No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 20 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (66 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 190 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 10.6%
The read
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 10.6% (n=66, Fair A/E 1.73), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well in Chase races (10.9%, n=46) and off a 15-30-day break (8.3%, n=60). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.58 across 82 runners (2.4% strike, −71.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Red Tanber (IRE) — 5 wins from 40 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.7
n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
54.5%
n=11 · A/E 2.13 · £1 +13.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.6%+5.9
n=66 · A/E 1.73 · £1 −30.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up10.6% vs 4.7% · n=66
In Chase races10.9% vs 4.7% · n=46
Off a 15-30-day break8.3% vs 4.7% · n=60
On Good going7.7% vs 4.7% · n=65
With a new jockey booking2.3% vs 4.7% · n=87
In Hurdle races2.4% vs 4.7% · n=82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle8222.4%−71.75
Chase46510.9%−25.50
Flat3925.1%−23.50
NH Flat2300%−23.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good6557.7%−41.00
Good to Soft4512.2%−41.00
Soft3512.9%−32.25
Good to Firm3425.9%−18.50
Heavy1100%−11.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kelso5123.9%−45.50
Carlisle3126.5%−15.50
Ayr2700%−27.00
Musselburgh18422.2%−0.25
Newcastle1715.9%−9.50
Perth1700%−17.00
Sedgefield600%−6.00
Hexham500%−5.00
Redcar300%−3.00
Hamilton300%−3.00
Aintree200%−2.00
Cartmel200%−2.00
Catterick200%−2.00
Haydock200%−2.00
Cheltenham100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 48456%−63.50
Class 54112.4%−33.50
Class 63525.7%−19.50
Class 32314.3%−20.25
Class 2400%−4.00
Class 1300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite12650%2.00+12.75
2nd–3rd fav1516.7%0.41−11.00
4th–6th fav4424.5%0.77−26.50
7th+ in betting11900%0.00−119.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f7157%−47.00
1m5f – 2m6123.3%−54.25
6f – 7f3326.1%−17.50
2m5f – 3m1900%−19.00
1m – 1m1f300%−3.00
Under 6f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20083000%−30.00
200939410.3%−13.25
20102600%−26.00
20113625.6%−24.50
201219315.8%−10.00
20131000%−10.00
2014900%−9.00
2015800%−8.00
2016700%−7.00
2017600%−6.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps11098.2%−63.75
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners6123.3%−54.25
11-13 runners5200%−52.00
14-16 runners4224.8%−26.50
5-7 runners26311.5%−11.75
17+ runners7114.3%+0.50
2-4 runners2150%+0.25
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 20 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 19 had their first archived run for this yard.
5 have since run for another yard, most often for Sandy Thomson (2); 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
116900140000027
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cassius (IRE) — 'brian Meikle Is 50 Today' Handicap Hurdle Kelso · Dec 2009 · Class 3
£6,505
Red Tanber (IRE) — Bedmax Handicap Chase (For The Hamilton Memorial Trophy) Kelso · Mar 2012 · Class 4
£3,899
Red Tanber (IRE) — Turftv Novices' Handicap Chase Musselburgh · Feb 2012 · Class 4
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Titus Livius (FR)5.1% · 2–39
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,080 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Pistolet Bleu (IRE)6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,371 runs since 2008 (131 horses).
Anshan (GB)0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
King's Theatre (IRE)0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Executive Perk (GB)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 6.6% of 363 runs since 2008 (54 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 338 · newest first
The latest 50 of 338 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 28 April 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Bruce Mactaggart's strike rate?
Bruce Mactaggart has won 9 of 190 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bruce Mactaggart do best at?
Carlisle by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Bruce Mactaggart's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 190 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Bruce Mactaggart·SR 4.7%·A/E 0.86
KTB
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