Horse profile
Northern Surprise (IRE)
by Azamour (IRE) out of Surprise Treat (IRE) (Shalford)
63 runs · 15 courses · from Sep 2013
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 11 Nov 2020 — 2,184 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Nov 2020 · 13th of 14
7 wins · 4 courses
Last raced off OR 45
KTB Profile
Northern Surprise (IRE) is 7 from 63. Hasn't won since Jan 2019. Last raced off 45, 42lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 63 archived runs · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 42lb off peak
- 7–63Wins / Runs
- 11.1%Strike rate
- 12 (19%)Placed
- +10.13£1 level staken=63 at SP
- 1.53Fair A/E n=63 · 1.23 incl. margin
- 87Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)longest 244 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating45↓ 42lb off peak
45
41–87
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 107
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 26 | 116A | 88.5 | — |
| Good | 4 | 92C | 87.5 | — |
| Soft | 4 | 98C | 76 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 85C | 85 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 86C | 82 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 20 | 107B | 86 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 20 | 116A | 87 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 40 figures from 40 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 4,328 runs since May 2009 (351 horses).
Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 215.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 20 | 5 | 25% | +11.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 626 | 88 | 14.1% | +1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 1,171 | 162 | 13.8% | +0.7 | 1 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 564 | 68 | 12.1% | −1 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 767 | 92 | 12% | −1.1 | 2 from 11 |
| Heavy | 251 | 28 | 11.2% | −1.9 | 0 from 9 |
| Standard (AW) | 928 | 122 | 13.1% | 0 | 4 from 31 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 25 | 2 | 8% | −5.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 574 | 71 | 12.4% | −0.7 | 4 from 35 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 797 | 95 | 11.9% | −1.2 | 3 from 28 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,288 | 174 | 13.5% | +0.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 924 | 133 | 14.4% | +1.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 446 | 63 | 14.1% | +1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 215 | 19 | 8.8% | −4.3 | — |
| Over 3m | 59 | 9 | 15.3% | +2.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since May 2009 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Surprise Treat (IRE) (Shalford)
5 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them What's Up Doc (IRE) (11 wins).
The wins came over 1m–2m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (What's Up Doc (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| What's Up Doc (IRE) | 57 | 11 | 1m–2m | Class 4 |
| Deckhand (IRE) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
| Night Breeze (IRE) | 19 | 0 | — | — |
| Surprise Duel (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Travel Treat (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 31 | 4 | 13% | +15.38 |
| Soft | 11 | 2 | 18% | +6.75 |
| Heavy | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Good | 8 | 1 | 13% | +1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) | 31 | 4 | 13% | +15.38 |
| Gowran Park | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tipperary | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| Cork | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Galway | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Curragh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bellewstown | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Gowran Park (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 35 | 4 | 11% | −9.87 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 28 | 3 | 11% | +20.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W J Lee | 27 | 4 | 15% | −0.87 |
