Horse profile
Hat Toss (IRE)
26 runs · 16 courses · from Oct 2022
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 11 Jan 2025 — 648 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jan 2025 · 9th of 16
3 wins · Chelmsford City (AW) & Sandown
Last raced off OR 84
KTB Profile
Hat Toss won three of 26 starts between Oct 2022 and Jan 2025. Two of those wins came at Sandown and the third at Chelmsford City on the AW. All three successes were in handicaps, two of them over 1m to 1m1f on good or standard ground and the other over 6f to 7f on good ground. The gelding, aged 5 at his last run in Jan 2025, finished 9 of 16 in a Class 3 handicap at Chelmsford City off a mark of 84.
Based on 26 archived runs · run-style from 7 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 21 Oct 2026
- 3–26Wins / Runs
- 11.5%Strike rate
- 11 (42.3%)Placed
- +7.00£1 level staken=26 at SP
- 0.95Fair A/E n=26 · 0.81 incl. margin
- 85Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating84↓ 1lb off peak
84
68–85
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 113
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 12 | 113A | 89 | — |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 135A | 84 | — |
| Soft | 4 | 105B | 99.5 | — |
| Good | 4 | 88A | 85 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 13 | 113A | 86 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 12 | 135A | 87.5 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 26 figures from 26 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Held up 3 (43%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (29%) · 1 win
- Prominent 2 (29%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 14.4% of 3,942 runs since Jan 2008 (420 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 586 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.3 | 0 from 5 |
| Good | 994 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.3 | 2 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 466 | 69 | 14.8% | +0.4 | — |
| Soft | 614 | 79 | 12.9% | −1.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 170 | 26 | 15.3% | +0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,104 | 160 | 14.5% | +0.1 | 1 from 12 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,176 | 182 | 15.5% | +1.1 | 1 from 12 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,258 | 164 | 13% | −1.4 | 2 from 13 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,080 | 163 | 15.1% | +0.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 268 | 39 | 14.6% | +0.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | −1.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 12 | 1 | 8% | −5.00 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 4 | 2 | 50% | +22.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 13 | 1 | 8% | −6.00 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +22.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Sandown | 3 | 2 | 67% | +23.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 13 | 2 | 15% | +11.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 12 | 1 | 8% | −3.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darragh Keenan | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
| Ryoya Kozaki | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Adam Farragher | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Sean D Bowen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Aidan Keeley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Laura Pearson | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.00 |
| Shane Crosse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Rodriguez | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hugh Horgan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 19 | 3 | 16% | +14.00 |
| Hood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood + tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2024 | 13 | 2 | 15% | +11.00 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +1.00 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 25+16d | Chelmsford City (AW) | bet365 Handicap Settled towards the back early - stayed off the leaders through the race - nudged forward slightly late on - finished 9th beaten 4.25 lengths | 9/16 | hd | 9-3 | 84 | 101B | 84A | Adam Farragher | 18/1 |
| 26 Dec 24+23d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap Settled near the back early - urged forward with two furlongs left - failed to threaten the leading group - finished eighth beaten four and a quarter lengths | 8/11 | 1 | 9-6 | 85 | 99A | 81A | Hector Crouch | 10/3F |
| 03 Dec 24+26d | Lingfield (AW) | Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap Midfield - driven forward 2f out - made progress to move into 3rd inside the final furlong - there to challenge in the closing stages - narrowly denied in 2nd | 2/12 | nk | 9-7 | 83 | 113A | 94A | Sean D Bowen | 5/2F |
