Horse profile
Prodigal Son (GB)
by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of Cloud Illusions (USA) (Smarty Jones)
14 runs · 9 courses · from Dec 2024
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out
2 wins · Newmarket & Bath
Ran 28 days ago · 1st of 14
Last raced off OR 63
KTB Profile
Typically ridden with patience — held up in 4 of 7 analysed runs — Prodigal Son (GB) is 2 from 14. Won last time out at Newmarket (Class 4) — a departure from the usual pattern, prominent. Both wins have come on turf — 0 from 4 on the all-weather.
Based on 14 archived runs · run-style from 7 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
All wins on turf
OR ↓ 8lb off peak
- 2–14Wins / Runs
- 14.3%Strike rate
- 3 (21.4%)Placed
- +32.00£1 level staken=14 at SP
- 1.72Fair A/E n=14 · 1.47 incl. margin
- 71Highest OR
- 49dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating63↓ 8lb off peak
63
63–71
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 106
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 94A | 75.5 | 3 · 82 / 69 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 92A | 75.5 | 3 · 92 / 79 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 106B | 74 | 2 · 106 / 90 |
| Firm | 2 | 115C | 109 | 2 · 115 / 109 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 106B | 74 | 7 · 106 / 74 |
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 94A | 76 | 2 · 92 / 85.5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs
- Held up 4 (57%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (14%) · 1 win
- Midfield 1 (14%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (14%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,871 runs since Jan 2008 (357 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 928. Weakest on heavy going: 5.9% from 135.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 2 | 40% | +28.5 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Firm | 373 | 47 | 12.6% | +1.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 688 | 65 | 9.4% | −2.1 | 1 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 332 | 34 | 10.2% | −1.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 410 | 37 | 9% | −2.5 | — |
| Heavy | 135 | 8 | 5.9% | −5.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 928 | 138 | 14.9% | +3.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 69 | 3 | 4.3% | −7.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 880 | 96 | 10.9% | −0.6 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 878 | 103 | 11.7% | +0.2 | 2 from 7 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 792 | 103 | 13% | +1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 187 | 22 | 11.8% | +0.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 64 | 4 | 6.3% | −5.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Cloud Illusions (USA) (Smarty Jones)
6 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them English Spirit (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 6f–2m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Island Cloud (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| English Spirit (GB) | 47 | 5 | 1m½f–1m1½f | Class 5 |
| Island Cloud (GB) | 21 | 3 | 6f–7f | Class 4 |
| Polar Cloud (GB) | 12 | 3 | 1m2f–2m | Class 6 |
| Cloud Thunder (GB) | 22 | 2 | 2m | Class 5 |
| Island Sound (GB) | 9 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Ice Cream Castles (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 1 | 25% | +19.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +21.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 11 | 1 | 9% | +12.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +20.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 1 | 50% | +21.00 |
| Salisbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bath | 2 | 1 | 50% | +21.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 2 | 29% | +39.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Mitchell | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Mr Henry Main | 2 | 1 | 50% | +21.00 |
| Mason Paetel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ray Dawson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Luke Morris | 1 | 1 | 100% | +22.00 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Trevor Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 7 | 2 | 29% | +39.00 |
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +39.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 26+29d | Newmarket | Turners Amateur Jockeys' Cambridgeshire (Class 4 Handicap) (Special Rider Conditions) Handy in the pack - moved through to command 3f out - pushed along inside final two furlongs - stayed on strongly to the line | 1/14 | 9-13 | 63 | 82C | 84A | Mr Henry Main | 22/1 | |
| 21 Aug 26+29d | Salisbury | Taste The World Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes Settled in the middle of the field wide of rivals - pressed for effort with 2f left - stayed on steadily to grab second close home | 2/7 | 12 | 10-8 | 65 | 69B | 69A | Mr Henry Main | 7/1 |
