What is John Weymes's strike rate?

John Weymes has won 74 of 1,359 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Weymes do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Weymes?

Andrew Elliott, with 99 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (11.1%).

What is John Weymes's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 1,348 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Weymes

1,359 runners in the lifetime window · 164 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner May 2019 91% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

74–1,359

Wins / Runs

5.4%

Strike rate

n=1,359

236 (17%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=1,348 · 0.71 incl. margin

−560.33

£1 level stake

n=1,359 at SP · −41.2%

£342k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,359 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr 19.5% when favourite Andrew Elliott: 11.1% from 99 Claiming riders: 5.9% Sent off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (12.9%, n=31), clear of the yard's 5.4% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −78.00 to a £1 stake over 199 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Andrew Elliott rode 7% of the entries and beats the yard's average (11.1% vs 5.4%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 80 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Almaty Express (GB) — 21 wins from 134 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2%−3.4

n=199 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −78.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.9%−3.5

n=54 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −13.00

Debutants · first career start

1.1%−4.3

n=95 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −61.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−5.4

n=59 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −59.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.7%−0.7

n=43 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

19.5%

n=41 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −18.58

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.9%+0.5

n=370 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −114.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.4

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Darryll Holland 13.2% vs 5.4% · n=38

With Andrew Elliott 11.1% vs 5.4% · n=99

At Bath 12.9% vs 5.4% · n=31

On last-time-out winners 11.4% vs 5.4% · n=70

With C&D winners 9.7% vs 5.4% · n=268

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 5.4% · n=80

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,235 71 5.7% −502.33

Hurdle 63 3 4.8% +3.00

NH Flat 33 0 0% −33.00

Chase 28 0 0% −28.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 488 40 8.2% −119.74

Good to Firm 307 10 3.3% −190.34

Good 281 15 5.3% −71.75

Good to Soft 122 3 2.5% −100.50

Soft 105 4 3.8% −32.00

Firm 31 2 6.5% −21.00

Heavy 25 0 0% −25.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 295 28 9.5% −31.49

Catterick 99 1 1% −76.00

Southwell (AW) 94 5 5.3% −53.00

Newcastle 70 1 1.4% −62.00

Musselburgh 69 0 0% −69.00

Redcar 67 0 0% −67.00

Carlisle 64 3 4.7% −27.75

Ayr 58 5 8.6% −21.00

Beverley 56 1 1.8% −39.00

Hamilton 53 3 5.7% −13.25

Thirsk 48 2 4.2% +10.00

Ripon 35 1 2.9% −29.50

Kempton (AW) 35 3 8.6% −12.00

Bath 31 4 12.9% −7.50

Lingfield (AW) 25 1 4% −18.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 710 50 7% −165.12

Class 5 433 17 3.9% −279.46

Class 4 153 7 4.6% −52.75

Class 7 29 0 0% −29.00

Class 3 18 0 0% −18.00

Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 54 10 18.5% 0.80 −22.08

2nd–3rd fav 170 28 16.5% 1.11 −5.25

4th–6th fav 452 22 4.9% 0.71 −230.00

7th+ in betting 683 14 2% 0.70 −303.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Almaty Express (GB)from Martin Todhunter 94 15 27 27 Sep 13

Welcome Approach (GB) 68 10 18 21 Apr 12

Just Five (IRE)from Michael Dods 54 5 11 11 Jul 16

Dream Ally (IRE)from Micky Hammond 51 5 17 8 May 19

Celestial Dawn (GB) 42 2 10 2 Jan 15

Arch Walker (IRE)from Jedd O'Keeffe 38 1 8 6 Oct 15

Emeralds Spirit (IRE) 37 4 11 31 Jul 12

Elizabeth Coffee (IRE)from Ian Williams 32 3 8 27 Jun 15

Just Joey (GB) 28 1 4 26 Aug 09

Silver Fawn (IRE) 27 1 2 1 Apr 14

Deben (GB)from Kevin Ryan 24 1 8 25 Jul 18

Harrys Whim (GB)then Maurice Barnes 24 1 2 24 Jul 13

The 60 most-raced of 164 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Jarvis (4) and James Tate (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs K Burke (5) and S J Leadbetter (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1158955473423

