Horse profile
Watch The Weather (GB)
by Kayf Tara (GB) out of Tinker's Burrow (GB) (Presenting)
45 runs · 23 courses · from Nov 2021
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
5 wins · 4 courses
Beaten favourite LTO
Last run 25 Oct 2026 · 3rd of 10
Last raced off OR 123
KTB Profile
Watch The Weather is a gelding with five wins from 45 starts on turf, four of them over 2m1f – 2m4f. He has won at four different courses, including twice at Wexford, and recorded his biggest success in the Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase at Punchestown in Nov 2024 off an official rating of 127 on soft ground. Ridden with patience on most starts, he finished third of 10 as beaten favourite at Wexford in Oct 2026, last raced off an official rating of 123.
Based on 45 archived runs · run-style from 22 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
OR ↓ 13lb off peak
- 5–45Wins / Runs
- 11.1%Strike rate
- 19 (42.2%)Placed
- −7.50£1 level staken=45 at SP
- 1.19Fair A/E n=45 · 0.96 incl. margin
- 136Highest OR
- 22dBetween runs (median)longest 203 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating123↓ 13lb off peak
123
94–136
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 110
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 16 | 161C | 103 | 4 runs · 107 / 71.5 |
| Soft | 14 | 141A | 94.5 | 2 runs · 104 / 87.5 |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 115B | 108 | 3 runs · 110 / 110 |
| Heavy | 3 | 131B | 101 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 23 | 141A | 99 | 7 runs · 110 / 104 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 13 | 161C | 104 | 2 runs · 107 / 95 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 119A | 98 | — |
Flat
Of 45 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 41 figures from 45 runs · as at 2 Nov 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 22 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Held up 15 (68%) · 2 wins
- Mid-division 5 (23%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (9%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Kayf Tara (GB)
Progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 13,760 runs since Jan 2008 (1,148 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 529 | 60 | 11.3% | −1.3 | — |
| Good | 4,503 | 525 | 11.7% | −0.9 | 1 from 17 |
| Good to Soft | 3,054 | 359 | 11.8% | −0.8 | 2 from 9 |
| Soft | 3,760 | 493 | 13.1% | +0.5 | 2 from 16 |
| Heavy | 1,708 | 277 | 16.2% | +3.6 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 193 | 24 | 12.4% | −0.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 24 | 0 | 0% | −12.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 163 | 18 | 11% | −1.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3,980 | 522 | 13.1% | +0.5 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4,767 | 593 | 12.4% | −0.2 | 4 from 25 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3,820 | 479 | 12.5% | −0.1 | 1 from 15 |
| Over 3m | 1,004 | 126 | 12.5% | −0.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Tinker's Burrow (GB) (Presenting)
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 17 | 1 | 6% | −15.00 |
| Soft | 16 | 2 | 13% | +0.00 |
| Good to Soft | 9 | 2 | 22% | +10.50 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wexford | 6 | 2 | 33% | +1.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Punchestown | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Listowel | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cork | 3 | 1 | 33% | +8.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tipperary | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.50 |
| Wexford (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Downpatrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 25 | 4 | 16% | +1.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 15 | 1 | 7% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachael Blackmore | 9 | 3 | 33% | +12.50 |
| Danny Gilligan | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.00 |