| 23 Jul 26+14d | Sandown | Billy Ocean Live At Sandown Park 29 July Handicap Stakes pulled hard early and raced in the pack - made ground 2f out - denied a run soon after and dropped back - pressed for effort but faded in the final furlong | 9/12 | nse | 10-0 | 67 | 74A | 67A | Ray Dawson | 13/2 |
| 09 Jul 26+39d | Epsom Downs | Betfred 'Nifty 50' Handicap Travelled in rear early - driven over 2f out - unable to challenge the front-runners over 1f out - moved into fourth inside the final furlong but posed no threat throughout | 4/8 | 3½ | 9-11 | 68 | 106B | 79A | Daniel Muscutt | 12/1 |
| 31 May 26+19d | Nottingham | 9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Settled with eagerness in a forward spot - urged for effort with two furlongs left - faded soon after and beaten well home | 7/7 | 4 | 8-11 | 68 | 61A | 51A | Mason Paetel | 8/1 |
| 12 May 26+13d | Bath | Clyde And Co Handicap Raced with plenty of enthusiasm early - set the pace before coming under pressure 2f out - overtaken approaching the final furlong - fought back into contention entering the closing straight - couldn't find more and slipped back to third close home | 3/4 | ¾ | 9-5 | 68 | 115C | 69B | Rossa Ryan | 5/2 |
| 29 Apr 26+140d | Bath | fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 20 Get 20 Free Bets Handicap Fought for control early - settled midpack - driven into contention 2f out and closed on the front-runner turning in - stayed on to hit the front inside the last 110yds and score | 1/6 | 9-0 | 63 | 103A | 84B | Luke Morris | 22/1 | |
| 10 Dec 25+11d | Kempton (AW) | Heros, A New Life After Racing Handicap Held slender advantage early - overtaken 3f out then lost front spot inside final furlong - dropped away rapidly to finish well beaten | 8/9 | 3¼ | 8-13 | 65 | 79A | 40A | Jack Mitchell | 12/1 |
| 29 Nov 25+25d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Safer Gambling Week 2024 At Betmgm Handicap Went straight to front - pushed along and lost command close home - dropped away quickly - finished 5th beaten a length and a half | 5/8 | ½ | 9-7 | 66 | 92A | 80A | Jason Watson | 12/1 |
| 04 Nov 25+95d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Settled midpack early - drifted markedly off a true line into the home turn - dropped away and finished well held | 9/9 | 6 | 9-6 | 69 | 72C | 43C | Kevin Stott | 5/1 |
| 01 Aug 25+52d | Newmarket | Hallgarten Novum Wines Handicap Knocked at the break - settled in the pack - pushed along and faded over 2f out to finish tenth | 10/12 | ¾ | 9-4 | 71 | 63B | 52A | Mason Paetel | 13/2 |
| 10 Jun 25+25d | Salisbury | Danny McNab Bookmakers Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled just behind the front rank - moved into second by halfway - pushed along a furlong out - dropped away inside the final furlong - faded out of the frame near the line to finish fourth | 4/9 | 1¼ | 9-4 | — | 73A | 71A | Jack Mitchell | 16/1 |
| 16 May 25+140d | Newbury | Trade Nation Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Settled near the outside of the field - hit the front until asked for effort and overtaken 2f out - dropped away into third soon after - held place behind the front pair before fading in the closing furlong | 5/9 | 4 | 9-4 | — | 94A | 70A | Jack Mitchell | 66/1 |
| 27 Dec 24 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Gamble Responsibly With BetMGM EBF 'Confined' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Held up in the pack early - conditions hampering view of the action - pushed along but unable to gain ground from 2f out - well held at the finish | 7/12 | 1½ | 9-7 | — | 72A | 70A | Trevor Whelan | 80/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Prodigal Son (GB) won?
- Prodigal Son (GB) won 2 of 14 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 3 times in total (21.4% of starts).
- Who trains Prodigal Son (GB)?
- Prodigal Son (GB) is trained by Heather Main, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 19 September 2026.
- Who is Prodigal Son (GB)'s sire?
- Prodigal Son (GB) is by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of Cloud Illusions (USA), whose sire is Smarty Jones.
- What going does Prodigal Son (GB) prefer?
- Prodigal Son (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Prodigal Son (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 63, from the run on 19 September 2026. The highest on record is 71.
- What is Prodigal Son (GB)'s sire's record?
- Saxon Warrior (JPN)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,871 runs since Jan 2008 (357 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 928. Weakest on heavy going: 5.9% from 135.
- Who are Prodigal Son (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Cloud Illusions (USA), Prodigal Son (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: English Spirit (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Island Cloud (GB)). The wins came over 6f–2m. As at Oct 2026.