Horse profile
Nouvel Espoir (IRE)
39 runs · 11 courses · from Sep 2023
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out
6 wins · 5 courses
Last run 20 Oct 2026 · 1st of 17
Last raced off OR 78
KTB Profile
Nouvel Espoir is a gelding who has won six of 39 starts on turf. All six wins came in handicaps, four of them on soft ground, with four wins at under 6f and two over 6f – 7f. He won twice at the Curragh in Oct 2026, including the Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap last time out when he carried a career-high official rating of 78. He usually races held up.
Based on 39 archived runs · run-style from 31 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
OR at career high
- 6–39Wins / Runs
- 15.4%Strike rate
- 18 (46.2%)Placed
- −1.67£1 level staken=39 at SP
- 1.62Fair A/E n=39 · 1.28 incl. margin
- 78Highest OR
- 14dBetween runs (median)longest 235 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating78At career-high mark
78
61–78
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 114
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 15 | 108C | 81 | 6 runs · 108 / 83 |
| Soft | 12 | 99A | 79.5 | 6 runs · 99 / 84.5 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 99C | 95 | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 4 | 114A | 87.5 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 114C | 90 | 2 runs · 90 / 83.5 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 22 | 114A | 85 | 8 runs · 114 / 83 |
| 6f – 7f | 17 | 108C | 80 | 8 runs · 108 / 84.5 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 39 figures from 39 runs · as at 28 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 20 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 20 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.
Run style from 31 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Held up 16 (52%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 9 (29%) · 3 wins
- Prominent 6 (19%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 2,802 runs since Apr 2022 (266 horses).
Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.2% from 340.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 490 | 58 | 11.8% | −0.8 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 625 | 64 | 10.2% | −2.4 | 0 from 15 |
| Good to Soft | 269 | 29 | 10.8% | −1.8 | 1 from 5 |
| Soft | 280 | 33 | 11.8% | −0.8 | 4 from 12 |
| Heavy | 85 | 8 | 9.4% | −3.2 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,044 | 160 | 15.3% | +2.7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 715 | 90 | 12.6% | 0 | 4 from 22 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,651 | 227 | 13.7% | +1.1 | 2 from 17 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 340 | 28 | 8.2% | −4.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 84 | 7 | 8.3% | −4.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2022 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
3 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prospect Thunder (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Lake Teo (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Bel Espoir (IRE) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 15 | 0 | 0% | −15.00 |
| Soft | 12 | 4 | 33% | +10.83 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.50 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navan | 10 | 1 | 10% | −5.67 |
| Curragh | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 5 | 2 | 40% | +9.50 |
| Naas | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Down Royal | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Cork | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.50 |
| Bellewstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 22 | 4 | 18% | +0.83 |
| 6f – 7f | 17 | 2 | 12% | −2.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Wallace | 7 | 2 | 29% | +5.50 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.67 |
| Colin Keane | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.00 |
| Ben Coen | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Julian Pietropaolo | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.50 |
| E E Ryan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wayne Hassett | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jimmy Dalton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gavin Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gary Carroll | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Keithen Kennedy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Conor Stone-Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nathan Crosse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 3 | 19% | +2.50 |
| 2025 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −2.50 |
| 2024 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +1.33 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 16 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Oct 26+5d | Curragh (IRE) | Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap Prominent just behind the front pair - moved up to second over 2f out then hit the front over 1f out - soon urged and stayed on strongly inside the final furlong to win | 1/17 | 10-0 | 78 | 80C | 123A | Colin Keane | 6/1 | |
| 15 Oct 26+11d | Curragh (IRE) | DNG Nationwide Handicap Raced in the pack - 8th 2f out - stayed on late but never a danger - finished 5th | 5/13 | ½ | 8-5 | 78 | 91C | 84A | Julian Pietropaolo | 7/1 |
