Julian Pietropaolo
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (31 rides).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −93.42 to a £1 stake over 192 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Joseph Patrick O'Brien supplies 15% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.2% vs 7.9%, A/E 0.78). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (18.6%, n=43) and on Heavy going (14.7%, n=34). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 39 rides, 7.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.49 across 83 rides (3.6% strike, −57.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Oct.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 381 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 381 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 September 2024 to 21 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Julian Pietropaolo's strike rate?
- Julian Pietropaolo has won 30 of 381 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Julian Pietropaolo do best at?
- Curragh by strike rate: 5 wins from 45 rides (11.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Julian Pietropaolo ride most for?
- Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 59 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (10.2%).
- What is Julian Pietropaolo's Fair A/E?
- 1.03, from 380 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.