kieran O'Neill | 8/1 |
| 15 Jun 26+28d | Windsor | Join Fitzdares For A Personal Service Handicap Settled last early holding an eager attitude - moved through nicely to hit the front approaching 2f out - pushed along with a furlong left - overtaken inside final 110yds and edged back to finish third | 3/9 | ½ | 9-6 | 67 | 71A | 67A | David Probert | 9/1 |
| 18 May 26+58d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap Sat close up early - travelling strongly with two out - edged in front approaching the furlong marker - driven out to prevail at the line | 1/10 | 9-4 | 65 | 96A | 74A | Kieran O'Neill | 10/1 | |
| 21 Mar 26+16d | Newcastle (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap (Div 1) Drifted right at the break - eager and pulling through midpack - pushed along with 2f left - nosed in front approaching the last furlong - quickly weakened to finish third | 3/8 | 2¼ | 9-6 | 66 | 90A | 82A | Luke Morris | 5/1 |
| 05 Mar 26+52d | Newcastle (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap Held up towards back - pushed along to close in over a furlong out - stayed with front group but faded near line | 4/11 | 2½ | 9-6 | 67 | 88A | 72A | Kieran O'Neill | 12/1 |
| 12 Jan 26+82d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap Handy in the pack early - pressed for effort with a furlong left - closed on the front group late - edged into runner-up spot but couldn't get past the winner | 2/9 | ¾ | 9-9 | 65 | 87A | 73A | Saffie Osborne | 11/10F |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Oct 25+36d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Nursery Settled in the pack early - moved left for room 2f out - pushed along and gained ground - stayed on well inside final furlong - closed on leader without quite catching up | 2/12 | 1½ | 9-8 | 64 | 81A | 80A | Oisin Murphy | 15/8F |
| 16 Sep 25+19d | Yarmouth | Great Yarmouth Glass Company Nursery Held up towards the back - made progress and pushed along inside final furlong and a half - unable to find more close home - finished 5th | 5/8 | 2 | 9-4 | 65 | 76A | 65A | James Doyle | 4/1 |
| 28 Aug 25+33d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Paddy Power Nursery Checked and eased across early - settled towards the back - made ground wide with a furlong left - moved into second close home but no match for winner | 2/8 | 1½ | 9-7 | 63 | 88B | 74A | Jamie Spencer | 4/1 |
| 26 Jul 25+18d | Windsor | British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sluggish start - settled at back of field - unable to challenge throughout - finished sixth | 6/9 | hd | 9-7 | — | 62A | 60A | Jonny Peate | 50/1 |
| 08 Jul 25+69d | Lingfield | HighBet Weekly Racing Rewards Club Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sat behind leader early - shaken up and slipped back into third with over 2f left - then found nothing more and dropped away late - finished sixth | 6/8 | 6 | 9-4 | — | 85B | 52A | Oisin Murphy | 9/4 |
| 30 Apr 25 | Ascot | Royal Ascot Two-Year-Old Trial EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Slow to break - held up towards the back - never got competitive - well held in 11th | 11/13 | shd | 9-4 | — | 65C | 51A | Oisin Murphy | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Espona Bay won?
- Espona Bay (IRE) won 2 of 16 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 8 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trains Espona Bay?
- Espona Bay (IRE) is trained by Scott Dixon, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 11 September 2026.
- Who is Espona Bay's sire?
- Espona Bay (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of Grammata (IRE), whose sire is Twilight Son.
- What going does Espona Bay prefer?
- Espona Bay (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Espona Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 69, from the run on 11 September 2026. The highest on record is 70.
- What is Espona Bay's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,987 runs since Jun 2020 (425 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Espona Bay's siblings?
- Out of Grammata (IRE), Espona Bay (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.