Horse profile
Fierce (IRE)
by Dandy Man (IRE) out of Saffian (GB) (Dubawi)
37 runs · 18 courses · from Jul 2022
As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · 4 courses
Ran 13 days ago · 6th of 12
Last raced off OR 67
KTB Profile
Typically ridden with patience — held up in 7 of 9 analysed runs — Fierce (IRE) is 4 from 37. Hasn't won since Aug 2025. Last raced off 67, 11lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 37 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs · updated 19 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
OR ↓ 11lb off peak
- 4–37Wins / Runs
- 10.8%Strike rate
- 15 (40.5%)Placed
- −18.88£1 level staken=37 at SP
- 0.81Fair A/E n=37 · 0.69 incl. margin
- 78Highest OR
- 43dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating67↓ 11lb off peak
67
66–78
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 94
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 19 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 15 | 116A | 94 | 5 · 98 / 91 |
| Good | 8 | 112A | 92 | 4 · 106 / 87.5 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 104A | 101 | — |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 104B | 92 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 112A | 96 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 19 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 22 | 112A | 93 | 3 · 94 / 93 |
| Under 6f | 15 | 116A | 93 | 6 · 106 / 87.5 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 37 figures from 37 runs · as at 13 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs
- Held up 7 (78%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (11%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (11%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 14,911 runs since Jan 2008 (930 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 92 | 14 | 15.2% | +6.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2,477 | 256 | 10.3% | +1.2 | 0 from 5 |
| Good | 3,167 | 264 | 8.3% | −0.8 | 1 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 1,339 | 109 | 8.1% | −1 | 0 from 5 |
| Soft | 1,711 | 136 | 7.9% | −1.2 | 1 from 1 |
| Heavy | 464 | 49 | 10.6% | +1.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 5,661 | 534 | 9.4% | +0.3 | 2 from 15 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4,429 | 507 | 11.4% | +2.3 | 1 from 15 |
| 6f – 7f | 7,617 | 642 | 8.4% | −0.7 | 3 from 22 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,037 | 158 | 7.8% | −1.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 579 | 44 | 7.6% | −1.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 170 | 9 | 5.3% | −3.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 66 | 2 | 3% | −6.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Saffian (GB) (Dubawi)
3 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them The Bell Conductor (IRE) (8 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 2 (The Bell Conductor (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bell Conductor (IRE) | 39 | 8 | 5f–6f | Class 2 |
| Saffron Dandy (IRE) | 11 | 4 | 5f–6f | Class 2 |
| Ohailbhic (IRE) | 20 | 3 | 6f–1m | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 15 | 2 | 13% | −4.00 |
| Good | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.50 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.62 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 18 | 1 | 6% | −12.50 |
| Class 4 | 15 | 0 | 0% | −15.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +9.00 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.38 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Pontefract | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.50 |
| Beverley | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Windsor | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.62 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 22 | 3 | 14% | −5.50 |
| Under 6f | 15 | 1 | 7% | −13.38 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Queally | 14 | 2 | 14% | −7.38 |
| Jason Hart | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| John Fahy | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| David Nolan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Ray Dawson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Barry McHugh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Archie Young | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rhys Clutterbuck | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Keeley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 29 | 3 | 10% | −15.88 |
| Blinkers | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2025 | 11 | 2 | 18% | +0.50 |
| 2024 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −5.38 |