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAndrew Elliott

7% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

Andrew Elliott 99 11 11.1% −14.34

Luke Morris 96 8 8.3% −5.75

Jimmy Quinn 64 4 6.3% −37.00

Duran Fentiman 58 0 0% −58.00

Phil Dennis 56 4 7.1% −8.00

Chris Catlin 55 4 7.3% −33.12

Phillip Makin 42 2 4.8% −8.00

Darryll Holland 38 5 13.2% +16.75

James Sullivan 37 1 2.7% −16.00

Tom Eaves 35 0 0% −35.00

Keith Mercer 34 0 0% −34.00

Joey Haynes 31 1 3.2% −25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

117

Archived wins

£596k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 21 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Graceful Air (IRE) — E.B.F. Fillies' Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2005 · Class 4

£6,689

Almaty Express (GB) — Win Whatever The Result With Bet Angel Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2009 · Class 4

£5,505

Jim Martin (GB) — 123Sport.com Maiden Auction Stakes Newcastle · Jul 2007 · Class 4

£5,182

Notable horses

Almaty Express (GB) Welcome Approach (GB) Just Five (IRE) Dream Ally (IRE) Attacca (GB) Emeralds Spirit (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Almaty (IRE) 16% · 15–94

Progeny have won 10.8% of 176 runs since 2008 (9 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14% from 121.

Most Welcome (GB) 14.7% · 10–68

Progeny have won 12.3% of 479 runs since 2008 (28 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 19.3% from 145. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.8% from 103.

Olmodavor (USA) 9.3% · 5–54

Progeny have won 14.5% of 83 runs since 2008 (1 horse).

Oasis Dream (GB) 9.8% · 5–51

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,987 runs since 2008 (1,508 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 481. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Choisir (AUS) 4.7% · 2–43

Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).

Clodovil (IRE) 4.7% · 2–43

Progeny have won 9.8% of 6,512 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,024 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,024 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 8 May 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 May 19 Southwell (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 16/1

29 Apr 19 Newcastle (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Jonathan Fisher missnewcastle.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 9/1

04 Apr 19 Southwell (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Play 4 To Score At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 13/2

27 Mar 19 Southwell (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Betway Heed Your Hunch HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 25/1

14 Mar 19 Southwell (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Luke Morris Betway Casino HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 33/1

13 Feb 19 Southwell (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Jonathan Fisher Betway Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 3rd 33/1

10 Jan 19 Southwell (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Play 4 To Score At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 9/1

02 Jan 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Betway Casino HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 50/1

11 Dec 18 Southwell (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Betway Classified Claiming StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 50/1

30 Nov 18 Newcastle (AW) Dream Ally (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Betway Vegas Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 40/1

21 Sep 18 Newcastle (AW) Siriusly Quick (IRE)J: Phil Dennis 0800 Repair Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 250/1

26 Aug 18 Beverley Siriusly Quick (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Smith Girlies EBF Novice Auction StakesClass 5 · 7.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 50/1

25 Jul 18 Catterick Deben (GB)J: Phil Dennis Never Miss A Race On Racing UK Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 18/1

19 Jul 18 Hamilton Mount Hellvelyn (GB)J: Phil Dennis Phoenix Drilling Ltd Race Day HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 14/1

18 Jul 18 Catterick Deben (GB)J: Phil Dennis Watch Racing Uk On Sky 426 Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1

16 Jul 18 Ripon Kelpie Spirit (IRE)J: Jason Hart Visit Ripon-races.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 66/1

11 Jul 18 Catterick Deben (GB)J: Phil Dennis Racing Uk Hd On Sky 426 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 10th 20/1

05 Jul 18 Yarmouth Deben (GB)J: Phil Dennis 188Bet World Cup Money Back Specials HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 25/1

05 Jul 18 Yarmouth Kelpie Spirit (IRE)J: Phil Dennis 188Bet World Cup Quarter Final Specials Selling HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 40/1

03 Jul 18 Hamilton Brough Lane Lass (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Hamilton Park Racegoers Club 'best Small Racecourse' HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Weymes's strike rate?: John Weymes has won 74 of 1,359 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Weymes do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Weymes?: Andrew Elliott, with 99 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (11.1%).
What is John Weymes's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 1,348 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.