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Jockey profile

Alan Dempsey

579 rides in our archive record, 2005–2007 · 325 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2007 100% of rides over jumps
Archive record 2005–2007
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 10 Mar 2005 to 17 Mar 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
30–579
Wins / Runs
5.2%
Strike rate
n=579
114 (20%)
Placed
0.83
Fair A/E
n=578 · 0.71 incl. margin
−169.82
£1 level stake
n=579 at SP · −29.3%
£266k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode 579 times in our archive record (2005–2007), almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.83).

Deterministic profile computed from 579 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Mar Howard Johnson: 7.7% from 65
The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (11.8%, n=34) and Carlisle (11.1%, n=36) — all clear of the rider's 5.2% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=211, Fair A/E 0.47). Howard Johnson supplied 11% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.7% vs 5.2%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well on Heavy going (10.5%, n=86). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 46 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
When favourite
20%
n=20 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −7.82
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.9%−3.3
n=211 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −118.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 10.5% vs 5.2% · n=86
At Ayr 11.8% vs 5.2% · n=34
With Martin Todhunter 11.4% vs 5.2% · n=35
At Carlisle 11.1% vs 5.2% · n=36
In NH Flat races 0% vs 5.2% · n=46
In Class 6 0% vs 5.2% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 373 20 5.4% −60.70
Chase 160 10 6.3% −63.12
NH Flat 46 0 0% −46.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 139 4 2.9% −103.12
Soft 134 8 6% −62.70
Good to Soft 121 4 3.3% −29.00
Good to Firm 95 4 4.2% +26.50
Heavy 86 9 10.5% −18.50
Firm 4 1 25% +17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 66 6 9.1% +1.80
Kelso 65 2 3.1% +103.00
Newcastle 60 3 5% −37.50
Hexham 52 5 9.6% +0.00
Wetherby 45 2 4.4% −27.50
Catterick 40 0 0% −40.00
Carlisle 36 4 11.1% −18.00
Ayr 34 4 11.8% +2.00
Perth 32 0 0% −32.00
Musselburgh 29 0 0% −29.00
Market Rasen 27 0 0% −27.00
Uttoxeter 19 2 10.5% −4.00
Cartmel 16 0 0% −16.00
Haydock 12 1 8.3% −2.00
Aintree 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 329 20 6.1% +10.68
Class 3 97 5 5.2% −68.50
Class 5 73 2 2.7% −57.00
Class 6 42 0 0% −42.00
Class 2 26 1 3.8% −20.00
Class 1 12 2 16.7% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 4 17.4% 0.71 −10.82
2nd–3rd fav 74 11 14.9% 1.08 −6.00
4th–6th fav 171 11 6.4% 0.91 −59.00
7th+ in betting 311 4 1.3% 0.48 −94.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76% completed · 533 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 160 70.6% 11 3 28 4 1
Hurdle 373 78.3% 9 3 68 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Euro American (GER) 12 3 7 20 Feb 07
Kempski (GB) 11 2 5 9 Mar 07
Forever Eyesofblue (GB) 8 0 3 7 Mar 07
Kalic D'Alm (FR) 7 0 1 2 Mar 07
Devils Delight (IRE) 7 0 0 7 Nov 06
Bargain Hunt (IRE) 7 1 4 1 Oct 06
Loulou Nivernais (FR) 7 2 3 3 Apr 06
Longdale (GB) 7 2 2 9 Mar 06
Behavingbadly (IRE) 7 0 1 27 Feb 06
Chief Dan George (IRE) 6 4 4 16 Mar 07
Overserved (GB) 6 3 3 10 Mar 07
Singhalongtasveer (GB) 6 1 2 4 Feb 07
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 325 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 2005–2007
JFMAMJJASOND
479365007049
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardHoward Johnson
11% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 0.97
TrainerRWSR£1
Howard Johnson 65 5 7.7% −43.70
Andrew Parker 64 3 4.7% −49.00
James Moffatt 56 5 8.9% +77.00
Edwin Tuer 43 4 9.3% −11.00
Martin Todhunter 35 4 11.4% +36.00
Michael Easterby 33 0 0% −33.00
Wilf Storey 32 2 6.3% +41.00
Stuart Coltherd 31 1 3.2% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
30
Archived wins
£266k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 13 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Chief Dan George (IRE) — Brit Insurance Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) Haydock · Feb 2007 · Class 1
£17,186
Chief Dan George (IRE) — Brit Insurance Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) Wetherby · Feb 2007 · Class 1
£15,473
Euro American (GER) — toteplacepot Novices' Handicap Hurdle Newcastle · Feb 2006 · Class 2
£9,395
Notable horses
Chief Dan George (IRE) Euro American (GER) Overserved (GB) Kempski (GB) Longdale (GB) Loulou Nivernais (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lord Americo (IRE) 22.2% · 4–18
Progeny have won 7.5% of 4,424 runs since 2005 (444 horses).
Supreme Leader (GB) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 10% of 6,230 runs since 2005 (661 horses).
Snurge (IRE) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,742 runs since 2005 (158 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.1% from 563.
Petoski (GB) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 8.4% of 665 runs since 2005 (82 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 144.
Environment Friend (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,165 runs since 2005 (124 horses).
Garde Royale (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12.6% of 499 runs since 2005 (37 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 17.9% from 112. Weakest on Good going: 9.4% from 170.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 579 · newest first