| Paddy Cody | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Paddy Hanlon | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Keith Donoghue | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jack Foley | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jack Kennedy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Donagh Meyler | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Miss E Cody | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Josh Williamson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Ewing | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Deegan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Eoin Staples | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tiernan Power Roche | 1 | 1 | 100% | +10.00 |
| Conor Stone-Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carl Millar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gillian Cody | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Liam McKenna | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mike O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 37 | 5 | 14% | +0.50 |
| None | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2024 | 12 | 2 | 17% | +4.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.50 |
| 2022 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +4.00 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 24 | 3 | 13% | −2.50 |
| Chase | 18 | 2 | 11% | −2.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 25 Oct 26+29d | Wexford (IRE) | Jim And Kay Whitty Memorial Handicap Steeplechase Held up in last group - jumping errors at the 2nd - 7th at halfway - moved left and gained ground before 2 out - nudged on before the last - took 3rd on the run-in - stayed on without finding more near the line | 3/10 | ½ | 11-8 | 123 | 71A | 138A | Jack Kennedy | 7/2F |
| 26 Sep 26+22d | Listowel (IRE) | M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle Settled at the back - eighth at halfway - improved position after 3 out - driven out from 2 out and battled on gamely but denied by half a length | 2/14 | ½ | 10-7 | 121 | 110B | 126A | Danny Gilligan | 11/1 |
| 04 Sep 26+19d | Kilbeggan (IRE) | Kilsaran Handicap Steeplechase Held up towards the back - still down in 8th three out and pushed along - moved up into 4th but hampered at the last - 3rd inside the final furlong - stayed on for the minor placing | 3/13 | ½ | 10-11 | 122 | 110B | 134A | Paddy Cody | 8/1 |
| 16 Aug 26+14d | Tramore (IRE) | McCarthy's Irish Bar Lexington Handicap Steeplechase Settled towards the back of the pack - error at the 7th - up to 6th by halfway - stumbled 3 out - driven into 2nd before 2 out but faded on the run to the line | 3/10 | 1½ | 11-7 | 122 | 107A | 125A | Paddy Cody | 9/2C |
| 02 Aug 26+30d | Galway (IRE) | Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Steeplechase settled midfield - stumbled soon after but continued - shaken up in 5th turning for home after edging closer despite a check 2 out - third a furlong out but unable to threaten in front - held that spot to the finish | 3/11 | 1¾ | 9-9 | 121 | 52B | 123A | Josh Williamson | 11/1 |
| 03 Jul 26+39d | Wexford | Molloy Metals Recycling Handicap Chase Held up towards the back - driven up into 5th approaching the last two furlongs - stayed on same speed to finish | 5/10 | 6½ | 10-9 | 123 | 60A | 122A | Danny Gilligan | 11/2 |
| 25 May 26+14d | Ballinrobe | McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase (Listed) Sat behind the pace early - settled midfield - made progress into contention approaching 5 out - pushed along around 8th three out - soon dropped away and finished well beaten | 11/16 | 18 | 10-5 | 125 | 83C | 106C | Sam Ewing | 10/1 |
| 11 May 26+31d | Killarney | Killarney Oaks Hotel Handicap Hurdle Held up towards the back - still down in 11th after the 7th - made strong progress from four out - up to 3rd turning into the straight - into 2nd two out - unable to challenge the winner and held on for the runner-up spot | 2/12 | 3½ | 11-9 | 122 | 105A | 137A | Jack Kennedy | 10/1 |
