Spes Ultima (IRE)
Spes Ultima (IRE) is 3 from 29. Hasn't won since May 2008. All 3 wins have come over 2m1f – 2m4f. Last raced off 97, 21lb below the career-high mark.
- 3–29Wins / Runs
- 10.3%Strike rate
- 10 (34.5%)Placed
- −12.50£1 level staken=29 at SP
- 0.98Fair A/E n=29 · 0.73 incl. margin
- 118Highest OR
- 66dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 6.5% of 186 runs since Jan 2008 (26 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Firm | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | +5 | 1 from 7 |
| Good | 38 | 1 | 2.6% | −3.9 | 0 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 37 | 2 | 5.4% | −1.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 52 | 5 | 9.6% | +3.1 | 2 from 8 |
| Heavy | 27 | 1 | 3.7% | −2.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −6.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 38 | 2 | 5.3% | −1.2 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 67 | 7 | 10.4% | +3.9 | 3 from 18 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 72 | 3 | 4.2% | −2.3 | 0 from 5 |
| Over 3m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −6.5 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Coppervega (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m6f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coppervega (IRE) | 11 | 1 | 2m6f | — |
| Monty's Pass (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 2 | 25% | +6.00 |
| Good | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Good to Firm | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.50 |
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punchestown | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.50 |
| Listowel | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Naas | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tipperary | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Clonmel | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +10.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 18 | 3 | 17% | −1.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J R Barry | 6 | 1 | 17% | +5.00 |
| Tom Doyle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Barry Geraghty | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.50 |
| D P Fahy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Paul Carberry | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| R Walsh | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Rob McCarth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Micheal Nolan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Bolger | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| John Cullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr M M O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Davy Russell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| B M Cash | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Denis O'Regan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 16 | 3 | 19% | +0.50 |
| Tongue tie | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2009 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2008 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.50 |
| 2007 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +9.00 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 16 | 1 | 6% | −13.50 |
| Hurdle | 10 | 2 | 20% | +4.00 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 13 Aug 10+54d | Tramore | Waterford & Tramore Directors Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | 16/16 | 30 | 11-2 | 97 | 87C | Rob McCarth | 25/1 |
| 20 Jun 10+249d | Gowran Park | Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle | 10/12 | 5 | 10-4 | 99 | 83C | Tom Doyle | 25/1 |
| 2009 · 6 runs | |||||||||
| 14 Oct 09+13d | Punchestown | Come Racing Again Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle (81-116) | 21/25 | 2½ | 10-9 | 106 | 83C | Micheal Nolan | 25/1 |
| 01 Oct 09+15d | Sligo | Martin Reilly Hyundai Chase | 6/11 | 2½ | 11-12 | 111 | 120A | Tom Doyle | 25/1 |
| 16 Sep 09+73d | Listowel | Seamus Mulvaney Handicap Chase (0-123) | 12/18 | 1¾ | 11-4 | 114 | 103A | Tom Doyle | 25/1 |
