What is Danny Grant's strike rate?

Danny Grant has won 113 of 1,660 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Danny Grant do best at?

Tramore by strike rate: 16 wins from 75 rides (21.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Danny Grant ride most for?

Patrick J Flynn, with 773 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 79 (10.2%).

What is Danny Grant's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 1,658 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Danny Grant

1,660 rides in the lifetime window · 656 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2016 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

113–1,660

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=1,660

348 (21%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=1,658 · 0.81 incl. margin

−706.17

£1 level stake

n=1,660 at SP · −42.5%

£1.83m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 180 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (119 rides). Rode mostly for Patrick J Flynn — 47% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,660 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug 26.3% when favourite Patrick J Flynn: 10.2% from 773 LTO winners: 19.3% Rode the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (21.3%, n=75), clear of the rider's 6.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.3% (n=119, Fair A/E 1.52), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=610, Fair A/E 0.68). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.62 and −210.00 to a £1 stake over 270 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Patrick J Flynn supplied 47% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.2% vs 6.8%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Firm going (15.8%, n=38). 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ridgewood Pearl Stakes at Curragh (IRE) (May 2006, £75,000). The standout partner of the record was She's Our Mark (GB) — 8 wins from 36 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.8%−4.0

n=610 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −411.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.3%+12.5

n=119 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +3.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.3%−3.5

n=270 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −210.00

When favourite

26.3%

n=80 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −9.92

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.3%−1.5

n=849 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −396.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.2%−0.6

n=97 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −46.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Tramore 21.3% vs 6.8% · n=75

On last-time-out winners 19.3% vs 6.8% · n=119

On Firm going 15.8% vs 6.8% · n=38

With debutants 0.6% vs 6.8% · n=159

With John Joseph Murphy 1.6% vs 6.8% · n=188

With C&D winners 12.4% vs 6.8% · n=113

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 408 23 5.6% −169.17

Good 337 18 5.3% −196.93

Good to Firm 312 29 9.3% −74.62

Standard (AW) 250 15 6% −147.63

Heavy 180 13 7.2% −63.57

Good to Soft 135 9 6.7% −40.00

Firm 38 6 15.8% −14.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 247 13 5.3% −158.63

Curragh 207 5 2.4% −159.75

Gowran Park 128 9 7% −30.50

Leopardstown 122 7 5.7% −72.00

Tipperary 99 4 4% −69.00

Cork 90 6 6.7% −22.50

Galway 78 4 5.1% −26.50

Navan 77 6 7.8% −6.00

Tramore 75 16 21.3% +3.88

Naas 69 3 4.3% −44.50

Killarney 60 4 6.7% −6.00

Limerick 59 3 5.1% −8.00

Wexford 53 4 7.5% −27.25

Listowel 51 6 11.8% −13.34

Fairyhouse 41 2 4.9% −24.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 97 6 6.2% −46.75

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 102 23 22.5% 1.06 −21.42

2nd–3rd fav 232 44 19% 1.43 +40.75

4th–6th fav 379 25 6.6% 0.97 −139.50

7th+ in betting 947 21 2.2% 0.69 −586.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Waydownsouth (IRE) 24 4 9 25 Oct 15

She's Our Mark (GB) 23 5 17 16 Oct 10

Hes Our Music (IRE) 21 1 7 8 Jul 16

Worldly Wise (GB) 21 3 10 15 Sep 10

Measured Approval (IRE) 19 2 5 22 Jun 14

Jeangeorges (IRE) 19 4 8 21 Aug 13

Twistsandturns (IRE) 18 1 3 5 Aug 16

Little Sweetheart (IRE) 17 4 7 18 Jun 16

Mamma Rosa (IRE) 17 1 5 19 Oct 13

Leah Claire (IRE) 15 2 5 6 Jun 14

Brog Deas (IRE) 15 3 8 27 Sep 13

Prince Chaparral (IRE) 15 2 6 3 Aug 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 656 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

500576997600

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPatrick J Flynn

47% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.21

TrainerRWSR£1

Patrick J Flynn 773 79 10.2% −183.52

John Joseph Murphy 188 3 1.6% −161.25

Eoin Doyle 64 4 6.3% −44.00

H Rogers 57 1 1.8% −40.00

David Wachman 35 1 2.9% −24.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

