What is A J Donoghue's strike rate?

A J Donoghue has won 11 of 300 rides between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.

Which course does A J Donoghue do best at?

Thurles by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) between 2005 and 2007. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does A J Donoghue ride most for?

C A Murphy, with 59 rides between 2005 and 2007 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.8%).

What is A J Donoghue's Fair A/E?

0.76, from 300 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

A J Donoghue

300 rides in our archive record, 2005–2007 · 175 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2007 99% of rides over jumps

Archive record 2005–2007

No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 3 Jan 2005 to 27 Jan 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

11–300

Wins / Runs

3.7%

Strike rate

n=300

42 (14%)

Placed

0.76

Fair A/E

n=300 · 0.51 incl. margin

−191.84

£1 level stake

n=300 at SP · −63.9%

£159k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode 300 times in our archive record (2005–2007), almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 300 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance C A Murphy: 6.8% from 59 Claiming: 4%

The read

The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −185.75 to a £1 stake over 259 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. C A Murphy supplied 20% of the rides and edges the rider's average (6.8% vs 3.7%, A/E 0.89). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.73 across 105 rides (2.9% strike, −69.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the City Tribune Handicap Hurdle at Galway (Oct 2005, £32,550).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline

When favourite

18.2%

n=11 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −5.84

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4%+0.3

n=275 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −166.84

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.3%−1.4

n=259 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −185.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%+6.3

n=10 · A/E 1.75 · £1 +3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C A Murphy 6.8% vs 3.7% · n=59

At Thurles 6.3% vs 3.7% · n=32

On Good going 6.1% vs 3.7% · n=33

On Soft going 4.7% vs 3.7% · n=129 · A/E 0.84

On Heavy going 2.9% vs 3.7% · n=105 · A/E 0.73

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 253 10 4% −159.84

Chase 44 1 2.3% −29.00

Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 129 6 4.7% −65.09

Heavy 105 3 2.9% −69.00

Good 33 2 6.1% −24.75

Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00

Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Thurles 32 2 6.3% +0.00

Limerick 30 1 3.3% −26.00

Punchestown 25 0 0% −25.00

Navan 25 1 4% −12.00

Clonmel 23 1 4.3% −10.00

Fairyhouse 23 0 0% −23.00

Gowran Park 23 1 4.3% −11.00

Cork 19 0 0% −19.00

Wexford 19 0 0% −19.00

Naas 18 0 0% −18.00

Leopardstown 13 0 0% −13.00

Tramore 11 1 9.1% +0.00

Down Royal 7 1 14.3% −3.75

Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00

Killarney 5 1 20% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 10 1 10% +3.00

Class 4 2 1 50% −0.09

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 12 2 16.7% 0.74 −6.84

2nd–3rd fav 23 2 8.7% 0.79 −14.00

4th–6th fav 47 2 4.3% 0.66 −23.00

7th+ in betting 218 5 2.3% 0.79 −148.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.2% completed · 297 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 44 50% 5 3 13 1 0

Hurdle 253 87.7% 4 3 21 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mark The Begining (IRE) 7 0 2 15 Apr 06

Allez Petit Luis (FR) 7 0 4 15 Jan 06

You Only Live Once (IRE) 6 1 1 19 Apr 06

Da Das Delight (IRE) 6 0 0 10 Mar 05

Tawrific Laois (IRE) 5 0 0 21 Jan 07

Sartorious (IRE) 5 0 0 30 Apr 06

Bold As Brass (IRE) 5 0 2 23 Apr 06

Go Mall (IRE) 5 0 3 21 Apr 06

Spanish Quarter (IRE) 5 0 0 7 Apr 06

Twiststickorbuy (IRE) 5 1 4 23 Mar 06

Somethingforsunday (IRE) 5 2 4 28 Jul 05

Heroes Square (IRE) 4 0 0 27 Jan 07

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 175 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 2005–2007

JFMAMJJASOND

7303068001802

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardC A Murphy

20% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.89

TrainerRWSR£1

C A Murphy 59 4 6.8% −22.75

P J Rothwell 44 2 4.5% −30.09

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£159k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 8 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.