| Emma Doyle | 11 | 1 | 9% | +10.00 |
| Ronan Whelan | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| N G McCullagh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gary Halpin | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Colin Keane | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Donnacha O'Brien | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Marc Monaghan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Shane Foley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Joe Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robbie Downey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Madden | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Danny Redmond | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pat Smullen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +10.00 |
| Danny Grant | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 57 | 7 | 12% | +16.13 |
| Blinkers | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2019 | 10 | 1 | 10% | +11.00 |
| 2018 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2017 | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| 2016 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.62 |
| 2015 | 12 | 4 | 33% | +35.00 |
| 2014 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.25 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Nov 20+88d | Dundalk (AW) | Test Your Tipping Talents At PUNTERS.HOLLYWOODBETS.COM Every Dundalk Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 13/14 | 5 | 8-13 | 45 | 73B | 29A | Shane Foley | 80/1 |
| 15 Aug 20+148d | Dundalk (AW) | Download The BarOneRacing.com App Handicap (45-65) | 12/13 | 3 | 8-6 | 45 | 69C | 34C | Emma Doyle | 33/1 |
| 20 Mar 20+14d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Claiming Race | 4/10 | 2½ | 9-6 | 41 | 80A | 68A | W J Lee | 11/1 |
| 06 Mar 20+14d | Dundalk (AW) | Love Your Mum At The Races 20th & 21st March Handicap (45-65) | 4/14 | 2¾ | 8-8 | 45 | 107B | 62A | N G McCullagh | 20/1 |
| 21 Feb 20+7d | Dundalk (AW) | Fundraise At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 7/14 | nk | 8-8 | 45 | 89B | 60A | N G McCullagh | 20/1 |
| 14 Feb 20+70d | Dundalk (AW) | Bet On The Best Night Out Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 8/14 | 1 | 8-8 | 45 | 94B | 55A | Joe Doyle | 20/1 |
| 2019 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Dec 19+7d | Dundalk (AW) | BetVictor Bet 5 Get 30 Offer Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 11/14 | 1¼ | 8-1 | 45 | 70B | 43A | Emma Doyle | 25/1 |
| 29 Nov 19+9d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 11/14 | 1¼ | 7-13 | 46 | 82B | 41A | Emma Doyle | 33/1 |
| 20 Nov 19+12d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 10/14 | 3 | 8-4 | 48 | 88B | 46A | Emma Doyle | 33/1 |
| 08 Nov 19+9d | Dundalk (AW) | Lengthen The Odds With BetVictor Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 10/14 | 1 | 8-3 | 48 | 92B | 48A | Emma Doyle | 16/1 |
| 30 Oct 19+229d | Dundalk (AW) | Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 8/14 | 1¾ | 8-3 | 49 | 68B | 53A | Emma Doyle | 25/1 |
| 15 Mar 19+9d | Dundalk (AW) | baroneracing.com Dual Race Night Friday 29th March Handicap (45-65) | 10/14 | ½ | 8-7 | 54 | 71B | 50A | Emma Doyle | 16/1 |
| 06 Mar 19+12d | Dundalk (AW) | BetVictor Apprentice Handicap (45-65) | 4/14 | 2 | 8-11 | 55 | 87B | 72A | Emma Doyle | 16/1 |
| 22 Feb 19+35d | Dundalk (AW) | Carnbeg Hotel & Spa Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 7/12 | nse | 8-10 | 56 | 71A | 61A | Emma Doyle | 9/1 |
| 18 Jan 19+14d | Dundalk (AW) | BK Forklifts Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 10/14 | hd | 9-0 | 57 | 84B | 59A | Emma Doyle | 7/1 |