| 10 Apr 26+173d | Wexford | BOYLE Sports Supporting Irish Racing Veterans Handicap Chase Settled midfield early - 6th at halfway - pushed into 3rd turning for home - unable to threaten leaders and held on for minor gains late | 6/15 | 2¾ | 10-11 | 127 | 104B | 126A | Richard Deegan | 12/1 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 19 Oct 25+15d | Limerick | BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Held up at the back - still 9th at halfway - urged forward after 3 out - lost touch entering the straight - finished well adrift in 8th | 8/15 | 6 | 10-5 | 130 | 100C | 103C | Eoin Staples | 16/1 |
| 04 Oct 25+7d | Gowran Park | Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle Held up at the back - into 6th by halfway - up to 4th but hit a fence 3 out - driven into 2nd before 2 out - unable to close the gap approaching last - held on for a modest 3rd with nothing more to give | 3/8 | 5½ | 11-5 | 123 | 104A | 130A | Danny Gilligan | 6/1 |
| 27 Sep 25+35d | Listowel | Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase Held up towards the back - 7th halfway - down to 8th before three out - blundered two out - held on for same effort late finishing 8th | 8/10 | 1¾ | 11-5 | 132 | — | 114A | Paddy Cody | 12/1 |
| 23 Aug 25+21d | Killarney | O'Donoghue Ring Collection Handicap Chase (Listed) Held up towards the back - jumped awkwardly 4 out - driven into 7th before the following fence - unable to make headway in 6th approaching the last - clipped the final fence in 5th and stayed on same gait to the line | 5/13 | 8 | 11-7 | 134 | 115B | 122A | Sean Flanagan | 12/1 |
| 02 Aug 25+68d | Galway | BoyleSports Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Held up towards the back - pushed along into 9th two out but unable to make headway - stayed on same speed to finish 8th | 8/19 | ½ | 10-13 | 123 | 161C | 128A | Danny Gilligan | 8/1 |
| 26 May 25+184d | Ballinrobe | McHale Mayo Handicap Hurdle Settled in the pack - pushed along after the second last - stayed on late to finish 5th | 5/16 | ¾ | 10-10 | 123 | 102B | 126A | Danny Gilligan | 33/1 |
| 2024 · 12 runs | ||||||||||
| 23 Nov 24+20d | Punchestown | Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase Held up early - made progress three out - fifth and driven two out - closed into second by the last - hit front inside final furlong to hold on | 1/11 | 10-13 | 127 | 71A | 129A | Tiernan Power Roche | 10/1 | |
| 03 Nov 24+7d | Cork | Paddy Power Betting Shops Irish EBF Novice Chase (Grade 3) Settled towards the back early - improved into 6th turning for home - pushed along 3 out - stayed on at one gait to finish 5th | 5/9 | 9½ | 11-0 | 127 | 104A | 117A | Danny Gilligan | 18/1 |
| 27 Oct 24+29d | Wexford | Jim And Kay Whitty Memorial Handicap Chase Settled towards the back early - moved into 4th before 4 out - edged up to lead approaching 2 out - pulled away for a comfortable win | 1/8 | 11-0 | 119 | 141A | 125B | Danny Gilligan | 4/1 | |
| 28 Sep 24+22d | Listowel | Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase Held up towards the back of the pack - still 9th at halfway - driven approaching 3 out but made no headway and finished well held | 8/12 | 3¼ | 10-1 | 120 | 91B | 95A | Conor Stone-Walsh | 10/1 |
| 06 Sep 24+11d | Kilbeggan | Kilsaran Handicap Chase Settled midfield early - blundered at the opening fence and rider had to gather stirrup - improved into 3rd and pushed along 3 out - fourth turning for the last but unable to close on the leaders | 4/8 | 7 | 10-13 | 120 | 95A | 116B | Paddy Hanlon | 7/2J |
| 26 Aug 24+19d | Downpatrick | C Russell Auto Sales Beginners Chase Sat close to the pace early - third at halfway - into second and asked for effort approaching 2 out - responded and stayed on strongly up the run-in - hit front near the finish but caught right on the line | 2/6 | nk | 11-8 | — | 99A | 124B | Paddy Hanlon | 6/4F |
| 07 Aug 24+25d | Wexford | Traynors Of Wexford Beginners Chase Settled midpack early - up to 5th at halfway - into 3rd after 4 out - driven approaching 2 out and again before the last - held on for one-paced finish to complete the frame | 3/8 | 2½ | 11-12 | — | 79A | 123A | Keith Donoghue | EvensF |
| 13 Jul 24+7d | Wexford | Visit Wexford.ie Beginners Chase | 3/14 | 1¾ | 11-12 | — | 116B | 126A | Keith Donoghue | 20/1 |
| 06 Jul 24+19d | Bellewstown | Bia Energy Bellewstown Handicap Hurdle | 13/14 | 18 | 11-5 | 126 | 88C | 110C | Rachael Blackmore | 40/1 |
