What is Christian Howarth's strike rate?

Christian Howarth has won 76 of 978 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Christian Howarth do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 68 rides (10.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Christian Howarth ride most for?

Alice Haynes, with 201 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (8%).

Is Christian Howarth in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Christian Howarth's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 972 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Christian Howarth

978 rides in the last 5 seasons · 544 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

76–978

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=978

223 (23%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=972 · 0.80 incl. margin

−187.97

£1 level stake

n=978 at SP · −19.2%

£754k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 200 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (102 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 978 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug 26.5% when favourite Alice Haynes: 8% from 201 LTO winners: 16.7% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (1.6% over 63 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.7% (n=102, Fair A/E 1.01), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.6% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.28). Alice Haynes supplies 21% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (24.6%, n=57). Seasonally, the rider fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.7%−0.1

n=535 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −131.48

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.7%+8.9

n=102 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −26.74

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.5%−3.3

n=112 · A/E 0.73 · £1 +59.50

When favourite

26.5%

n=49 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −12.12

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.3%−0.5

n=848 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −125.30

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.6%−6.2

n=63 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −58.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.8

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 24.6% vs 7.8% · n=57

On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 7.8% · n=102

With new recruits 0% vs 7.8% · n=37

With Christine Dunnett 0% vs 7.8% · n=31

At Southwell (AW) 1.6% vs 7.8% · n=63

With Henry Spiller 14% vs 7.8% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 485 38 7.8% −5.94

Good to Firm 197 14 7.1% −93.11

Good 151 12 7.9% −59.17

Good to Soft 76 6 7.9% −6.25

Soft 54 5 9.3% −13.00

Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00

Firm 4 1 25% +0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 160 14 8.8% +25.08

Chelmsford City (AW) 91 8 8.8% +45.50

Kempton (AW) 70 5 7.1% −16.50

Brighton 69 6 8.7% +10.50

Lingfield (AW) 68 7 10.3% −32.52

Southwell (AW) 63 1 1.6% −12.00

Yarmouth 61 4 6.6% −0.75

Doncaster 33 2 6.1% −6.50

Newcastle (AW) 33 3 9.1% −15.50

Windsor 33 2 6.1% −17.00

Leicester 32 2 6.3% −24.25

Lingfield 29 2 6.9% −23.50

Newmarket 21 2 9.5% −12.67

Bath 20 1 5% −15.50

Nottingham 19 3 15.8% −4.77

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 519 33 6.4% −68.84

Class 5 280 30 10.7% −19.29

Class 4 134 8 6% −97.84

Class 3 26 2 7.7% −13.50

Class 2 16 2 12.5% −4.50

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 58 14 24.1% 0.80 −17.37

2nd–3rd fav 167 32 19.2% 1.19 −0.10

4th–6th fav 317 18 5.7% 0.73 −167.50

7th+ in betting 436 12 2.8% 0.94 −3.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Capuchinero (GB) 21 4 6 13 Oct 25

Heer's Sadie (GB) 15 2 4 12 Oct 26

Naina (GB) 10 4 5 4 Oct 25

Josies Kid (IRE) 10 1 2 13 Jun 24

Rokuni (IRE) 9 0 2 26 Aug 26

Clipsham Noble (IRE) 8 1 3 15 Sep 25

Vitesse Du Son (GB) 8 1 3 25 Jun 24

Von Krolock (IRE) 7 1 2 19 Oct 26

Prophet Squeeze (IRE) 7 0 1 13 Oct 26

Beach Partee (GB) 7 0 1 28 Sep 26

Mashaan (GB) 7 0 2 7 Oct 25

Maysong (GB) 7 0 3 23 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 544 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1333213911944134

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAlice Haynes

21% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

Alice Haynes 201 16 8% +43.58

Scott Dixon 66 4 6.1% −29.00

Henry Spiller 50 7 14% +86.25

Simon Dow 40 1 2.5% −37.50

James Owen 35 2 5.7% −18.00

Ruth Carr 33 2 6.1% −23.75

Christine Dunnett 31 0 0% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

£810k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 31 wins

First View (IRE) — Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Kempton (AW) · Sep 2022 · Class 2

£41,232

Naina (GB) — British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery Newmarket · Sep 2024 · Class 2

£25,770

Naina (GB) — Stradivarius First Yearlings 2025 Fillies' Handicap Newmarket · Oct 2025 · Class 3

£15,462

Notable horses

Capuchinero (GB) Naina (GB) Almaan (USA) Heer's Sadie (GB) Bonnsie (IRE) Ghostly (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 2.4% · 1–41

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 18.5% · 5–27

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Outstrip (GB) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,273 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 631. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.

Ardad (IRE) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,505 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Coach House (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,476 runs since 2008 (145 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,072 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,072 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 July 2020 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Von Krolock (IRE)T: James Owen bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 20/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Of York (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Saturday 24th October Gents Night Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 12/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Great Success (GB)T: Scott Dixon Quaff Box Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 40/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Megaphone (GB)T: Scott Dixon Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 12/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) My Mate Beattie (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 50/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Oxford Circus (IRE)T: James Owen Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 3/1F

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Prophet Squeeze (IRE)T: Barry Murphy Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 100/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Cosmic Clarets (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Create (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Heer's Sadie (GB)T: Julia & Shelley Birkett Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 25/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Arabian Summer (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 5/4F

09 Oct 26 York Golden Pharaoh (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Pj Staffing Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 12th 80/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Enpassant (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 40/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Candy Warhol (USA)T: Scott Dixon Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 5/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Prophet Squeeze (IRE)T: Barry Murphy Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 66/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kindly Queen (IRE)T: Christopher Kellett Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 50/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lazzar (IRE)T: Charlie Wallis Bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 66/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Golden Pharaoh (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 50/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Banana (GB)T: Scott Dixon Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 66/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Prophet Squeeze (IRE)T: Barry Murphy bet365 Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Christian Howarth's strike rate?: Christian Howarth has won 76 of 978 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christian Howarth do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 68 rides (10.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Christian Howarth ride most for?: Alice Haynes, with 201 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (8%).
Is Christian Howarth in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Christian Howarth's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 972 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.