| 04 Jan 19+104d | Dundalk (AW) | BetVictor Handicap (45-65) | 1/14 | 8-3 | 50 | 86B | 68A | Emma Doyle | 20/1 | |
| 2018 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Sep 18+17d | Gowran Park | Jumps Racing Returns To Gowran Park October 5th Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 9/16 | 1¼ | 8-13 | 46 | 86C | 60A | Ronan Whelan | 25/1 |
| 05 Sep 18+14d | Gowran Park | Kilkenny Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 6/15 | hd | 9-5 | 50 | 85C | 70A | Gary Halpin | 20/1 |
| 22 Aug 18+41d | Killarney | Black Lion Diary Discussion Group 40th Anniversary Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 10/15 | nk | 9-1 | 52 | 65C | 56A | Robbie Downey | 16/1 |
| 12 Jul 18+8d | Dundalk (AW) | Morgan Fuels Handicap (45-65) | 13/13 | 2½ | 9-10 | 61 | 62B | 48A | Gary Halpin | 20/1 |
| 04 Jul 18+10d | Bellewstown | Gabriel Howard Memorial Handicap (45-65) | 10/16 | 1¾ | 9-3 | 54 | 71C | 64A | W J Lee | 7/1 |
| 24 Jun 18+41d | Gowran Park (IRE) | Festival Of Speed July 15th Handicap | 6/15 | 1¾ | 9-6 | 57 | 85C | 71A | Ronan Whelan | 12/1 |
| 14 May 18+26d | Tipperary | Ballykisteen Handicap (45-65) | 9/16 | ½ | 9-8 | 59 | 74C | 71A | W J Lee | 7/1 |
| 18 Apr 18+131d | Dundalk (AW) | Lmfm Family Fun Day Sunday May 6th Handicap (45-70) | 9/14 | nk | 9-11 | 67 | 92B | 80A | W J Lee | 11/1 |
| 2017 · 14 runs | ||||||||||
| 08 Dec 17+14d | Dundalk (AW) | Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Handicap | 8/14 | ½ | 9-13 | 69 | 97B | 75A | Ronan Whelan | 16/1 |
| 24 Nov 17+21d | Dundalk (AW) | Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap (Plus 10) | 7/14 | ¾ | 8-11 | 71 | 95B | 75A | Tom Madden | 33/1 |
| 03 Nov 17+72d | Dundalk (AW) | Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race | 9/13 | nk | 9-6 | 80 | 91B | 72A | Ronan Whelan | 9/1 |
| 23 Aug 17+15d | Killarney | Celtic Steps Handicap | 8/13 | 1½ | 9-0 | 71 | 98C | 66A | W J Lee | 16/1 |
| 08 Aug 17+7d | Cork | Ticket Sales Online Apprentice Handicap (50-80) | 5/10 | hd | 9-6 | 73 | 51A | 79A | Danny Redmond | 7/1 |
| 01 Aug 17+30d | Galway | Caulfieldindustrial.com Handicap (50-80) | 10/16 | shd | 9-7 | 73 | 78C | 76A | W J Lee | 14/1 |
| 02 Jul 17+7d | Curragh | RTE Radio One Handicap (60-90) | 11/12 | shd | 8-13 | 75 | 85A | 63A | W J Lee | 15/2 |
| 25 Jun 17+20d | Gowran Park (IRE) | www.gowranpark.ie Handicap | 4/9 | 1¾ | 8-10 | 77 | 90A | 75A | Declan McDonogh | 10/1 |
| 05 Jun 17+15d | Gowran Park | Kilkenny Senior Hurlers Race Day Saturday June 24th Handicap | 3/10 | ¾ | 8-8 | 77 | 78A | 83A | Chris Hayes | 20/1 |
| 21 May 17+7d | Naas | Kildare Post & Kildare Now Handicap | 9/13 | nk | 9-0 | 79 | 91C | 70A | W J Lee | 18/1 |
| 14 May 17+44d | Curragh | Newbridge Parishes Race Day Handicap | 16/18 | 1 | 9-7 | 82 | 92C | 67A | W J Lee | 14/1 |
| 31 Mar 17+42d | Dundalk (AW) | Race & Stay At Crowne Plaza Dundalk Handicap | 4/8 | 1½ | 9-1 | 83 | 105A | 75A | Colin Keane | 6/1 |
| 17 Feb 17+21d | Dundalk (AW) | GAIN Handicap | 6/9 | 1¾ | 9-0 | 84 | 105A | 74A | W J Lee | 8/1 |
| 27 Jan 17+35d | Dundalk (AW) | TEC Electric Handicap | 5/9 | ½ | 9-1 | 85 | 101A | 82A | W J Lee | 8/1 |
| 2016 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 23 Dec 16+63d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Awards 2016 Handicap | 6/12 | nk | 8-13 | 85 | 116A | 85A | Colin Keane | 20/1 |
| 21 Oct 16+203d | Dundalk (AW) | Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Handicap (70-100) | 12/14 | nk | 9-2 | 87 | 89B | 69A | W J Lee | 14/1 |
| 01 Apr 16+35d | Dundalk (AW) | Paddy Power One Account Multiple Ways To Bet Handicap | 5/10 | ½ | 9-2 | 87 | — | 84A | W J Lee | 4/1 |
| 26 Feb 16+35d | Dundalk (AW) | Titanbet.co.uk Handicap | 3/10 | nk | 9-6 | 86 | — | 90A | W J Lee | 4/1J |
| 22 Jan 16+35d | Dundalk (AW) | www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap | 1/7 | 9-6 | 81 | — | 91A | W J Lee | 11/8F | |
