Horse profile
Initial Blue (IRE)
by Blue Point (IRE) out of Summer Dream (IRE) (Oasis Dream)
24 runs · 11 courses · from Oct 2024
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
5 wins · Laytown (IRE), Kempton (AW) & Chelmsford City (AW)
Ran 22 days ago · 6th of 13
Last raced off OR 74
KTB Profile
Initial Blue is 5 from 24 with all wins on the all-weather over 6f – 7f. He has won three of six starts at Kempton (AW) and one each at Laytown and Chelmsford City, progressing from a Class 5 novice success at Chelmsford in Nov 2024 to a handicap success off 69 at Laytown in Sep 2026. The gelding, by Blue Point out of an Oasis Dream mare, was held up when finishing sixth of 13 at Dundalk off an official rating of 74 in Sep 2026.
Based on 24 archived runs · run-style from 15 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
All wins on AW
- 5–24Wins / Runs
- 20.8%Strike rate
- 11 (45.8%)Placed
- +8.25£1 level staken=24 at SP
- 1.57Fair A/E n=24 · 1.31 incl. margin
- 77Highest OR
- 31dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating74↓ 3lb off peak
74
55–77
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 18 | 111A | 95.5 | 13 · 111 / 96 |
| Good | 3 | 71B | 66 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 21 | 111A | 94 | 12 · 111 / 96 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 96A | 81 | 2 · 96 / 81 |
Of 24 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 23 figures from 24 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 15 analysed runs
- Held up 6 (40%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 5 (33%) · 1 win
- Led 4 (27%) · 4 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 14% of 3,375 runs since Jan 2008 (412 horses).
Strongest on good to soft going: 17.1% from 334. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.8% from 203.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 0 | 0% | −14 | — |
| Good to Firm | 627 | 87 | 13.9% | −0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 789 | 97 | 12.3% | −1.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 334 | 57 | 17.1% | +3.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 376 | 49 | 13% | −1 | — |
| Heavy | 107 | 12 | 11.2% | −2.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,132 | 171 | 15.1% | +1.1 | 5 from 19 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 652 | 87 | 13.3% | −0.7 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,854 | 263 | 14.2% | +0.2 | 5 from 22 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 602 | 94 | 15.6% | +1.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 203 | 22 | 10.8% | −3.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | −2.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | −3.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −14 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Summer Dream (IRE) (Oasis Dream)
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Summer Daydream (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m½f; the highest grade won is Listed (Summer Daydream (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer Daydream (IRE) | 14 | 3 | 6f | Listed |
| Cityzen Serg (IRE) | 34 | 3 | 1m½f | Class 4 |
| Rogue Federation (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 19 | 5 | 26% | +13.25 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −1.00 |
| Class 6 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −1.75 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 6 | 3 | 50% | +8.25 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Laytown (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 22 | 5 | 23% | +10.25 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Levey | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 4 | 2 | 50% | +5.75 |
| Jack Doughty | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Charlie Bell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Alec Voikhansky | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jack Kearney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr H C Swan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Alistair Rawlinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Havlin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tyrese Cameron | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Hitchcott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 2 | 25% | +10.00 |
| Blinkers | 6 | 2 | 33% | +2.25 |
| Cheekpieces | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 4 | 31% | +16.25 |
| 2025 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 26+15d | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap | 6/13 | nk | 10-4 | 74 | 82B | 83A | Jack Kearney | 15/2 |
| 10 Sep 26+70d | Laytown (IRE) | Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports (Q.R.) Handicap Set the pace from the off - holding a slim advantage and going smoothly with 2f left - asked for effort and driven out with a furlong to run - challenged hard inside the last - found more to prevail at the finish | 1/10 | 12-0 | 69 | — | 98A | Mr H C Swan | 14/1 | |
| 02 Jul 26+31d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Set the pace from the break - driven and lost the advantage close to the final furlong - regained the front inside it - dug deep to prevail on the line | 1/11 | 9-5 | 66 | 94A | 85A | Rossa Ryan | 5/1 | |
| 01 Jun 26+32d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap Went straight to front - driven along and lost advantage entering last furlong - hampered by a loose runner soon after and weakened - held on for third | 3/12 | 3¾ | 9-6 | 67 | 97A | 78A | Jack Doughty | 7/2F |
| 30 Apr 26+12d | Southwell (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Settled in rear - headway over 1f out - moved into second inside the final furlong - challenged for the lead in the closing stages - narrowly beaten at the line | 2/7 | nk | 9-9 | 65 | 103A | 97A | Alistair Rawlinson | 9/2 |
| 18 Apr 26+10d | Nottingham | Burger King Winning Whopper Apprentice Handicap Disputed front spot early - dropped away fast inside final furlong - finished 7th | 7/8 | 2¼ | 9-5 | 65 | 66A | 57A | Charlie Bell | 11/2 |
| 08 Apr 26+13d | Kempton (AW) | Virgin Bet Handicap Travelled close up on the wide side early - moved across to the rail to hit the front after a furlong - asked for effort with 1f remaining - driven out inside the final furlong to score comfortably | 1/11 | 9-7 | 62 | 111A | 84A | Billy Loughnane | 7/2 | |
