What is Shay Wallace's strike rate?

Shay Wallace has won 9 of 145 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shay Wallace do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 43 rides (11.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Shay Wallace's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 145 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shay Wallace

145 rides in the last 5 seasons · 92 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 14 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2022

9–145

Wins / Runs

6.2%

Strike rate

n=145

28 (19%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=145 · 0.79 incl. margin

−62.77

£1 level stake

n=145 at SP · −43.3%

£153k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 145 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming: 6.3%

The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (11.6%, n=43), clear of the rider's 6.2% baseline. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.39). The rider also reads well on Standard (AW) going (10.6%, n=47). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 37 rides, 6.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.2%−4.0

n=92 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −64.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

33.3%+27.1

n=9 · A/E 1.89 · £1 +1.23

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−6.2

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=6 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −1.77

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.3%+0.1

n=143 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −60.77

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.9%−3.3

n=69 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −37.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 6.2% · n=37

At Dundalk (AW) 11.6% vs 6.2% · n=43

On first rides for the horse 2.2% vs 6.2% · n=92

On Standard (AW) going 10.6% vs 6.2% · n=47

On Soft going 2.4% vs 6.2% · n=41

On Good going 2.6% vs 6.2% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 47 5 10.6% −5.77

Soft 41 1 2.4% −37.00

Good 38 1 2.6% −15.00

Good to Soft 12 2 16.7% +2.00

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 43 5 11.6% −1.77

Naas 13 0 0% −13.00

Curragh 13 0 0% −13.00

Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00

Fairyhouse 7 1 14.3% +16.00

Bellewstown 6 0 0% −6.00

Down Royal 6 1 16.7% −2.00

Cork 5 1 20% +3.50

Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00

Navan 5 0 0% −5.00

Galway 4 0 0% −4.00

Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00

Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00

Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00

Tramore (IRE) 3 1 33.3% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.00 −2.77

2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 1.25 −2.00

4th–6th fav 43 4 9.3% 1.21 +3.00

7th+ in betting 84 1 1.2% 0.47 −61.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

San Andreas (IRE) 11 2 4 23 Apr 26

Nouvel Espoir (IRE) 7 2 3 9 Sep 26

Harry's Hill (GB) 5 0 0 15 Oct 26

Synchronize (IRE) 5 0 0 29 May 26

A Pretty Penny (IRE) 4 1 1 16 Sep 26

Fast Flo (GB) 4 0 1 27 Feb 25

Loingseoir (IRE) 3 0 1 20 Oct 26

Caffu Zafeen (IRE) 3 3 3 2 Oct 26

Personified (IRE) 3 0 1 11 May 26

Takeachancejimmy (IRE) 3 0 1 29 May 25

Whatsin The Stars (IRE) 2 0 0 16 Oct 26

Ankara (FR) 2 0 1 11 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 92 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

000001306155029

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJoseph Patrick O'Brien

29% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.99

TrainerRWSR£1

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 42 3 7.1% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

£153k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 6 wins

San Andreas (IRE) — Horse Racing Returns To Dundalk Friday 10th January 2025 Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2024

£12,980

San Andreas (IRE) — Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2024

£12,390

Kilcrea Rock (IRE) — Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · Sep 2026

£9,000

Notable horses

Caffu Zafeen (IRE) San Andreas (IRE) Nouvel Espoir (IRE) A Pretty Penny (IRE) Kilcrea Rock (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,925 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Harry Angel (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 12.6% of 2,789 runs since 2022 (265 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.3% from 339.

Australia (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,670 runs since 2018 (566 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,201 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,195.

Coulsty (IRE) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,545 runs since 2020 (167 horses).

Frankel (GB) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 18% of 7,529 runs since 2016 (880 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.3% from 269.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 145 · newest first

The latest 50 of 145 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2024 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)T: M C Grassick Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 8th 11/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Gloriously Glam (IRE)T: Ms Claire O'Connell Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Strikepoint (IRE)T: John James Feane Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 11/4F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Raqi (GB)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 22/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Whatsin The Stars (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 100/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Beat The Devil (IRE)T: Patrick Magee Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 5/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Harry's Hill (GB)T: Martin Hassett October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 8th 10/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Ankara (FR)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 8/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Rhythm King (IRE)T: Mark Fahey TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 17/2

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Light Up The Dark (GB)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap16f · Soft · 17 ran 10th 17/2

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Harry's Hill (GB)T: Martin Hassett Naas Farm Machinery Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 25/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Alexa Next (IRE)T: Martin Hassett Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 7th 9/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Ramair (IRE)T: Richard Anthony Foley BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 13th 80/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Mr Perth (IRE)T: M C Grassick Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 4th 9/2J

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Loingseoir (IRE)T: M C Grassick 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 10/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Caffu Zafeen (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Handicap5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 6/4F

30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Spanish John (IRE)T: P A Fahy Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 6th 16/1

29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Hastily (GB)T: Tom McGuinness WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 9th 25/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Ankara (FR)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Coors Fillies Handicap13f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 25/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Shoda (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch17f · Heavy · 30 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shay Wallace's strike rate?: Shay Wallace has won 9 of 145 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shay Wallace do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 43 rides (11.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Shay Wallace's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 145 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.