| 2015 · 12 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Dec 15+23d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Rated Race | 1/14 | 9-7 | 76 | — | 95A | W J Lee | 11/1 | |
| 25 Nov 15+46d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Rated Race | 1/7 | 9-4 | 66 | — | 88A | Pat Smullen | 10/1 | |
| 10 Oct 15+23d | Limerick | Best Of Luck To Patrickswell GAA In The County Final Apprentice Handicap | 8/15 | shd | 9-11 | 69 | — | 71A | Donnacha O'Brien | 8/1 |
| 17 Sep 15+22d | Listowel | Michael Daffy Car Sales Handicap | 6/12 | nk | 9-13 | 69 | — | 84A | W J Lee | 5/1 |
| 26 Aug 15+22d | Bellewstown | Eva-Tec Ltd Handicap (47-65) (Div 2) | 1/14 | 10-0 | 65 | — | 95A | Danny Grant | 14/1 | |
| 04 Aug 15+6d | Cork | Ticket Sales Online Apprentice Handicap (50-80) | 6/14 | ½ | 9-2 | 66 | — | 77A | Donnacha O'Brien | 10/1 |
| 29 Jul 15+18d | Galway | It Pays To Bet With Tote Handicap (50-70) | 10/18 | 1¾ | 9-8 | 64 | — | 60A | W J Lee | 12/1 |
| 11 Jul 15+62d | Tipperary | Follow Us On Twitter Handicap | 1/8 | 9-4 | 60 | — | 83A | W J Lee | 8/1 | |
| 10 May 15+6d | Leopardstown | John R Fitzpatrick Agricultural Contractor Handicap | 6/8 | 1¾ | 8-6 | 62 | — | 62A | Wayne Lordan | 6/1 |
| 04 May 15+18d | Curragh | Pg Duffy & Sons Citroen Handicap | 3/16 | 2 | 8-10 | 62 | — | 75A | Declan McDonogh | 9/1 |
| 16 Apr 15+12d | Limerick | 19 Punters Pack Handicap (47-65) | 7/14 | 1 | 9-13 | 64 | — | 78A | W J Lee | 10/1 |
| 04 Apr 15+244d | Cork | Newmarket Handicap | 9/16 | 3½ | 9-9 | 65 | — | 63A | W J Lee | 10/1 |
| 2014 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Aug 14+22d | Galway | Galway Shopping Centre Handicap (50-75) | 8/13 | hd | 9-2 | 69 | — | 60A | W J Lee | 9/1 |
| 12 Jul 14+69d | Tipperary | Follow Us On Twitter Handicap | 9/15 | 2 | 9-5 | 69 | — | 63A | W J Lee | 9/2 |
| 04 May 14+7d | Sligo | www.countysligoraces.com Handicap | 1/12 | 9-0 | 65 | — | 92A | W J Lee | 7/4F | |
| 27 Apr 14+22d | Gowran Park | Ladies Day June 21st At Gowran Park Handicap (47-65) | 2/16 | 1¼ | 9-7 | 60 | — | 90A | W J Lee | 5/1C |
| 05 Apr 14+161d | Gowran Park | Gowran Park Centenary Weekend June 21st & 22nd Handicap | 3/11 | 6½ | 9-3 | 61 | — | 72A | W J Lee | 14/1 |
| 2013 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Oct 13+20d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (c & G) Maiden | 7/10 | 2½ | 9-5 | — | — | 61A | W J Lee | 100/1 |
| 06 Oct 13+6d | Tipperary | Athassel House Stud E.B.F. Maiden | 10/15 | shd | 9-0 | — | — | 55C | Marc Monaghan | 80/1 |
| 30 Sep 13 | Roscommon | Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden | 13/15 | ¾ | 9-0 | — | — | 47C | Marc Monaghan | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Northern Surprise won?
- Northern Surprise (IRE) won 7 of 63 archived starts between 2013 and 2020, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 12 times in total (19% of starts).
- Who trained Northern Surprise?
- Northern Surprise (IRE) was trained by Timothy Doyle on the most recent run on record, at Dundalk (AW) on 11 November 2020.
- Who is Northern Surprise's sire?
- Northern Surprise (IRE) is by Azamour (IRE) out of Surprise Treat (IRE), whose sire is Shalford.
- What going does Northern Surprise prefer?
- Northern Surprise (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 11 starts (18.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Northern Surprise's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 11 November 2020. The highest on record is 87.
- What is Northern Surprise's sire's record?
- Azamour (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.1% of 4,328 runs since May 2009 (351 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 215.
- Who are Northern Surprise's siblings?
- Out of Surprise Treat (IRE), Northern Surprise (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: What's Up Doc (IRE) (11). Highest grade won: Class 4 (What's Up Doc (IRE)). The wins came over 1m–2m. As at Nov 2026.