The latest 50 of 579 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2005 to 17 March 2007.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Mar 07 Newcastle Hutch (GB)T: P Beaumont Guinness Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran BD 33/1
17 Mar 07 Newcastle Bright Sparky (GER)T: Michael Easterby Simpson & Gregg Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 5/1J
17 Mar 07 Newcastle Barneys Lyric (GB)T: Michael Easterby Guinness Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 4th 10/1
16 Mar 07 Cheltenham Chief Dan George (IRE)T: James Moffatt Brit Insurance Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 8th 20/1
15 Mar 07 Hexham Baligrundle (GB)T: Stuart Coltherd Britain's Most Scenic Racecourse Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran UR 4/1F
15 Mar 07 Hexham Westmorland (IRE)T: James Moffatt Hadrian's Wall Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 9/1
15 Mar 07 Hexham Bareme (FR)T: Stuart Coltherd Stamfordham Novices' ChaseClass 3 · 15.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 50/1
13 Mar 07 Sedgefield Political Pendant (GB)T: Rayson Nixon paddypower.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 1st 10/1
13 Mar 07 Sedgefield Unexplored (IRE)T: Howard Johnson Paddy Power Money-Back Maiden ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 10/3
13 Mar 07 Sedgefield Lady Steph (IRE)T: Edwin Tuer Paddy Power Best For Cheltenham Mares' Only Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 12 ran PU 100/1
10 Mar 07 Ayr Robin de La Folie (FR)T: James Moffatt Thoroughbred Leisure Racing Club Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 33/1
10 Mar 07 Ayr Overserved (GB)T: Andrew Parker horseracingbreaks.com Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 14/1
10 Mar 07 Ayr Brave Thought (IRE)T: P Monteith Guinness Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 20/1
09 Mar 07 Ayr Kempski (GB)T: Rayson Nixon Taittinger Champagne Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 12/1
07 Mar 07 Catterick Forever Eyesofblue (GB)T: Andrew Parker Coniston Hall Hotel Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 5/1
07 Mar 07 Catterick Bow School (IRE)T: Howard Johnson Fellgill Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 100/1
06 Mar 07 Newcastle Lady Steph (IRE)T: Edwin Tuer Gosforth Decorating And Building Services Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 11 ran UR 100/1
06 Mar 07 Newcastle Armentieres (GB)T: James Moffatt William Hill Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 25/1
06 Mar 07 Newcastle North Island (IRE)T: Howard Johnson WBX.Com 25 New Account Sign Up 'NH' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 50/1
03 Mar 07 Kelso Westmorland (IRE)T: James Moffatt Toteexacta Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Dempsey's strike rate?
Alan Dempsey has won 30 of 579 rides between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which course does Alan Dempsey do best at?
Ayr by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 rides (11.8%) between 2005 and 2007. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alan Dempsey ride most for?
Howard Johnson, with 65 rides between 2005 and 2007 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.7%).
What is Alan Dempsey's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 578 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.