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Jockey profile

Adam Carter

498 rides in the lifetime window · 239 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jan 2016 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
50–498
Wins / Runs
10%
Strike rate
n=498
126 (25%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=494 · 0.97 incl. margin
−87.00
£1 level stake
n=498 at SP · −17.5%
£216k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (58 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 498 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Jan 27% when favourite Bryan Smart: 13.4% from 179 LTO winners: 20.7% Rode the favourite in 7% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (16.9%, n=77), clear of the rider's 10% baseline. It is weakest at Thirsk (0% over 34 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.7% (n=58, Fair A/E 1.09), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=88, Fair A/E 0.38). Bryan Smart supplied 36% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.4% vs 10%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Soft going (19.4%, n=36). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 4.7% over 64 rides, 5.3pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.3%−3.7
n=239 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −113.42
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20.7%+10.7
n=58 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −0.83
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.4%−4.6
n=92 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −10.17
When favourite
27%
n=37 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −11.33
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10%+0.0
n=452 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −73.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.3%−7.7
n=88 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −75.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 20.7% vs 10% · n=58
With John Wainwright 0% vs 10% · n=40
At Thirsk 0% vs 10% · n=34
On Soft going 19.4% vs 10% · n=36
At Southwell (AW) 16.9% vs 10% · n=77
Off a 61-180-day break 4.7% vs 10% · n=64
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 193 23 11.9% −27.25
Good to Firm 114 7 6.1% −67.25
Good 85 8 9.4% +21.00
Good to Soft 53 3 5.7% −29.00
Soft 36 7 19.4% +15.00
Heavy 11 2 18.2% +6.50
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 108 10 9.3% −15.92
Southwell (AW) 77 13 16.9% −3.33
Redcar 57 5 8.8% −12.00
Thirsk 34 0 0% −34.00
Beverley 33 3 9.1% −10.00
Newcastle 24 3 12.5% −7.00
Catterick 24 0 0% −24.00
Doncaster 18 0 0% −18.00
Hamilton 18 2 11.1% +50.00
Ripon 16 3 18.8% +6.00
Musselburgh 16 2 12.5% −4.50
Ayr 12 1 8.3% −5.00
Nottingham 10 1 10% −7.25
York 10 1 10% +2.00
Pontefract 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 214 24 11.2% −43.20
Class 6 204 19 9.3% −2.62
Class 4 52 5 9.6% −34.18
Class 3 16 1 6.3% −7.00
Class 2 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 45 10 22.2% 0.82 −19.33
2nd–3rd fav 89 21 23.6% 1.56 +30.33
4th–6th fav 151 13 8.6% 1.17 −24.00
7th+ in betting 213 6 2.8% 0.84 −74.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
No Poppy (IRE) 27 4 8 17 May 14
Smalljohn (GB) 21 1 6 15 Jan 16
Hayek (GB) 15 3 7 9 Apr 13
Verinco (GB) 15 4 10 31 May 11
Benidorm (GB) 11 0 1 27 Sep 13
Residency (IRE) 11 2 5 15 Mar 11
Dubai Hills (GB) 9 4 7 12 Mar 11
Angaric (IRE) 9 1 2 16 Nov 10
Ryedane (IRE) 8 1 3 30 Dec 11
Feel The Heat (GB) 7 1 1 8 Oct 15
Amir Pasha (UAE) 7 1 3 2 Sep 10
George Bailey (IRE) 6 1 1 28 Aug 15
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 239 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
131514758815881316
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardBryan Smart
36% of all rides
13.4% SR · A/E 1.12
TrainerRWSR£1
Bryan Smart 179 24 13.4% +20.25
Tim Easterby 104 13 12.5% −8.00
John Wainwright 40 0 0% −40.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
52
Archived wins
£224k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
No Poppy (IRE) — Acorn Web Offset Handicap York · Oct 2012 · Class 2
£11,644
No Poppy (IRE) — Royal Scots E.B.F. Fillies' Handicap Musselburgh · Sep 2012 · Class 3
£8,093
No Poppy (IRE) — British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.b.f. Fillies' Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2012 · Class 4
£5,175
Notable horses
No Poppy (IRE) Verinco (GB) Dubai Hills (GB) Hayek (GB) Residency (IRE) Adiator (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bahamian Bounty (GB) 12.5% · 4–32
Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.
Needwood Blade (GB) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 7.9% of 2,746 runs since 2008 (187 horses).
Chineur (FR) 14.8% · 4–27
Progeny have won 9% of 2,167 runs since 2009 (138 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12% from 209. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 403. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6% from 199.
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,981 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Royal Applause (GB) 22.7% · 5–22
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Danetime (IRE) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 534 · newest first

The latest 50 of 534 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 October 2005 to 15 January 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Jan 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Smalljohn (GB)T: Bryan Smart Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 25/1
11 Jan 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Ki Ki (GB)T: Bryan Smart 32red Casino Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 11/1
04 Jan 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Ki Ki (GB)T: Bryan Smart 32red Casino Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 16/1
02 Jan 16 Southwell (AW) Emblaze (GB)T: Bryan Smart Bet&Watch Every Race At Unibet HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 66/1
22 Dec 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Smalljohn (GB)T: Bryan Smart Coral Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 13/2
17 Dec 15 Southwell (AW) Foudroyer Deux (GB)T: Bryan Smart 32red.com Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 66/1
16 Oct 15 Redcar Foudroyer Deux (GB)T: Bryan Smart EBF Stallions Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 16 ran 15th 100/1
13 Oct 15 Musselburgh Smalljohn (GB)T: Bryan Smart Download Your Racing UK's App Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 5th 20/1
08 Oct 15 Ayr Feel The Heat (GB)T: Bryan Smart Bacardi HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 12th 14/1
28 Sep 15 Hamilton Feel The Heat (GB)T: Bryan Smart Jack Webster Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 16/1
26 Sep 15 Ripon Nameitwhatyoulike (GB)T: Bryan Smart Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 7/1
20 Sep 15 Hamilton Ki Ki (GB)T: Bryan Smart Bet toteexacta HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 9/1
08 Sep 15 Redcar Helvis (GB)T: Bryan Smart Racing UK Day Pass Just 10 Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 16/1
05 Sep 15 Thirsk Orwellian (GB)T: Bryan Smart Barkers Of Northallerton HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 33/1
28 Aug 15 Hamilton George Bailey (IRE)T: Bryan Smart Download The Ladbrokes App HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 8/1
24 Aug 15 Carlisle Ki Ki (GB)T: Bryan Smart Apollobet Best Odds Guaranteed Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 10/1
20 Aug 15 Hamilton George Bailey (IRE)T: Bryan Smart Avia Signs HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 5th 9/1
01 Aug 15 Hamilton Especial (GB)T: Bryan Smart Alea Casino HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/1
01 Aug 15 Hamilton Helvis (GB)T: Bryan Smart Superseal Open Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 6/1
27 Jul 15 Southwell (AW) Major Rowan (GB)T: Bryan Smart 6th August Macmillan Raceday HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adam Carter's strike rate?
Adam Carter has won 50 of 498 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adam Carter do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 13 wins from 77 rides (16.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Adam Carter ride most for?
Bryan Smart, with 179 rides since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (13.4%).
What is Adam Carter's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 494 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).