| 05 Jul 09+30d | Limerick | Patrickswell Community Council Handicap Chase (0-116) | 12/16 | 2½ | 11-9 | 116 | 97C | Mark Bolger | 16/1 |
| 05 Jun 09+35d | Cork | Dromahane Chase | 7/8 | 8 | 11-6 | 116 | 97C | John Cullen | 9/1 |
| 01 May 09+174d | Punchestown | Betfair Novice Handicap Chase | PU/12 | — | 10-3 | 118 | — | Sean Flanagan | 50/1 |
| 2008 · 7 runs | |||||||||
| 08 Nov 08+34d | Naas | James & Helen Hannan Memorial Handicap Chase | 7/13 | 15 | 10-3 | 118 | 95A | Tom Doyle | 12/1 |
| 05 Oct 08+16d | Tipperary | O'Dwyer Steel Like-A-Butterfly Novice Chase (Grade 3) | F/7 | — | 11-2 | 118 | — | Barry Geraghty | 12/1 |
| 19 Sep 08+48d | Listowel | Dawn Milk Handicap Steeplechase | 5/11 | ½ | 10-11 | 118 | 113A | Paul Carberry | 10/1 |
| 02 Aug 08+27d | Galway | Freshways Handicap Hurdle | 9/18 | 1 | 10-0 | 96 | 103A | Mr M M O'Connor | 14/1 |
| 06 Jul 08+23d | Limerick | Bulmers Summer Sundays Novice Chase | 2/11 | shd | 11-8 | 114 | 129A | Paul Carberry | 9/2 |
| 13 Jun 08+37d | Clonmel | Gain Horsefeeds Novice Chase | 2/9 | 2 | 11-12 | 118 | 119B | Barry Geraghty | 11/4 |
| 07 May 08+211d | Punchestown | Evening Meetings At Punchestown Beginners Chase | 1/16 | 11-12 | 109 | 122A | Barry Geraghty | 6/4F | |
| 2007 · 6 runs | |||||||||
| 09 Oct 07+19d | Tipperary | Well Chosen at Kedrah House Stud Beginners Chase (Div 1) | F/12 | — | 11-12 | — | — | J R Barry | 2/1F |
| 20 Sep 07+18d | Listowel | Kevin McManus Beginners Chase | 2/15 | 4 | 11-12 | — | 119C | J R Barry | 11/2 |
| 02 Sep 07+46d | Killarney | Fexco Asset Finance Beginners Chase (Div 1) | 2/14 | ½ | 11-12 | — | 124C | J R Barry | 4/1 |
| 18 Jul 07+23d | Killarney | Kerryman Long Distance Handicap Hurdle (0-140) | 12/18 | 1¼ | 11-6 | 113 | 98C | Davy Russell | 10/1 |
| 25 Jun 07+23d | Kilbeggan | Carroll Cuisine Premium Ham Beginners Chase | 5/14 | 16 | 11-12 | — | 96C | B M Cash | 8/1 |
| 02 Jun 07+244d | Kilbeggan | Wines Direct Beginners Chase | 6/13 | 7 | 11-12 | — | 94C | Denis O'Regan | 6/1 |
| 2006 · 5 runs | |||||||||
| 01 Oct 06+21d | Tipperary (IRE) | Time For A Run Handicap Hurdle | 1/14 | 11-1 | 105 | 117C | J R Barry | 10/1 | |
| 10 Sep 06+8d | Galway | Ryans Event Cleaners Novice Hurdle | 2/7 | ½ | 11-12 | 105 | 118C | R Walsh | 9/10F |
| 02 Sep 06+53d | Down Royal | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle | 1/18 | 11-4 | — | 116C | R Walsh | 2/1F | |
| 11 Jul 06+16d | Roscommon | Tote Ireland Maiden Hurdle | 2/18 | 2½ | 11-4 | — | 120C | J R Barry | 7/2F |
| 25 Jun 06+246d | Gowran Park | autoplatz.ie Maiden Hurdle | 2/19 | 1½ | 11-12 | — | 106C | J R Barry | 14/1 |
| 2005 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 22 Oct 05+52d | Fairyhouse | Ward Union Hunt Inaugural INH Flat Race | 8/24 | 1½ | 11-7 | — | 86C | D P Fahy | 8/1 |
| 31 Aug 05+30d | Clonmel | Kilcash I.N.H. Flat Race | 5/13 | 3 | 11-7 | — | 90C | D P Fahy | 8/1 |
| 01 Aug 05 | Naas | Go Racing In Kildare INH Flat Race | 9/19 | 4 | 11-7 | — | 81C | D P Fahy | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Spes Ultima won?
- Spes Ultima (IRE) won 3 of 29 archived starts between 2005 and 2010, a strike rate of 10.3%. Placed 10 times in total (34.5% of starts).
- Who trained Spes Ultima?
- Spes Ultima (IRE) was trained by Laurence James Butler on the most recent run on record, at Tramore on 13 August 2010.
- Who is Spes Ultima's sire?
- Spes Ultima (IRE) is by Aahsaylad (GB) out of Friars Pass (GB), whose sire is Monksfield.
- What going does Spes Ultima prefer?
- Spes Ultima (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Spes Ultima's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 13 August 2010. The highest on record is 118.
- What is Spes Ultima's sire's record?
- Aahsaylad (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.5% of 186 runs since Jan 2008 (26 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Spes Ultima's siblings?
- Out of Friars Pass (GB), Spes Ultima (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Coppervega (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m6f. As at Oct 2026.