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Trainer profile

Ms Caroline Hutchinson

257 runners in the lifetime window · 45 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2010
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
21–257
Wins / Runs
8.2%
Strike rate
n=257
56 (22%)
Placed
1.25
Fair A/E
n=257 · 0.91 incl. margin
−61.75
£1 level stake
n=257 at SP · −24.0%
£193k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.25).

Deterministic profile computed from 257 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug Fresh horses: 8.5% A E Lynch: 6.1% from 66 Claiming riders: 9.6%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.54 and +0.25 to a £1 stake over 125 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. A E Lynch rode 26% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.1% vs 8.2%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well in Hurdle races (11.5%, n=122) and off a 61-180-day break (12.5%, n=32). The record read poorly on Good going — 2.1% over 47 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.60 across 60 runners (3.3% strike, −52.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the yard fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.5%+0.3
n=59 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +13.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
15.4%+7.2
n=13 · A/E 3.41 · £1 +9.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.2
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.2
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.2
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
40%
n=15 · A/E 2.09 · £1 +11.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.6%+1.4
n=125 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +0.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 2.1% vs 8.2% · n=47
In Chase races 2.3% vs 8.2% · n=44
With horses switching code 2.3% vs 8.2% · n=44
Over 1m5f – 2m 3.3% vs 8.2% · n=60
In Hurdle races 11.5% vs 8.2% · n=122
Off a 61-180-day break 12.5% vs 8.2% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 122 14 11.5% +3.25
Flat 67 6 9% −2.50
Chase 44 1 2.3% −38.50
NH Flat 24 0 0% −24.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 78 9 11.5% −9.25
Heavy 50 4 8% +10.00
Good 47 1 2.1% −39.50
Good to Firm 36 3 8.3% −8.50
Good to Soft 22 2 9.1% −9.50
Firm 13 1 7.7% −7.00
Standard (AW) 11 1 9.1% +2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 19 2 10.5% −4.50
Tramore 18 2 11.1% −10.25
Punchestown 17 1 5.9% −11.00
Listowel 17 0 0% −17.00
Kilbeggan 16 0 0% −16.00
Thurles 13 2 15.4% +24.50
Fairyhouse 13 0 0% −13.00
Roscommon 12 2 16.7% +8.00
Wexford 12 3 25% +24.00
Downpatrick 11 1 9.1% −7.50
Navan 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 10 1 10% +1.00
Curragh 10 1 10% +7.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Dundalk (AW) 10 1 10% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 22 8 36.4% 2.02 +13.75
2nd–3rd fav 31 5 16.1% 1.35 +1.50
4th–6th fav 58 2 3.4% 0.49 −38.00
7th+ in betting 146 6 4.1% 1.18 −39.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
92.8% completed · 166 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 44 81.8% 3 1 3 1 0
Hurdle 122 96.7% 2 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hu Ha Jo (IRE)then D J Barry 24 2 6 2 Jul 10
Heroes Square (IRE)then Seamus Lynch 21 1 5 25 Nov 10
Wellforth (IRE)then Paul John Gilligan 16 3 7 14 May 10
Onzo Mor (IRE)then Denis W Cullen 13 1 3 17 Nov 10
Miley Byrne (IRE) 13 1 2 21 Sep 09
South Wing (IRE)from Eoin Griffin · then Gordon Elliott 12 1 2 12 Nov 10
Wiseman's Inn (IRE)then P J Rothwell 10 0 0 25 Nov 10
Bon Camino (IRE) 9 0 1 17 Nov 10
White And Red (IRE)from H Rogers 8 1 1 4 Aug 10
Mrs O'Brien (IRE) 8 0 1 14 Nov 08
Front Man (IRE) 8 1 5 31 Jul 08
Meabhs Star (IRE)then John Joseph Hanlon 7 0 0 28 May 10
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for D J Barry (2) and Gordon Elliott (2); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001008910213560
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderA E Lynch
26% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 1.11
RiderRWSR£1
A E Lynch 66 4 6.1% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
32
Archived wins
£371k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 11 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kyles Bay (IRE) — I.T.B.A. Handicap (60-90) Naas · Jun 2007
£11,402
Blue Express (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-109) Tipperary · Jun 2008
£10,365
White And Red (IRE) — Foley's Bar & Off Licence Handicap (60-90) Sligo · Aug 2009
£10,020
Notable horses
Kyles Bay (IRE) Wellforth (IRE) Blue Express (IRE) Heroes Square (IRE) Hu Ha Jo (IRE) Passcini (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gulland (GB) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 5.8% of 226 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Old Vic (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
New Frontier (IRE) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 9.1% of 857 runs since 2008 (62 horses).
King Charlemagne (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.7% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.9% from 156.
Sonus (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 7.7% of 469 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11% from 109.
Warcraft (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 7.1% of 99 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 547 · newest first