| 2022 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct 26+19d | Pontefract | Autism In Racing Handicap Stakes Missed the break - soon in the pack's middle - drifted to the middle of the track and progressed from 1f out - stayed on to finish 6th | 6/12 | 1½ | 9-4 | 67 | 93A | 84A | Jason Hart | 7/1 |
| 16 Sep 26+41d | Beverley | We Are Christmas Party Central Handicap Stakes Sluggish start and settled last - improved position wide of rivals inside final 2f - boxed in nearing last 110yds - lost momentum close home to finish sixth | 6/12 | 1¾ | 9-0 | 68 | 76A | 75A | Jason Hart | 18/1 |
| 06 Aug 26+41d | Southwell (AW) | Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II) Settled at the back showing eagerness early - pressed forward and pushed along a furlong out - finished strongly through the last furlong - denied by three quarters of a length | 2/9 | ¾ | 9-6 | 67 | 94A | 89A | Jason Hart | 15/2 |
| 26 Jun 26+10d | Newcastle (AW) | JenningsBet Over 200 Shops Handicap Hampered at the off - settled towards the back - pushed along with 2f left - found extra and drifted left approaching final furlong - stayed on to finish sixth | 6/12 | nk | 9-3 | 69 | 91A | 84A | Jason Hart | 6/1 |
| 16 Jun 26+29d | Beverley | Coachman Caravans Classic Handicap Settled just behind the pace early - pushed along inside final furlong - improved on the outside line late - grabbed third right at the finish | 3/9 | 1¼ | 9-8 | 69 | 82B | 89A | Tom Eaves | 5/1 |
| 18 May 26+41d | Carlisle | Racing TV Handicap Slow into stride - settled towards back - strong progress wide with over a furlong left - pushed along inside final furlong - moved into runner-up spot close home - couldn't match winner's speed | 2/10 | ¾ | 9-2 | 68 | 106A | 104A | Ray Dawson | 11/2 |
| 07 Apr 26+132d | Southwell (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap drifted left at the off - stayed handy with the pace - pushed along a furlong out - moved into second inside the final furlong - couldn't hold the spot and edged out near the line | 3/8 | ¾ | 9-3 | 69 | 84A | 74A | John Fahy | 20/1 |
| 26 Nov 25+8d | Southwell (AW) | Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Selling Stakes Sluggish start - fought for control early - trailed the field throughout - pushed along with 2f left but couldn't close - finished well held in 7th | 7/7 | 1½ | 9-9 | 71 | 76A | 69A | John Fahy | 33/1 |
| 18 Nov 25+40d | Newcastle (AW) | Join The Midnite Movement Handicap Settled just behind the front group - pushed along and edged left inside final furlong - couldn't quicken enough to get on terms - finished 5th beaten under five lengths | 5/12 | 2½ | 9-2 | 73 | 98A | 80A | Barry McHugh | 12/1 |
| 09 Oct 25+14d | Newcastle (AW) | At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Slow into stride - settled towards the back - crept into 5th inside final furlong - stayed on to close gap on 4th but no threat | 5/9 | nk | 9-9 | 75 | 98A | 85A | John Fahy | 9/2 |
| 25 Sep 25+28d | Pontefract | Donate To New Beginnings Horses At nbhorses.org.uk Handicap Held up in the middle of the pack - ridden over 1f out - finished without any response to pressure | 11/14 | 1¾ | 9-11 | 77 | 83C | 75A | Tom Eaves | 20/1 |
| 28 Aug 25+18d | Southwell (AW) | Racing League Race 38 Handicap Held a midfield spot wide - drifted left approaching the furlong marker and lost momentum - unable to find more late finishing 11th beaten 4 lengths | 11/14 | ½ | 9-4 | 77 | 75B | 74A | Archie Young | 10/1 |
| 10 Aug 25+4d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Get Raceday Ready Claiming Stakes Settled towards the back early - urged forward with 2f left - moved through and driven approaching final furlong - hit front close to home and stayed on well to score | 1/4 | 10-2 | 78 | 105C | 105B | John Fahy | 5/1 | |
| 06 Aug 25+58d | Pontefract | Bet With Jayne - Your Local Bookmaker Handicap Held up eagerly behind the front group early - pressed for effort with a furlong left then lost ground fast inside final furlong - finished well held in 8th | 8/10 | 4 | 9-7 | 78 | 100B | 69A | Paul Mulrennan | 5/1 |
| 09 Jun 25+27d | Pontefract | Mr Wolf Sprint Handicap (Div 2) Hampered at the off - pulling hard - settled towards the back - strong progress up the far rail with over a furlong left - squeezed for space again - driven to the front inside the final furlong and stayed on strongly to win | 1/10 | 9-10 | 69 | 112A | 97A | David Nolan | 9/2 | |
| 13 May 25+19d | Beverley | Annie Oxtoby Memorial Handicap Held up towards back early - strong progress along inner approaching final furlong to close on front group - kept going inside final furlong but lacked the speed to get involved | 4/9 | ¾ | 9-7 | 70 | 104B | 86A | David Nolan | 4/1 |
