State Dilemma (IRE)
State Dilemma (IRE) is 1 from 23, the win coming at Class 6 level. Hasn't won since Nov 2006. The win came on the all-weather — 0 from 7 on turf. Last raced off 57, 31lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–23Wins / Runs
- 4.3%Strike rate
- 2 (8.7%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=23 at SP
- 0.99Fair A/E n=23 · 0.82 incl. margin
- 88Highest OR
- 34dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 3,324 runs since Jan 2008 (251 horses).
Weakest on good to soft going: 7.8% from 269. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.4% from 147.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | +4.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 812 | 89 | 11% | 0 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 667 | 69 | 10.3% | −0.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 269 | 21 | 7.8% | −3.2 | — |
| Soft | 256 | 23 | 9% | −2 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 51 | 4 | 7.8% | −3.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,223 | 152 | 12.4% | +1.4 | 1 from 16 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 346 | 44 | 12.7% | +1.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,394 | 160 | 11.5% | +0.5 | 1 from 14 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 816 | 83 | 10.2% | −0.8 | 0 from 7 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 551 | 67 | 12.2% | +1.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 147 | 8 | 5.4% | −5.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 44 | 2 | 4.5% | −6.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | −6.8 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −11 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Brave Dane (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 1m–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Dahman (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brave Dane (IRE) | 22 | 2 | 1m2f | Class 7 |
| Awe Inspiring (IRE) | 10 | 1 | 1m2f | — |
| Dahman (GB) | 17 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Montjen (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 16 | 1 | 6% | +1.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 11 | 1 | 9% | +6.00 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield (AW) | 9 | 1 | 11% | +8.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 1 | 7% | +3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane O'Neill | 5 | 1 | 20% | +12.00 |
| Paddy Mathers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Ted Durcan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Franny Norton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ben Swarbrick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Steve Drowne | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dean McKeown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Hanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mrs M Morris | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Darren Williams | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Simon Whitworth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Visor | 20 | 1 | 5% | −3.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| E/SB | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2006 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +9.00 |
| 2005 | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 · 4 runs | |||||||||
| 24 Feb 07+10d | Lingfield (AW) | Canvas Prints From bonusprint.com Handicap (Div 2) | 10/12 | nk | 8-13 | 57 | 54C | Dean McKeown | 12/1 |
| 14 Feb 07+14d | Lingfield (AW) | Go Pontin's Handicap | 6/12 | ½ | 8-9 | 58 | 67C | Dane O'Neill | 14/1 |
| 31 Jan 07+7d | Lingfield (AW) | pontinsbingo.com Handicap | 7/11 | ½ | 9-2 | 59 | 62C | Dane O'Neill | 12/1 |
| 24 Jan 07+25d | Lingfield (AW) | Pontin's 'Book Early' Handicap | 5/14 | ½ | 9-1 | 59 | 56C | Dane O'Neill | 11/2 |
| 2006 · 8 runs | |||||||||
| 30 Dec 06+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Pontins.com Handicap | 6/12 | 3 | 9-2 | 60 | 57C | Paul Hanagan | 13/2 |
| 15 Dec 06+21d | Kempton (AW) | Come Racing By Train From Waterloo Handicap | 3/11 | shd | 9-1 | 59 | 75C | Franny Norton | 11/1 |
| 24 Nov 06+6d | Kempton (AW) | Marshels Of Farnham Handicap | 11/13 | ¾ | 9-6 | 55 | 57C | Dane O'Neill | 13/2 |
| 18 Nov 06+271d | Lingfield (AW) | iBetX.com Money Man Handicap (Div II) | 1/12 | 8-11 | 55 | 49C | Dane O'Neill | 16/1 | |
| 20 Feb 06+12d | Lingfield (AW) | Win 2m At Classicvaluepools.com Handicap (Div 1) | 4/10 | 1½ | 8-11 | 56 | 47C | Paddy Mathers | 16/1 |
| 08 Feb 06+6d | Lingfield (AW) | Littlewoods Handicap | 5/11 | ½ | 8-4 | 59 | 58C | Paddy Mathers | 33/1 |
| 02 Feb 06+12d | Southwell (AW) | Bet Now At Betdirect.co.uk Handicap | 13/13 | 7 | 9-0 | 59 | 9C | Paddy Mathers | 25/1 |
| 21 Jan 06+53d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Hotel & Conferencing At Dunstall Park Amateurs' Handicap | 5/11 | 1 | 10-12 | 60 | 64C | Mrs M Morris | 20/1 |
| 2005 · 11 runs | |||||||||
| 29 Nov 05+63d | Lingfield (AW) | Betdirect Handicap (Div 1) | 5/12 | shd | 8-12 | 60 | 36C | Ben Swarbrick | 25/1 |
| 27 Sep 05+29d | Nottingham | American Classic Handicap | 15/15 | 6 | 8-13 | 65 | 6C | Steve Drowne | 66/1 |
| 29 Aug 05+17d | Warwick | Drive Vauxhall Leamington Spa Commercial Vehicles Handicap | 14/14 | ¾ | 9-5 | 69 | 54C | Steve Drowne | 50/1 |
| 12 Aug 05+4d | Newcastle | Connor Sadler UTS Handicap | 8/8 | 12 | 8-12 | 74 | 21C | Paul Mulrennan | 25/1 |
| 08 Aug 05+10d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betfredcasino.com Handicap | 12/12 | 2½ | 9-8 | 74 | 57C | Franny Norton | 40/1 |
| 29 Jul 05+7d | Nottingham | John Rose Gap Year Handicap | 8/8 | ½ | 8-6 | 79 | 49C | Ben Swarbrick | 50/1 |
| 22 Jul 05+94d | Newmarket | Turftours.com 'Come To The Prix De L'arc' Handicap | 12/12 | 3 | 9-3 | 79 | 40C | Ted Durcan | 50/1 |
| 19 Apr 05+18d | Southwell | Betfred Handicap | 13/13 | 10 | 9-11 | 85 | 36C | Ted Durcan | 50/1 |
| 01 Apr 05+42d | Doncaster | Stanleybet Spring Mile Handicap | 17/22 | 1¾ | 9-8 | 88 | 47C | Ted Durcan | 100/1 |
| 18 Feb 05+17d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Footballpools.com Handicap | 13/13 | 3 | 9-4 | 85 | 35C | Darren Williams | 40/1 |
| 01 Feb 05 | Lingfield (AW) | Littlewoods Pools Handicap | 7/8 | 4 | 8-9 | 88 | 37C | Simon Whitworth | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has State Dilemma won?
- State Dilemma (IRE) won 1 of 23 archived starts between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 4.3%. Placed 2 times in total (8.7% of starts).
- Who trained State Dilemma?
- State Dilemma (IRE) was trained by Derek Shaw on the most recent run on record, at Lingfield (AW) on 24 February 2007.
- Who is State Dilemma's sire?
- State Dilemma (IRE) is by Green Desert (USA) out of Nuriva (USA), whose sire is Woodman.
- What going does State Dilemma prefer?
- State Dilemma (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 16 starts (6.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is State Dilemma's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 57, from the run on 24 February 2007. The highest on record is 88.
- What is State Dilemma's sire's record?
- Green Desert (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 3,324 runs since Jan 2008 (251 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to soft going: 7.8% from 269. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.4% from 147.
- Who are State Dilemma's siblings?
- Out of Nuriva (USA), State Dilemma (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Brave Dane (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Dahman (GB)). The wins came over 1m–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.