The latest 50 of 547 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 25 November 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Nov 10 Thurles Wiseman's Inn (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Munster Handicap Hurdle (80-95)18f · Soft · 18 ran 12th 16/1
25 Nov 10 Thurles Heroes Square (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109)24f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 10/1
17 Nov 10 Limerick Onzo Mor (IRE)J: A E Lynch Friends Of Greenmount Handicap Chase (0-102)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 10th 10/1
17 Nov 10 Limerick Bon Camino (IRE)J: A E Lynch Greenmount Annual Membership Handicap Hurdle (80-95)21f · Soft · 14 ran PU 20/1
12 Nov 10 Dundalk (AW) South Wing (IRE)J: Shane Foley Christmas Parties At Dundalk Handicap (60-90)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1
07 Nov 10 Navan Wiseman's Inn (IRE)J: Alain Cawley Troytown November 21st Handicap Hurdle (80-109)23f · Soft · 21 ran 13th 20/1
13 Oct 10 Punchestown Aristo Ruby (IRE)J: Patrick Corbett Thoroughbred County Mares Flat Race18f · Good · 22 ran 20th 50/1
09 Oct 10 Fairyhouse Onzo Mor (IRE)J: Robert Molloy Itba M/l/w Region & Gain Horse Feeds Support Local Racetracks Beginners Chase24f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 14/1
07 Oct 10 Tramore Bon Camino (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Graun Hill Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 33/1
05 Oct 10 Tipperary South Wing (IRE)J: A E Lynch 2011 Tipperary Supporter's Club Handicap Hurdle (81-102)20f · Yielding · 19 ran 13th 12/1
25 Sep 10 Navan Wiseman's Inn (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Drogheda Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Yielding · 30 ran 10th 14/1
15 Sep 10 Listowel Massinimoss (IRE)J: M P Fogarty Mcelligotts Tralee Ltd., Mercedes Benz, Flat Race20f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 3rd 7/1
02 Sep 10 Clonmel Wiseman's Inn (IRE)J: Robert Molloy 'tipperary Going For 26' Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 11th 22/1
26 Aug 10 Bellewstown South Wing (IRE)J: Robert Molloy Lougher Stables Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Good · 16 ran 5th 8/1
14 Aug 10 Tramore South Wing (IRE)J: Shane Foley Madra Dog Foods Handicap (50-85)12f · Firm · 7 ran 4th 14/1
07 Aug 10 Kilbeggan Bon Camino (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Betpack (c & G) Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 9th 20/1
04 Aug 10 Sligo White And Red (IRE)J: P B Beggy Foley's Bar & Off Licence Handicap (60-90)6.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 10th 12/1
03 Aug 10 Roscommon Massinimoss (IRE)J: M P Fogarty Boyle Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 5th 9/2
03 Aug 10 Roscommon Onzo Mor (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Connaught Beginners Chase21f · Good · 15 ran 9th 25/1
30 Jul 10 Galway South Wing (IRE)J: Micheal Nolan Guinness (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (88-109)18f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms Caroline Hutchinson's strike rate?
Ms Caroline Hutchinson has won 21 of 257 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Ms Caroline Hutchinson?
A E Lynch, with 66 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.1%).
What is Ms Caroline Hutchinson's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 257 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).