Skip to content
Trainer profile

Laurence James Butler

160 runners in the lifetime window · 40 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2014 97% of runners over jumps
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–160
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=160
14 (9%)
Placed
0.77
n=160 · 0.58 incl. margin
−106.00
£1 level stake
n=160 at SP · −66.3%
£52,749
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).

Deterministic profile computed from 160 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.3%
The read

The yard also read well on Heavy going (6.8%, n=44) and off a 31-60-day break (6.5%, n=31). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 42 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.1%−1.0
n=48 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −33.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.3%+3.2
n=16 · A/E 1.57 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.1
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.1
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.3%+0.2
n=60 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −41.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 6.8% vs 3.1% · n=44
Off a 31-60-day break 6.5% vs 3.1% · n=31
On Good going 0% vs 3.1% · n=42
Off a 15-30-day break 6.3% vs 3.1% · n=32
In NH Flat races 0% vs 3.1% · n=30
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.9% vs 3.1% · n=82 · A/E 1.25
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 101 3 3% −67.00
NH Flat 30 0 0% −30.00
Chase 24 2 8.3% −4.00
Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 48 2 4.2% −31.00
Heavy 44 3 6.8% −7.00
Good 42 0 0% −42.00
Good to Firm 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 17 1 5.9% −2.00
Punchestown 16 0 0% −16.00
Tramore 13 0 0% −13.00
Downpatrick 13 0 0% −13.00
Navan 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Clonmel 7 1 14.3% +5.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 5 1 20% +4.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
4th–6th fav 27 4 14.8% 2.71 +12.00
7th+ in betting 116 1 0.9% 0.33 −101.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.4% completed · 125 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 24 70.8% 3 1 3 0 0
Hurdle 101 80.2% 3 0 17 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Odonimee (IRE)from E Sheehy 18 4 8 31 Mar 13
Kai Li (FR)from E Sheehy 16 1 3 30 Sep 12
Celtic Passion (IRE)then D T Hughes 12 0 0 13 Dec 13
Trafford Lad (GB)from E Sheehy 10 0 2 31 Mar 12
Ask Joe (IRE)then Paul Henderson 9 0 0 1 Jan 14
Toca Deed (IRE)then G Hayes 8 0 1 21 Feb 13
Watchthesteps (IRE) 7 0 0 24 Nov 13
Watchmetail (IRE)from Ms Margaret Mullins · then John Panvert 7 0 0 20 Feb 13
Velvet Bullet (IRE) 6 0 0 13 Oct 12
Annie Alainn (IRE)then Thomas Mullins 6 0 0 13 Jul 12
Comme Je Trouve (IRE)then Evan Williams 6 0 0 10 Apr 11
Spes Ultima (IRE)from C A Murphy 5 0 0 13 Aug 10
All 40 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 40 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from E Sheehy (7) and S J Treacy (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
010100000090100
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Flanagan 21 2 9.5% −1.00
Tom Doyle 19 0 0% −19.00
A E Lynch 13 0 0% −13.00
B J Cooper 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Mark Enright 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Tommy Treacy 10 1 10% +5.00
Paul Townend 7 0 0% −7.00
Richard Deegan 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr B O'Neill 4 0 0% −4.00
Andrew Ring 4 0 0% −4.00
Kevin Sexton 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr J M Barcoe 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
5
Archived wins
£52,749
Prize money
2012
Best season · 3 wins
Odonimee (IRE) — Pinnacle Novice Handicap Chase (0-123) Wexford · Mar 2012
£10,005
Odonimee (IRE) — Navan Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (80-116) Navan · Feb 2011
£6,900
Odonimee (IRE) — Clonmel Festival Week Beginners Chase Clonmel · Feb 2012
£5,520
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Idris (IRE) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 8% of 187 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Amilynx (FR) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 7.2% of 292 runs since 2008 (38 horses).
Lost World (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 9.8% of 880 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 140.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Tragic Role (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10% of 330 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 160 · newest first

The latest 50 of 160 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 September 2009 to 4 June 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Jun 14 Punchestown Knotanote (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Punchestown.com Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 25 ran 25th 66/1
24 Nov 13 Navan Ask Joe (IRE)J: A E Lynch Dunderry Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Laurence James Butler's strike rate?
Laurence James Butler has won 5 of 160 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Laurence James Butler's Fair A/E?
0.77, from 160 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).