| 07 Nov 24+29d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Settled off the pace early - fighting for control - made ground into contention over 2f out - up into second a furlong out - responded well to hit front right at the finish | 1/9 | 9-10 | 81 | 112A | 88A | Adam Farragher | 6/1 | |
| 09 Oct 24+26d | Kempton (AW) | Ted Palmer Memorial Handicap Settled just off the pace - made progress into contention 2f out - moved left 1f out and stayed on - took 3rd close to home | 3/11 | ½ | 9-10 | 81 | 87A | 92A | Darragh Keenan | 16/1 |
| 13 Sep 24+36d | Sandown | Beck London Handicap Severely impeded at the off and jockey without a stirrup momentarily - settled last of all - progress from 2f out - kept on through the final furlong to grab 2nd close home beaten a half-length | 2/9 | ½ | 8-8 | 80 | 100A | 85A | Darragh Keenan | 6/1 |
| 08 Aug 24+35d | Sandown | TrustATrader Handicap Sat handy behind pace - moved smoothly wide with a furlong and a half left - hit the front approaching the last furlong - driven out under pressure to prevail | 1/12 | 9-10 | 76 | 81B | 92A | Darragh Keenan | 16/1 | |
| 04 Jul 24+12d | Newbury | Billington Foods Supports The Billington Foundation Handicap | 7/7 | 6 | 10-0 | 78 | 84B | 57A | Kevin Stott | 4/1 |
| 22 Jun 24+14d | Haydock | Long Shot Summer Seltzer Handicap | 6/7 | ¾ | 9-8 | 79 | 84B | 77A | Callum Rodriguez | 11/5F |
| 08 Jun 24+4d | Chepstow | Vickers.Bet Handicap | 3/11 | 2¼ | 9-4 | 80 | 135A | 84A | Sean D Bowen | 5/2F |
| 04 Jun 24+16d | Leicester | Chris Moyles Live At LeicesterRaces 15th June Handicap | 3/7 | 1¾ | 9-7 | 80 | 105B | 79A | Callum Shepherd | 13/2 |
| 19 May 24+13d | Newmarket | Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap | 2/11 | 2¼ | 9-9 | 80 | 93A | 87A | Hollie Doyle | 6/1 |
| 06 May 24+21d | Bath | Win With Eco At The Eco Scheme Handicap | 4/8 | ¾ | 9-8 | 82 | 99A | 93A | Aidan Keeley | 7/1 |
| 15 Apr 24+215d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Handicap | 6/6 | 2½ | 9-5 | 83 | 73A | 63B | Aidan Keeley | 5/1 |
| 13 Sep 23+27d | Southwell (AW) | William Hill Epic Boost Racing League Race 38 Handicap | 7/13 | 1¼ | 9-5 | 83 | 91B | 78A | Daniel Muscutt | 13/2 |
| 17 Aug 23+54d | Windsor | William Hill Epic Value Racing League Race 18 Handicap | 2/10 | hd | 9-4 | 82 | 81A | 88A | Billy Loughnane | 10/3F |
| 24 Jun 23+8d | Newmarket | Racing TV Handicap | 5/8 | ½ | 9-8 | 82 | 84A | 81A | Laura Pearson | 6/4F |
| 16 Jun 23+24d | Sandown | Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Handicap | 1/9 | 9-5 | 74 | 88A | 94A | Laura Pearson | 8/1 | |
| 23 May 23+24d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap | 3/9 | hd | 9-8 | 74 | 83A | 81A | Oisin Murphy | 4/1 |
| 29 Apr 23+71d | Haydock | Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap | 2/14 | shd | 9-2 | 68 | 86C | 95A | Kevin Stott | 9/1 |
| 17 Feb 23+7d | Dundalk (AW) | Dundalk Stadium Maiden | 6/13 | 2¾ | 9-8 | 68 | 91B | 62A | Shane Crosse | 25/1 |
| 10 Feb 23+84d | Dundalk (AW) | Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Race | 7/10 | 2½ | 8-12 | 68 | 71A | 67A | Hugh Horgan | 50/1 |
| 18 Nov 22+7d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden | 5/14 | hd | 9-5 | — | 83B | 73A | Shane Crosse | 25/1 |
| 11 Nov 22+23d | Dundalk (AW) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race | 5/8 | 1¾ | 9-5 | — | 61A | 61A | Ryoya Kozaki | 33/1 |
| 19 Oct 22+6d | Navan | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden | 10/12 | 2¾ | 9-4 | — | 48C | 37C | Ryoya Kozaki | 40/1 |
| 13 Oct 22 | Curragh | Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden | 11/17 | ½ | 9-4 | — | 49C | 56A | Ryoya Kozaki | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Hat Toss (IRE) won?
- Hat Toss (IRE) won 3 of 26 archived starts between 2022 and 2025, a strike rate of 11.5%. Placed 11 times in total (42.3% of starts).
- Who trained Hat Toss (IRE)?
- Hat Toss (IRE) was trained by James Owen on the most recent run on record, at Chelmsford City (AW) on 11 January 2025.
- Who is Hat Toss (IRE)'s sire?
- Hat Toss (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of Ai Chan (IRE), whose sire is Dream Ahead.
- What going does Hat Toss (IRE) prefer?
- Hat Toss (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Hat Toss (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 84, from the run on 11 January 2025. The highest on record is 85.
- What is Hat Toss (IRE)'s sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.4% of 3,942 runs since Jan 2008 (420 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Hat Toss (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Ai Chan (IRE), Hat Toss (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.