Inevitable Outcome (IRE)
Inevitable Outcome won six of 35 starts all over 6f – 7f. Five of those wins came on the AW at Wolverhampton and Kempton while the sixth was gained at Yarmouth on good to firm. The mare landed three handicaps at Wolverhampton between December 2020 and January 2022 off marks from 69 to 75. She last ran at Chelmsford City in March 2023 when eighth of nine off an official rating of 70.
- 6–35Wins / Runs
- 17.1%Strike rate
- 13 (37.1%)Placed
- +10.83£1 level staken=35 at SP
- 1.44Fair A/E n=35 · 1.26 incl. margin
- 78Highest OR
- 38dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 91
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 31 | 113A | 92 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 93A | 87 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 35 | 113A | 92 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 35 figures from 35 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.9% of 1,410 runs since Jan 2008 (122 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 11.9% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 180. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 168.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 148 | 13 | 8.8% | −0.1 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 258 | 19 | 7.4% | −1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 146 | 13 | 8.9% | 0 | — |
| Soft | 268 | 20 | 7.5% | −1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 118 | 14 | 11.9% | +3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 469 | 47 | 10% | +1.1 | 5 from 31 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 180 | 25 | 13.9% | +5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 636 | 60 | 9.4% | +0.5 | 6 from 35 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 296 | 25 | 8.4% | −0.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 168 | 9 | 5.4% | −3.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 84 | 3 | 3.6% | −5.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | −0.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +2.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −8.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
9 siblings in the archive, 8 winners — best of them Midnight Rider (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 4½f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Anticipated (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midnight Rider (IRE) | 60 | 5 | 5f–6f | Class 3 |
| Kim Wexler (IRE) | 24 | 4 | 5f | Class 4 |
| Random Success (IRE) | 15 | 3 | 5f–6f | Class 4 |
| Anticipated (IRE) | 9 | 2 | 5f | Class 2 |
| Costarmoricain (IRE) | 25 | 2 | 5½f–6½f | — |
| War And Glory (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Sharron Macready (IRE) | 11 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Finisterien (IRE) | 7 | 1 | 4½f | — |
| Likewise (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 31 | 5 | 16% | +4.83 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +8.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 24 | 5 | 21% | +16.83 |
| Class 4 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 6 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 16 | 3 | 19% | +5.83 |
| Kempton (AW) | 6 | 2 | 33% | +8.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Yarmouth | 2 | 1 | 50% | +8.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Pearson | 11 | 3 | 27% | +10.83 |
| Dylan Hogan | 7 | 1 | 14% | +3.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 4 | 2 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Poppy Bridgwater | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Louis Steward | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Saffie Osborne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam James | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stefano Cherchi | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam McNamara | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke Morris | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 31 | 6 | 19% | +14.83 |
| Cheekpieces | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2022 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −4.50 |
| 2021 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +6.00 |
| 2020 | 13 | 4 | 31% | +15.33 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Mar 23+42d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap | 8/9 | 1 | 9-1 | 70 | 80A | 59A | Laura Pearson | 33/1 |
| 19 Jan 23+10d | Wolverhampton (AW) | It's Time To Turn To talkSPORT Fillies' Handicap | 5/7 | 1 | 9-8 | 70 | 83B | 71A | Laura Pearson | 11/2 |
| 09 Jan 23+11d | Wolverhampton (AW) | It's Time To Turn To Talksport Fillies' Handicap | 3/8 | hd | 9-3 | 69 | 91A | 83A | Rossa Ryan | 14/1 |
| 2022 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Dec 22+11d | Southwell (AW) | BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Handicap | 9/14 | ¾ | 8-13 | 72 | 91B | 64A | Billy Loughnane | 50/1 |
| 18 Dec 22+11d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Handicap | 6/10 | ½ | 9-6 | 72 | 97A | 78A | Daniel Muscutt | 25/1 |
| 07 Dec 22+9d | Lingfield (AW) | Spreadex Sports First Past The Post Handicap | 9/11 | 1¾ | 9-8 | 74 | 68A | 67A | Saffie Osborne | 50/1 |
| 28 Nov 22+23d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Handicap (Div 1) | 8/11 | 2¾ | 9-8 | 74 | 98A | 74A | Sam James | 20/1 |
| 05 Nov 22+224d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap | 7/8 | 5½ | 9-10 | 76 | 81A | 55A | Stefano Cherchi | 14/1 |
| 26 Mar 22+28d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Handicap | 8/11 | shd | 9-1 | 77 | 106A | 73A | Laura Pearson | 11/1 |