| 24 Apr 25+33d | Beverley | Happy Birthday Andrew Hill Handicap Held up towards the back - began to close in the final furlong and moved left - stayed on well - claimed 4th close to home | 4/13 | ½ | 9-0 | 71 | 93C | 86A | Jason Hart | 14/1 |
| 22 Mar 25+158d | Newcastle (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap Poor beginning - settled towards back of chasing group - moved through and shifted left over a furlong out - took second inside final furlong and kept on to finish second by a short margin | 2/11 | nk | 9-5 | 70 | 105A | 87A | Jason Hart | 14/1 |
| 15 Oct 24+39d | Leicester | Join Racing TV Now Selling Stakes Tracked front group early - urged forward with two furlongs left - dropped away inside the final furlong - finished seventh | 7/9 | ½ | 9-6 | 71 | 96C | 68C | Tom Queally | 14/1 |
| 06 Sep 24+15d | Kempton (AW) | Join Racing Tv Now Handicap Slow to break - held up at the back throughout - never involved - finished well held in 8th | 8/8 | hd | 9-8 | 71 | 57A | 58A | Tom Queally | 5/1 |
| 22 Aug 24+42d | Lingfield (AW) | Get The Inside Track With Raceday-Ready.Com Handicap Slow to begin - settled at back - moved out and made progress from 3f out - up into second inside final 2f - hit front close home and kept going to the line | 1/10 | 9-13 | 66 | 99B | 96A | Tom Queally | 4/1C | |
| 11 Jul 24+44d | Epsom Downs | Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap | 6/7 | ¾ | 9-8 | 69 | 84B | 73A | Tom Queally | 5/1 |
| 28 May 24+22d | Brighton | Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap | 9/9 | 5½ | 9-1 | 71 | 79C | 48C | Cieren Fallon | 5/1 |
| 06 May 24+236d | Windsor | Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap | 6/9 | 1½ | 8-12 | 73 | 112A | 76A | Rhys Clutterbuck | 10/3F |
| 13 Sep 23+25d | Southwell (AW) | William Hill Bet In-Running Racing League Race 39 Handicap | 13/14 | nk | 9-5 | 75 | 73B | 68A | Kieran Shoemark | 7/1 |
| 19 Aug 23+32d | Bath | Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap | 4/6 | hd | 9-9 | 75 | 104A | 87B | Tom Queally | 2/1F |
| 18 Jul 23+19d | Nottingham | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/8 | 9-7 | 73 | 92B | 99A | Tom Queally | 8/13F | |
| 29 Jun 23+10d | Newmarket | Newmarket Racecourses Supporting Racing Staff Week Handicap | 2/7 | ¾ | 9-1 | 72 | 101A | 80A | Tom Queally | 10/3F |
| 19 Jun 23+21d | Lingfield (AW) | At The Races App Form Study Handicap | 2/9 | 1 | 9-11 | 72 | 104A | 89A | Tom Queally | 7/2 |
| 29 May 23+11d | Windsor | Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/8 | hd | 8-12 | 75 | 85A | 84A | Jason Watson | 15/8 |
| 18 May 23+154d | Newmarket | Lope Y Fernandez At The National Stud Handicap | 3/13 | 2¼ | 9-9 | 75 | 91C | 87A | Tom Queally | 9/2 |
| 15 Dec 22+54d | Southwell (AW) | TalkSPORT Download The App Nursery | 4/10 | shd | 9-10 | 76 | 116A | 87A | Tom Queally | 10/3 |
| 22 Oct 22+13d | Newbury | Renegade Brewery Nursery | 3/8 | nk | 8-3 | 76 | 93A | 91A | Aidan Keeley | 10/1 |
| 09 Oct 22+39d | Goodwood | William Hill / British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/8 | 2¼ | 9-4 | 76 | 104A | 84A | Tom Queally | 15/2 |
| 31 Aug 22+27d | Lingfield (AW) | Leger Festival On Sky Sports Racing Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/8 | 1¼ | 9-7 | — | 58B | 70A | Tom Queally | 17/2 |
| 04 Aug 22+24d | Sandown | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/9 | 1½ | 9-7 | — | 92B | 84A | Tom Queally | 10/1 |
| 11 Jul 22 | Windsor | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 6/13 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 69C | 74A | Tom Queally | 22/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fierce (IRE) won?
- Fierce (IRE) won 4 of 37 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 10.8%. Placed 15 times in total (40.5% of starts).
- Who trains Fierce (IRE)?
- Fierce (IRE) is trained by Paul Midgley, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 October 2026.
- Who is Fierce (IRE)'s sire?
- Fierce (IRE) is by Dandy Man (IRE) out of Saffian (GB), whose sire is Dubawi.
- What going does Fierce (IRE) prefer?
- Fierce (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 15 starts (13.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Fierce (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 67, from the run on 5 October 2026. The highest on record is 78.
- What is Fierce (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Dandy Man (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 14,911 runs since Jan 2008 (930 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
- Who are Fierce (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Saffian (GB), Fierce (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: The Bell Conductor (IRE) (8). Highest grade won: Class 2 (The Bell Conductor (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Oct 2026.