| 04 Oct 26+4d | Curragh (IRE) | Business Plus Handicap Raced in the pack away from the rails - pushed along and gained ground 2f out - hit front 1f out and stayed on strongly to win | 1/22 | 8-13 | 70 | 89C | 108A | Julian Pietropaolo | 13/2 | |
| 30 Sep 26+9d | Bellewstown (IRE) | Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap Sat just behind the front pair in fourth - still 4th 2f out under pressure - gained a place by 1f out - second inside the final furlong and stayed on strongly but failed to get to the winner | 2/6 | ¾ | 9-9 | 70 | 114A | 90B | Colin Keane | 15/8F |
| 21 Sep 26+12d | Fairyhouse (IRE) | Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap Held up towards the back - urged into contention over 2f out - moved up into 5th inside the final furlong - stayed on to take second close home but couldn't reel in the winner | 2/17 | 1¾ | 9-10 | 66 | 108C | 104A | Colin Keane | 6/1 |
| 09 Sep 26+31d | Cork (IRE) | Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Sat behind front pack near the stands rail - pushed along 2f out - shifted towards the middle and shared the advantage - went ahead a furlong out and stayed on - pegged back in the final strides for second | 2/22 | nk | 8-7 | 64 | 100C | 92A | Shay Wallace | 16/1 |
| 09 Aug 26+22d | Curragh (IRE) | Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Detached in the field - strong move made inside the final 2f - finished well to claim 3rd close home | 3/14 | shd | 9-1 | 67 | 77C | 84A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 14/1 |
| 18 Jul 26+14d | Curragh (IRE) | WTW Willis Handicap settled in the pack - driven around halfway - in 10th and unable to build on that over 1f out - stayed on at one gait to finish 4th beaten a length and a half | 4/18 | ¾ | 9-1 | 67 | 90C | 86A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 22/1 |
| 04 Jul 26+15d | Naas | Lawlor's Of Naas Supporting Naas GAA Senior Football Race Day Apprentice Handicap Held up towards the back - still struggling for progress with 2f left and down in 8th a furlong out - finished strongly under pressure to snatch 4th near the line | 4/12 | hd | 9-4 | 67 | 88A | 86A | E E Ryan | 8/1 |
| 19 Jun 26+5d | Down Royal | Ampion Electrical Test And Solar Handicap Held up towards back of pack - still 6th at halfway - driven wide approaching straight - hit front inside final furlong and stayed on to win | 1/8 | 8-12 | 61 | 99A | 89A | Shay Wallace | 3/1 | |
| 14 Jun 26+7d | Cork | Ryan's Cleaning Handicap Held up towards the back - still 7th at the midway point - urged forward with two furlongs left then improved to 5th inside the final 150 yards - stayed on well to finish 4th | 4/10 | nk | 8-13 | 63 | 70A | 78A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 11/2 |
| 07 Jun 26+22d | Navan | Navan Handicap Held up at back - pushed along with 2f left - up to 8th a furlong out and stayed on same speed to finish sixth | 6/9 | 3¾ | 8-13 | 64 | 78A | 68A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 15/2 |
| 16 May 26+7d | Navan | Round O Handicap Slow to start - held up at back and driven into contention by halfway in 8th - up to 5th with a furlong left - urged into 3rd inside final 150 yards but couldn't reach the leading pair - finished third staying on at one speed | 3/10 | 6 | 8-9 | 66 | 78A | 76A | Gavin Ryan | 13/2 |
| 09 May 26+14d | Naas | Danny Trundle Heating & Plumbing Handicap Settled midfield on the far rail - fourth and driven approaching 2f out - finished strongly under pressure inside the last furlong but denied by a short head | 2/16 | ½ | 9-7 | 63 | 64C | 95A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 9/1 |
| 25 Apr 26+6d | Navan | Kilberry Apprentice Handicap Slow to begin - held up at back throughout - urged into effort by halfway - hampered and shifted left over a furlong out with no headway made - hampered once more approaching final furlong then finished steadily in 14th | 14/16 | shd | 9-2 | 65 | 39C | 61A | E E Ryan | 12/1 |
| 19 Apr 26+168d | Curragh | Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Handicap Sat close to the pace early - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away late to finish 18th | 18/21 | ½ | 9-0 | 66 | 56C | 46C | E E Ryan | 40/1 |
| 2025 · 11 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Nov 25+11d | Curragh | 1xBet Supports Irish Racing Sprint Handicap Held up at back - lost touch early - driven but not getting closer 2f out - moved right and edged closer late inside final furlong | 8/14 | hd | 8-4 | 66 | 100C | 77A | Wayne Hassett | 11/1 |
| 22 Oct 25+6d | Navan | Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 15th & 16th November On Sale Now Handicap Held up at the back - pushed along to make progress inside the final 2f and up to 6th passing the furlong pole - finished strongly to be beaten 1 length in 4th | 4/11 | nk | 9-2 | 65 | 99A | 94A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 9/2 |
| 16 Oct 25+40d | Curragh | Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Apprentice Handicap Settled with the pack early - pushed along a furlong and a half out - dropped away and faded inside the final furlong - finished well held in 13th | 13/16 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 65 | 70C | 59A | Jimmy Dalton | 5/1J |