166

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.99m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 26 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Pout (IRE) — Ridgewood Pearl Stakes (Fillies & Mares) Curragh (IRE) · May 2006 · Group 2

£75,000

Danehill Music (IRE) — Netjets Celebration Stakes (listed) Curragh · Jul 2007 · Listed

£65,100

She's Our Mark (GB) — Give Thanks Stakes (group 3) Cork · Aug 2010 · Group 3

£52,000

Notable horses

She's Our Mark (GB) Worldly Wise (GB) Baby Blue Eyes (IRE) Waydownsouth (IRE) Galistic (IRE) Jeangeorges (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acclamation (GB) 8.6% · 6–70

Progeny have won 10% of 19,696 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Tomba (GB) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 7.8% of 847 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.1% from 216.

Val Royal (FR) 2.5% · 1–40

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,015 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 140.

Oratorio (IRE) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 10.6% of 5,063 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 455.

Chevalier (IRE) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,683 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 417.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–33

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,840 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,580 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,580 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 31 August 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Aug 16 Gowran Park Talsara (IRE)T: Thomas Foley Live Music After Racing Sunday September 18th Maiden14f · Good · 6 ran 5th 16/1

27 Aug 16 Navan Pretty Little Liar (IRE)T: David Peter Dunne Navan Members Handicap (45-70)10f · Good · 21 ran 18th 11/1

27 Aug 16 Navan Justice Ears (IRE)T: David Peter Dunne Racing Again September 3rd Maiden8f · Good · 17 ran 12th 50/1

27 Aug 16 Navan Acroleina (IRE)T: H Rogers www.navanracecourse.ie Handicap5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 10/1

18 Aug 16 Killarney Ten Star Lion (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Dunloe Hotel Handicap8.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 5th 4/1

17 Aug 16 Killarney Highly Toxic (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Ladbrokes Race11f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 12/1

17 Aug 16 Killarney Leonardo (GER)T: A J Martin Celtic Steps Handicap8.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 25/1

16 Aug 16 Tipperary Art Scene (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Follow Tipperaryraces On Facebook Handicap (45-65)9f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 14th 10/1

16 Aug 16 Tipperary Regal Power (GB)T: Marcus Callaghan Follow TipperaryRaces On Twitter Handicap (45-65)7.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 14th 25/1

13 Aug 16 Tramore Mademoiselle Penny (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Assembly Techniques Handicap12f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 5/1

13 Aug 16 Tramore Danse Rouge (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn O'Shea's Hotel Handicap (45-65)12f · Good · 13 ran 5th 7/2F

05 Aug 16 Tipperary Twistsandturns (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Dan Dooley Ford Centre Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 10th 25/1

02 Aug 16 Cork Suburban Sky (IRE)T: H Rogers Follow Us On Twitter Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)6f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 12/1

01 Aug 16 Naas Ten Star Lion (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Palmerstown House Estate Remembering Anne Brewster Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 40/1

01 Aug 16 Naas Karulina (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Palmerstown House Estate Remembering Anne Brewster Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Good · 16 ran 15th 50/1

01 Aug 16 Naas Yarraman (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Good · 11 ran 10th 66/1

29 Jul 16 Galway Abraham (IRE)T: J R Barry Guinness Handicap12f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

27 Jul 16 Galway Freedom Square (IRE)T: J R Barry Thetote.com Handicap (50-70)8.5f · Soft · 17 ran 15th 50/1

26 Jul 16 Galway Whiskey Sour (IRE)T: Edward Lynam COLM QUINN BMW Mile Handicap (Premier Handicap)8.5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 10th 20/1

23 Jul 16 Gowran Park Twistsandturns (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Racing Again August 10th Handicap (45-65)7f · Good · 16 ran 14th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Danny Grant's strike rate?: Danny Grant has won 113 of 1,660 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Danny Grant do best at?: Tramore by strike rate: 16 wins from 75 rides (21.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Danny Grant ride most for?: Patrick J Flynn, with 773 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 79 (10.2%).
What is Danny Grant's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 1,658 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.