| 17 Jun 24+21d | Kilbeggan | Paul & Carmel Fay Memorial Handicap Hurdle | 7/14 | 2¾ | 10-11 | 128 | 108B | 116A | Paddy Hanlon | 11/1 |
| 27 May 24+23d | Ballinrobe | McHale Mayo Handicap Hurdle | 7/15 | 4½ | 11-1 | 129 | 109B | 114A | Carl Millar | 16/1 |
| 04 May 24+203d | Punchestown | SBK Gold Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Listed) | 21/23 | 21 | 10-12 | 130 | 46C | 106C | Donagh Meyler | 80/1 |
| 2023 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Oct 23+49d | Chepstow | Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 6/14 | 1¼ | 12-0 | 136 | 131B | 132A | Keith Donoghue | 33/1 |
| 26 Aug 23+21d | Curragh | Pat Smullen Cancer Trials Ireland Charity Race | 12/13 | 9½ | 12-9 | — | 36C | 70C | Gillian Cody | 11/1 |
| 05 Aug 23+30d | Galway | Boylesports Handicap Hurdle (Listed) | 4/16 | 1½ | 11-1 | 131 | — | 125A | Rachael Blackmore | 20/1 |
| 06 Jul 23+72d | Tipperary | Pierce Motors Handicap Hurdle | 1/15 | 11-8 | 117 | 81B | 138A | Rachael Blackmore | 15/2 | |
| 25 Apr 23+16d | Punchestown | Killashee Hotel Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) | 18/18 | 6 | 10-0 | 118 | 81C | 91C | Rachael Blackmore | 40/1 |
| 09 Apr 23+126d | Cork | Bar One Racing Price Boosts Everyday Easter Handicap Hurdle (0-145) (grade B) | 9/14 | 16 | 10-3 | 119 | 110B | 99A | Donagh Meyler | 16/1 |
| 2022 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Dec 22+29d | Fairyhouse | Baroneracing.com Handicap Hurdle (Grade A) | 11/17 | nse | 10-5 | 119 | 75C | 98C | Rachael Blackmore | 10/1 |
| 05 Nov 22+42d | Down Royal | Charles Hurst DS Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Grade B) | 2/11 | shd | 10-0 | 116 | 120B | 135A | Rachael Blackmore | 8/1 |
| 24 Sep 22+15d | Listowel | M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle | PU/15 | — | 10-5 | 116 | — | — | Rachael Blackmore | 11/4F |
| 09 Sep 22+35d | Ballinrobe | Burleigh Accountancy Handicap Hurdle (80-116) | 2/10 | 1¼ | 11-6 | 112 | 119A | 126A | Liam McKenna | 7/2 |
| 05 Aug 22+4d | Wexford | Traynors Of Wexford For Dulux Heritage Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | 1/13 | 11-13 | 94 | 91B | 122A | Rachael Blackmore | EvensF | |
| 01 Aug 22+32d | Cork | Kanturk Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 1/19 | 10-13 | 94 | 107B | 122A | Rachael Blackmore | 10/1 | |
| 30 Jun 22+150d | Tipperary | Tipperary Town Maiden Hurdle | 6/17 | ½ | 11-1 | — | 86B | 100A | Jack Foley | 40/1 |
| 31 Jan 22+16d | Punchestown | Festival Hospitality (C & G) Maiden Hurdle | PU/13 | — | 11-9 | — | — | — | Jack Foley | 150/1 |
| 15 Jan 22+18d | Fairyhouse | Fairyhouse Supporting Treo Eile Maiden Hurdle | 8/16 | 9 | 11-1 | — | 94C | 98C | Jack Foley | 50/1 |
| 2021 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 21+31d | Limerick | CUBE Maiden Hurdle | 10/16 | ¾ | 11-1 | — | 101C | 96C | Mike O'Connor | 50/1 |
| 27 Nov 21+20d | Fairyhouse | Willie Elliott Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 8/12 | 4¾ | 11-9 | — | 115A | 102A | Miss E Cody | 11/1 |
| 07 Nov 21 | Navan | Kevin Bell Repatriation Trust (pro/am) Flat Race | 3/9 | 7½ | 11-9 | — | 119A | 107A | Miss E Cody | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Watch The Weather won?
- Watch The Weather (GB) won 5 of 45 archived starts between 2021 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 19 times in total (42.2% of starts).
- Who trains Watch The Weather?
- Watch The Weather (GB) is trained by R P Cody, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 October 2026.
- Who is Watch The Weather's sire?
- Watch The Weather (GB) is by Kayf Tara (GB) out of Tinker's Burrow (GB), whose sire is Presenting.
- What going does Watch The Weather prefer?
- Watch The Weather (GB) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 9 starts (22.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Watch The Weather's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 123, from the run on 25 October 2026. The highest on record is 136.
- What is Watch The Weather's sire's record?
- Kayf Tara (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.6% of 13,760 runs since Jan 2008 (1,148 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.