| 06 Sep 25+7d | Navan | Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap Settled midfield early - moved into contention by halfway - urged into 4th with 2f left - into 2nd inside final furlong but unable to close - held that spot to the line finishing second | 2/18 | 2¼ | 8-10 | 62 | 94C | 83A | Jimmy Dalton | 11/2 |
| 30 Aug 25+21d | Curragh | Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Apprentice Handicap Sat close to the pace early - back in 8th at halfway - driven approaching 2f out and up to 4th with a furlong left - found nothing more and dropped away close home | 8/21 | nk | 9-4 | 66 | 97C | 84A | Shay Wallace | 11/1 |
| 09 Aug 25+5d | Curragh | Kwiff: Proud Sponsors Of The Supercharge Series Handicap Settled midpack early - pushed along in 7th approaching final 2f - unable to close - held on to finish | 7/13 | ½ | 9-2 | 68 | 81C | 77A | Gary Carroll | 10/1 |
| 04 Aug 25+45d | Naas | Taste Of Kildare At Naas Racecourse 16th - 17th August Handicap Settled towards the back of the pack on the far flank - urged forward approaching 3f out - driven with a furlong left - unable to close in the closing stages | 7/14 | 2 | 8-0 | 69 | 99C | 72A | Shay Wallace | 16/1 |
| 20 Jun 25+7d | Down Royal | G Dunlop Electrical Handicap Handy behind front group early - 3rd at halfway - driven on approaching final 2f - dropped to 5th with a furlong left and could not find more late - finished 7th | 7/11 | 1 | 9-6 | 69 | 96A | 72A | Shay Wallace | 7/1 |
| 13 Jun 25+6d | Cork | Ryan's Cleaning Handicap Settled midfield early - moved into 3rd by halfway then pushed to the front inside final 2f - stayed strong to the line for victory | 1/15 | 8-3 | 63 | 72C | 86A | Shay Wallace | 15/2 | |
| 07 Jun 25+3d | Navan | Navan Handicap Sluggish start - settled near the back - still down in 11th with 2f left before improving to 8th approaching the final furlong - stayed on late to finish 4th | 4/13 | nk | 8-13 | 65 | 82C | 77A | Shay Wallace | 15/2 |
| 04 Jun 25+235d | Curragh | Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap Settled towards the back pulling hard early - unable to make ground from 2f out - well held at the finish | 16/23 | shd | 9-9 | 65 | 77C | 70A | Ben Coen | 33/1 |
| 2024 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Oct 24+14d | Naas | Tote.ie Handicap Held up towards the back - made no headway in the closing stages - well held at the finish | 13/14 | nk | 8-2 | 69 | 94C | 53A | Wayne Hassett | 16/1 |
| 28 Sep 24+21d | Curragh | SBK Joe McGrath Premier Handicap Held up towards the back - moved right approaching the final 2f - stayed on late but well held | 9/15 | 1 | 7-11 | 69 | 95C | 62A | Julian Pietropaolo | 25/1 |
| 07 Sep 24+29d | Navan | Rathkenny Handicap Held up early - began to make progress from 2f out and up to 7th with a furlong left - moved into 3rd close home and finished steadily to take third | 3/11 | 1¼ | 8-0 | 69 | 77A | 76A | Keithen Kennedy | 11/2 |
| 09 Aug 24+19d | Tipperary | Junction Gastro Bar & Guesthouse Handicap Settled midfield early - pushed along to move into command a furlong out - stayed on strongly to the line for the win | 1/13 | 9-4 | 65 | 114C | 93A | Ben Coen | 5/1C | |
| 21 Jul 24+15d | Curragh | Newbridge Silverware Sprint Handicap | 3/12 | 2 | 8-13 | 65 | 68A | 76A | Ben Coen | 9/1 |
| 06 Jul 24+49d | Naas | Lily & Wild Amazing Apprentice Handicap (47-65) | 13/18 | ½ | 10-0 | 65 | 76C | 69A | Conor Stone-Walsh | 13/2 |
| 18 May 24+11d | Navan | Bellinter Handicap | 9/14 | hd | 8-7 | 66 | 93C | 68A | Nathan Crosse | 8/1 |
| 07 May 24+16d | Navan | Navan Handicap (47-65) | 1/10 | 9-13 | 61 | 79A | 87A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 10/3 | |
| 21 Apr 24+174d | Curragh | Business Plus Handicap (47-65) | 13/27 | nk | 9-13 | 62 | 63C | 81A | Ben Coen | 10/1 |
| 2023 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Oct 23+12d | Galway | Corrib Food Products Maiden | 5/13 | 3¾ | 9-8 | — | 75C | 66A | Seamie Heffernan | 4/1 |
| 18 Oct 23+25d | Navan | Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Maiden | 2/15 | 2 | 9-8 | — | 66C | 98A | Colin Keane | 5/1 |
| 23 Sep 23 | Curragh | DMG Media Maiden | 3/10 | 3 | 9-8 | — | 61A | 89A | Chris Hayes | 80/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Nouvel Espoir won?
- Nouvel Espoir (IRE) won 6 of 39 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 15.4%. Placed 18 times in total (46.2% of starts).
- Who trains Nouvel Espoir?
- Nouvel Espoir (IRE) is trained by James M Barcoe, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 20 October 2026.
- Who is Nouvel Espoir's sire?
- Nouvel Espoir (IRE) is by Harry Angel (IRE) out of Hope Lake (IRE), whose sire is Shamardal.
- What going does Nouvel Espoir prefer?
- Nouvel Espoir (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 4 wins from 12 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Nouvel Espoir's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 78, from the run on 20 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Nouvel Espoir's sire's record?
- Harry Angel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 2,802 runs since Apr 2022 (266 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.2% from 340.
- Who are Nouvel Espoir's siblings?
- Out of Hope Lake (IRE), Nouvel Espoir (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.