On Your Way (GB) — City Tribune Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Galway · Oct 2005 · Listed

£32,550

Loughanelteen (IRE) — Melville Developers Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Gowran Park · Jan 2005

£13,020

Somethingforsunday (IRE) — Colm Foley Memorial Novice Hurdle Killarney · Jul 2005

£8,983

Notable horses

Somethingforsunday (IRE) You Only Live Once (IRE) Twiststickorbuy (IRE) Grangehill Dancer (IRE) On Your Way (GB) Time On Your Side (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 10.7% of 19,129 runs since 2005 (1,655 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.8% from 107.

Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 11.7% of 18,704 runs since 2005 (1,707 horses).

Un Desperado (FR) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,490 runs since 2005 (174 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 203. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.2% from 213. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 12.2% from 205.

Lord Americo (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 7.5% of 4,424 runs since 2005 (444 horses).

Warcraft (USA) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 4% of 375 runs since 2005 (52 horses).

Goldmark (USA) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,020 runs since 2005 (109 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.7% from 142. Weakest on Soft going: 3.3% from 242. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.4% from 194.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 300 · newest first

The latest 50 of 300 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 27 January 2007.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Jan 07 Navan Heroes Square (IRE)T: Ms Caroline Hutchinson Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (74-102)23f · Heavy · 30 ran 9th 25/1

27 Jan 07 Navan Roamanob (IRE)T: Michael J O'Connor Design Maiden Hurdle23f · Heavy · 30 ran F 33/1

25 Jan 07 Gowran Park Precious Memories (IRE)T: Mrs Audrey Dooley Handicap Hurdle (81-130)17f · Heavy · 20 ran PU 50/1

23 Jan 07 Thurles Rosoff (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Crossogue House Equestrian Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 18 ran 15th 33/1

21 Jan 07 Cork Tawrific Laois (IRE)T: Seamus Fahey Mitchelstown Handicap Hurdle (74-116)24f · Heavy · 23 ran 9th 50/1

21 Jan 07 Cork Double Kudos (FR)T: S Braddish Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (74-102)16f · Heavy · 24 ran 16th 11/2

20 Jan 07 Naas Perfect Diamond (IRE)T: Seamus Fahey Property Partners Novice Handicap Chase (0-109)19f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 25/1

07 Jan 07 Naas Digger (IRE)T: Seamus Fahey Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (74-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran 14th 16/1

07 Jan 07 Naas Got The Urge (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Www.financebusiness.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran 16th 50/1

07 Jan 07 Naas Whatever Trevor (IRE)T: Sean Osborne Annual Membership At Naas Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran 23rd 50/1

06 Jan 07 Cork Senorita Di Marco (IRE)T: R Donohoe McCarthy Insurance Group (Mares) Handicap Hurdle (74-102)20f · Soft To Heavy · 24 ran PU 33/1

06 Jan 07 Cork Double Kudos (FR)T: S Braddish Coolagown Stud Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 24 ran 4th 33/1

04 Jan 07 Thurles La Ziana (GB)T: Michael J McDonagh Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (74-95)20f · Soft · 18 ran 10th 20/1

01 Jan 07 Fairyhouse Heroes Square (IRE)T: Ms Caroline Hutchinson First Crack Handicap Hurdle (74-109)22f · Heavy · 15 ran 6th 25/1

31 Dec 06 Punchestown Lemon Cello (IRE)T: Seamus Fahey Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (74-102)16f · Heavy · 21 ran 20th 16/1

31 Dec 06 Punchestown Tawrific Laois (IRE)T: Seamus Fahey Buy Your Tickets On Line Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 25/1

29 Dec 06 Limerick Miss Frontier (IRE)T: Seamus Fahey O'Kelly Bros Demolition Handicap Hurdle (74-102)18f · Heavy · 18 ran 13th 20/1

28 Dec 06 Limerick Perfect Diamond (IRE)T: Seamus Fahey irishopen at adaremanor EBF Mares Beginners Chase19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 8th 16/1

28 Dec 06 Limerick Rigby (IRE)T: Ms Caroline Hutchinson Woodlands House Hotel Handicap Hurdle (74-102)21f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 7th 16/1

27 Dec 06 Limerick Nine O (IRE)T: S Braddish Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-140)19.5f · Soft · 9 ran UR 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is A J Donoghue's strike rate?: A J Donoghue has won 11 of 300 rides between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which course does A J Donoghue do best at?: Thurles by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) between 2005 and 2007. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does A J Donoghue ride most for?: C A Murphy, with 59 rides between 2005 and 2007 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.8%).
What is A J Donoghue's Fair A/E?: 0.76, from 300 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.