| 26 Feb 22+36d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral Proud To Support British Racing Fillies' Handicap | 6/10 | 1¾ | 9-6 | 78 | 97A | 73A | Adam McNamara | 15/2 |
| 21 Jan 22+14d | Southwell (AW) | Betway Handicap | 7/7 | 7½ | 9-2 | 78 | 69A | 37A | Laura Pearson | 11/2 |
| 07 Jan 22+16d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral Proud To Support British Racing Fillies' Handicap | 1/7 | 9-4 | 75 | 113A | 99A | Laura Pearson | 7/2C | |
| 2021 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Dec 21+3d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Handicap | 8/12 | ½ | 9-3 | 76 | 107A | 71A | Laura Pearson | 13/2 |
| 19 Dec 21+8d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Casino Deposit 10 Get 40 Bonus Handicap | 5/10 | ½ | 9-5 | 76 | 103A | 80A | Laura Pearson | 5/1 |
| 11 Dec 21+7d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Casino Handicap | 1/13 | 9-1 | 72 | 107B | 91A | Laura Pearson | 12/1 | |
| 04 Dec 21+294d | Wolverhampton (AW) | betyourway At Betway Handicap | 8/11 | ½ | 8-12 | 74 | 81A | 57A | Laura Pearson | 16/1 |
| 13 Feb 21+22d | Lingfield (AW) | Betway Handicap | 4/7 | hd | 9-7 | 75 | 86A | 74A | Luke Morris | 4/1 |
| 22 Jan 21+18d | Lingfield (AW) | Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Handicap | 2/5 | hd | 9-6 | 74 | 97C | 75B | Rossa Ryan | 11/4 |
| 04 Jan 21+5d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Play 4 To Score At Betway Handicap | 2/7 | 3¾ | 9-4 | 68 | 96A | 88A | Laura Pearson | 11/10F |
| 2020 · 13 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Dec 20+18d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Play 4 To Win At Betway Handicap | 1/11 | 8-9 | 69 | 105A | 80A | Laura Pearson | 10/3 | |
| 12 Dec 20+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Read Katie Walsh On Betway Insider Handicap (Div 2) | 4/10 | 1 | 9-1 | 70 | 97A | 82A | Dylan Hogan | 10/1 |
| 21 Nov 20+35d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Supporting Safer Gambling Week Handicap | 9/13 | 2¾ | 8-13 | 71 | 105B | 59A | Dylan Hogan | 12/1 |
| 17 Oct 20+18d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Fillies' Handicap | 4/12 | 1¼ | 8-7 | 72 | 110A | 76A | Dylan Hogan | 5/1 |
| 29 Sep 20+13d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Follow At The Races On Twitter Fillies' Handicap | 2/9 | ½ | 8-11 | 70 | 92A | 79A | Dylan Hogan | 15/2 |
| 16 Sep 20+17d | Yarmouth | Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap | 1/8 | 8-11 | 67 | 93A | 79A | Dylan Hogan | 9/1 | |
| 30 Aug 20+28d | Yarmouth | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap | 7/11 | 2½ | 9-1 | 70 | 76A | 61A | Dylan Hogan | 9/2F |
| 02 Aug 20+146d | Newcastle (AW) | Follow At The Races On Twitter Fillies' Handicap | 2/8 | 2 | 9-8 | 69 | 78A | 92A | Callum Shepherd | 9/2 |
| 09 Mar 20+21d | Kempton (AW) | Join Racing TV Now Handicap | 3/8 | ½ | 9-11 | 68 | 88B | 79A | Callum Shepherd | 6/5F |
| 17 Feb 20+13d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red.com Handicap | 1/9 | 8-13 | 62 | 100A | 81A | Callum Shepherd | 8/1 | |
| 04 Feb 20+18d | Kempton (AW) | Wise Betting At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2) | 1/10 | 8-11 | 55 | 82A | 71A | Callum Shepherd | 4/1F | |
| 17 Jan 20+9d | Lingfield (AW) | Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Handicap (Div 1) | 2/9 | 3¼ | 9-3 | 56 | 86A | 63A | Poppy Bridgwater | 7/2 |
| 08 Jan 20+105d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Casino Handicap (Div 1) | 4/10 | ¾ | 8-8 | 56 | 80A | 59A | Poppy Bridgwater | 10/1 |
| 2019 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 25 Sep 19+22d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red On The App Store Novice Median Auction Stakes (Div 1) | 7/10 | ¾ | 8-6 | — | 58A | 43A | Dylan Hogan | 20/1 |
| 03 Sep 19+23d | Salisbury | Simpson Hilder Associates Supporting Gift Of Sight EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 6/14 | nk | 9-0 | — | 81C | 55A | Louis Steward | 20/1 |
| 11 Aug 19 | Windsor | Con Quinlan Memorial Fillies' Novice Median Auction Stakes (Plus 10) | 5/13 | 2¼ | 9-0 | — | 92C | 62A | Louis Steward | 20/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Inevitable Outcome won?
- Inevitable Outcome (IRE) won 6 of 35 archived starts between 2019 and 2023, a strike rate of 17.1%. Placed 13 times in total (37.1% of starts).
- Who trained Inevitable Outcome?
- Inevitable Outcome (IRE) was trained by David Loughnane on the most recent run on record, at Chelmsford City (AW) on 2 March 2023.
- Who is Inevitable Outcome's sire?
- Inevitable Outcome (IRE) is by Ivawood (IRE) out of Foreplay (IRE), whose sire is Lujain.
- What going does Inevitable Outcome prefer?
- Inevitable Outcome (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 5 wins from 31 starts (16.1%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Inevitable Outcome's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 70, from the run on 2 March 2023. The highest on record is 78.
- What is Inevitable Outcome's sire's record?
- Ivawood (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.9% of 1,410 runs since Jan 2008 (122 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 11.9% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 180. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 168.
- Who are Inevitable Outcome's siblings?
- Out of Foreplay (IRE), Inevitable Outcome (IRE) has 9 other produce in our archive, 8 of them winners. Most wins: Midnight Rider (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Anticipated (IRE)). The wins came over 4½f–7f. As at Oct 2026.