| 26 Mar 26+13d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Racing Welfare Handicap Handy early - asked for effort with 2f left - rallied late to grab third close home | 3/7 | nk | 9-3 | 63 | 96A | 81A | Jack Doughty | 7/1 |
| 13 Mar 26+10d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap Tracked leader - pushed along inside final furlong and stayed on strongly - edged out for second right at the line | 3/10 | shd | 9-6 | 62 | 98A | 85A | Rossa Ryan | 4/1 |
| 03 Mar 26+27d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Pulling hard through the pack early - pushed along to move into third with 2f left - drifted left and clipped another runner inside final furlong then held on for third | 3/9 | ¾ | 9-1 | 62 | 107A | 76A | Hollie Doyle | 9/4F |
| 04 Feb 26+13d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Set the pace from the break - given a squeeze approaching the furlong marker before edging away - crossed the line without a rival in sight | 1/9 | 9-9 | 55 | 109A | 92A | Rossa Ryan | 11/4 | |
| 22 Jan 26+20d | Southwell (AW) | Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap Settled with eagerness in the pack - asked for effort with 2f left and drifted left as it made progress - stayed on through the closing stage to finish fifth beaten 3 lengths | 5/10 | ¾ | 9-5 | 56 | 93A | 76A | Robert Havlin | 9/1 |
| 02 Jan 26+37d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Tracked the pace group early - pushed along with over a furlong left - kept on but edged left approaching the final furlong - unable to close the gap on the front pair | 3/11 | 2 | 8-8 | 57 | 94A | 74A | Charlie Bell | 33/1 |
| 26 Nov 25+32d | Southwell (AW) | At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Close order early - pushed along and dropped back 3f out - faded 2f out - beaten well at the finish | 10/10 | 11 | 9-7 | 59 | 46C | 45C | Rossa Ryan | 3/1 |
| 25 Oct 25+31d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Held up towards the back - driven approaching 3f out and stayed on late - moved into 4th deep inside final furlong | 4/12 | ½ | 9-1 | 60 | 95A | 70A | Alec Voikhansky | 9/1 |
| 24 Sep 25+21d | Kempton (AW) | Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap Held up towards rear in 7th - urged forward around halfway - made progress but boxed in before finding room right inside final furlong - stayed on to finish fourth without threatening winner | 4/10 | nk | 9-7 | 62 | 89A | 76A | Sean Levey | 7/2J |
| 03 Sep 25+15d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap Settled in the pack early - pushed along inside the final furlong - stayed on at one effort to finish fourth | 4/7 | 2¾ | 9-7 | 63 | 79A | 67A | Tyrese Cameron | 4/1 |
| 19 Aug 25+26d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Up with the front group - niggled at 2f out - kept on through the final furlong without the speed to threaten - took third | 3/12 | 2 | 9-3 | 64 | 98B | 81A | Sean Levey | 10/1 |
| 24 Jul 25+47d | Doncaster | Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Settled just behind the pace - losing touch and knocked off stride inside the final furlong - well held at the finish | 10/10 | 8½ | 9-3 | 69 | 54C | 40C | Sean Levey | 18/1 |
| 07 Jun 25+8d | Chepstow | DragonBet - Oncourse And Online Handicap Settled handy on the rail - pressed for effort with 2f left - dropped away inside the final furlong to finish 9th | 9/10 | 1 | 9-1 | 73 | 90A | 53A | Alec Voikhansky | 7/1 |
| 30 May 25+25d | Haydock | Betfred 'Join Our Sports Club' Handicap Settled with eager attitude just behind the front two - asked for effort over 2f out then drifted left and bumped another runner approaching the final furlong - lost ground finishing eighth | 8/12 | 2 | 9-9 | 75 | 71B | 73A | Tom Marquand | 16/1 |
| 05 May 25+177d | Windsor | attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Held up towards the back - lost touch approaching final 2f - dropped away in closing stages - finished ninth | 9/12 | shd | 9-8 | 77 | 76A | 64A | Sam Hitchcott | 12/1 |
| 09 Nov 24+33d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Betfair Plays Different EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace from the off - kept a forward position - faced pressure inside the final furlong but responded strongly - edged back in front close home to prevail | 1/10 | 9-4 | — | 82A | 78A | Sean Levey | 2/1F | |
| 07 Oct 24 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Get Raceday Ready App EBF 'Confined' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Handy early behind pace - pressed for effort 2f out and unable to match rivals into final furlong - edged out of third late to finish 4th | 4/12 | 1 | 9-7 | — | 96A | 76A | Sean Levey | 11/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Initial Blue (IRE) won?
- Initial Blue (IRE) won 5 of 24 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 20.8%. Placed 11 times in total (45.8% of starts).
- Who trains Initial Blue (IRE)?
- Initial Blue (IRE) is trained by Jack W Davison, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 September 2026.
- Who is Initial Blue (IRE)'s sire?
- Initial Blue (IRE) is by Blue Point (IRE) out of Summer Dream (IRE), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
- What going does Initial Blue (IRE) prefer?
- Initial Blue (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 5 wins from 19 starts (26.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Initial Blue (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 74, from the run on 25 September 2026. The highest on record is 77.
- What is Initial Blue (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Blue Point (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 14% of 3,375 runs since Jan 2008 (412 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to soft going: 17.1% from 334. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.8% from 203.
- Who are Initial Blue (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Summer Dream (IRE), Initial Blue (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Summer Daydream (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Listed (Summer Daydream (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m½f. As at Oct 2026.